WORLD FEBRUARY 14, 2011
-
Read Later
READ LATERAvailable only to subscribers. SUBSCRIBE TODAY
-
Listen
ARTICLE AUDIO
- Font Size
In both the euphoria and the apprehension that have accompanied the popular uprisings in the Arab Middle East that, no matter who succeeds them, have already resulted in the fall of two tyrants and the first credible threats to several more, there has been much talk about freedom and democracy and about secularism versus Islamism. Predictably, if also dishearteningly, there has been an avalanche of the usual cyber-utopian techno-babble about the emancipatory potential of the Bluetooth devices and Twitter feeds for which authoritarian tyrannies are said to be no match. The political simple-mindedness of this may not always be at the level of a Tim Connors, the California venture capitalist pitching a “Government 2.0” app (I am alas not making this up) who began a blog post on the subject with the following sentence: “10 folks in a small apartment in Egypt used social media and cell phones to start a revolution, and 17 days later the president of many decades is out of power.”
But it is not all that far from it either. Throughout its extensive coverage of the events in Tahrir Square, CNN devoted an enormous amount of time to what was appearing on blogs or being tweeted, and to the Mubarak regime’s decision, as the anti-government demonstrations gathered strength, to shut down access to the internet and cell phones, as if, just as Marshall McLuhan had predicted, the medium really was the message (Hint: it isn’t: never was, never will be), and, without internet, access the revolution might be stymied, but with it, it was irresistible. And, as President Obama and Secretary of State Clinton, went back and forth about what position to take on whether Mubarak should stay or go, the one subject about which they seemed in no doubt and about which their indignation knew no bounds, was that he should turn the internet and the mobile phones back on.
H. L. Mencken, please call your office! Were information technology not the Golden Calf of our age, no sensible person could possibly believe that that the North African revolution took place thanks to social media. As Evgeny Morozov points out in his fine new book, The Net Delusion, this is the same sort of utopian credulousness that led Marx to write that the communications revolution of the railways under the Raj would lead Indians to give up the caste system. This is not to say that social networks don’t matter; they matter a lot. But they do not incarnate freedom, do not bring about some final, heaven-like stage of human history. Indeed, if there was a proximate cause, on the order of Connors’ “10 folks in a small apartment using social networks,” to the Tunisian uprising, it was that least virtual of political acts—the decision of Mohamed Bouazizi, a street vendor in the central Tunisian city of Sidi Bouzid who burned himself to death in protest over the police seizing his cart and the produce he was trying to sell, and, more generally, over police brutality and grinding unemployment, poverty, and lack of opportunity. That was the action that provoked the first anti-government demonstrations in Tunisia and soon spawned other self-immolations from Egypt to Mauritania.
But self-immolations do not fit into the cyber-utopian narrative. Like suicide bombings, they are simply too far removed from almost all of us who come from the West. In contrast, tweets and Facebook and the rest of life in cyberspace are essential to the way we now live (if we don’t join in, we’re curmudgeons, contrarians, etc.—the Silicon Valley equivalent, I suppose, of the old Marxist condemnation of those who were “on the wrong side of history”). So, in rooting for the tweeters in Tahrir Square, we are actually rooting for ourselves.
But what’s wrong with that, you may ask, if what we are supporting in Tunis or in Cairo, and hoping for in Algiers and Tripoli and Sana and Nouakchoutt, are the best of our ideals both personally and as societies—our belief in individual freedom and in representative democracy? To which the answer is: nothing, so long, that is, as we do not confuse our situation with theirs. My fear, though, is that this is precisely what we are doing.
Democracy, freedom of expression, individual rights, and the rule of law are all wonderful things. But, without economic justice—that is, without the hope of making a decent living, receiving adequate medical treatment, and no longer living in squalor—these democratic dreams are likely to benefit only a small minority of the population, even if, in a country as populous as Egypt, that is still a great many people in absolute numbers. One does not have to be a Marxist to see the force of Bertolt Brecht’s bitter axiom in The Threepenny Opera, “First grub, then ethics.” It will be a fine thing if, as has been promised in both Algeria and Egypt, the army makes good on its promises to end decades-old states of emergency. But will these changes from the top down, from which the upper middle classes—the Bluetooth, tweeting classes, to be blunt—stand to benefit almost immediately, do anything to improve the lot of the Mohamed Bouazizis of the world? Will they find it easier to find a job, feed their families, in short, to live with dignity? On that, surely, the verdict is very much still out.
Certainly, poor Tunisians don’t seem very confident. In the weeks since the fall of the Ben Ali dictatorship, whose police had impeded such flows, thousands upon thousands of Tunisians have set out in boats trying to reach Europe and a better life by landing on the Italian island of Lampedusa, which in fact is closer to North Africa than it is to Italy. They are certainly not showing any confidence that, in a democratic Tunisia—which, in contrast to the uncertainties about Egypt’s future, virtually everyone agrees will come into being—their economic prospects are likely to be better than under the dictatorship. And so many are coming across that, this week, Italian Foreign Minister Franco Fratini is making emergency trips to Brussels to get European Union help to stem the migratory flow, and to Tunis to try to persuade the new Tunisian authorities to reinstate the curbs in return for aid that they had worked out with Ben Ali.
But the young men on these often far too unseaworthy boats are not chronicling their trip on their mobile phone cameras, or tweeting about them, or notifying their friends on their Facebook pages that they have decided to throw the dice and try to make it to Europe. And there are far more of these people in the Arab Middle East today than the kind of young democracy activists that we have quite rightly been extolling in the West during these past several extraordinary weeks. They are the ghosts at the democratic banquet (and that’s assuming the whole meal gets served, of course). And, unless the Western governments now pledging aid and political support, and the major philanthropies like George Soros’s Open Society Foundations, which has vast experience and great success with helping democracy activists and human rights workers over the decades but has never felt itself required to put the same kind of energy into poverty reduction or development, remember that the grub is just as important as the ethics—something the Muslim Brotherhood in Egypt and Hezbollah in Lebanon have always understood—then this year of revolutions in the Arab world will do much for some, but leave the vast majority who have always been excluded still as marginalized and suffering, with all the consequences, both moral and practical, that will flow from that.
In Yeats’ great poem “An Irish Airman Foresees His Death,” the airman flying for the Royal Flying Corps over the trenches muses on why he ever volunteered to fight for Britain. Thinking of his countrymen in his own village back home, the airman acknowledges that:
My country is Kiltartan Cross,
My countrymen Kiltartan’s poor,
No likely end could bring them loss
Or leave them happier than before.
If, when you read this, it is past dark in Europe and North Africa, remember those boats heading north, crammed with the twenty-first century’s equivalent of Kiltartan’s poor, and ask yourself whether what they see is what we see. At the very least, Caveat celebrator.
David Rieff is a contributing editor for The New Republic.
3 comments
This is among the most thoughtful pieces about the events in Egypt that I've read in the NR.. Democracy is basic to our lives in the US, and in large measure a source of our prosperity and sense of well being. But we have never, in our entire history, known the permanent and widespread desperate poverty and lack of opportunity and economic corruption that exists in Egypt. Moving toward a more just society certainly means that voices are heard and more people are empowered, but it also means that the hungry are fed and the poor have shelter and all children have a decent education. And when the vast majority are desperately poor and badly educated, the principle of first things first may apply. Does that mean that democracy should be postponed? Certainly not. But a democracy that does not improve the lives for the vast majority of Egyptians will be in many senses a failure, and bring discredit to the principles it represents.
- PeteBeck
February 14, 2011 at 12:42am
Never have so many been handed so great a tragedy by so few. David Rieff is a lonely media voice of reality in what was a faux revolution in Tahrir Square by a small slice of Egypt's population, over-amplified by CNN and the twittering media. CNN might as well have had a continuous banner reading "Let them eat Twitter". How will CNN and the NYT cover mass starvation this summer? If Mubarak had not finally resigned in order to get the protestors to go home and back to work, I was expecting the increasingly desperate cashless taxi drivers and tourism workers to build a ghetto wall around the Tent City of Tahrir. Tunisia has a chance of restoring their tourism and export goods economy, because the EU can help. Egypt depends on tourism foreign exchange to pay for their large wheat imports that feed the forty million of Egyptians living on less that $2USD per day. I fully expect any wheat surplus from the U.S. to go the highest bidder in support of Obama's export push, and that will be China, not Egypt.
- K2K
February 14, 2011 at 12:25pm
This article casts some much-needed attention on the economic aspects of the current crisis in Egypt, but the author still manages to miss the most significant point. Yes, economic justice is a dire problem in Egypt. The kleptocratic possessing class and the military, which is involved in all sorts of money-making ventures, are fighting to maintain their oversized slices of a shrinking pie. That is one reason to be concerned that the Army has any intention of supporting, rather than obstructing--a transition to representative government. But the even larger issue than this beggar-thy-fellow-citizen ethos are the global trends that are effectively causing the Egyptian pie to shrink and whose solution seems beyond the control of even a legitimate government in Cairo. First, Egypt's population is out of control and has roughly tripled since 1960. Second, the economic rise of East Asia means that China and others are adding to global aggregate demand for food and energy. This is pricing out the marginal classes (i.e., most of the Egyptian population) from the basic necessities of life. It is this dynamic that is serving as the trigger for the current unrest--and not just in Egypt. Corruption in itself rarely leads to an uprising, but corruption plus not being able to feed one's children in a huge swath of the population--that's what is creating the reaction. China is likely to spend another $1B shortly to compensate for the effect of its ongoing drought on domestic agriculture. This will only add more upward pressure on global food prices. And then, behind the scenes, is the effect of monetary inflation starting with the US Fed and including the ECB, BoE, BOJ, and the PBC. All this money pumped into the global economy has a further impact on food prices. Since we--via our reserve currency status--export inflation, we are least affected by this dynamic. (How convenient for us!) But, again, Egpyt and the rest of the Third World have no defense. Further in the background are the disputes over the allocation of Nile water, so critical to Egyptian agriculture. Ethiopia, the source of the Blue Nile which provides the vastly greater part of the Nile's water, is no longer satisfied with taking only a tiny fraction and letting the rest flow on through Sudan to Egypt. The implications are obvious. So, somehow, Egyptians must overcome the disincentives on the part of the Army, the inflated state bureaucracy and the possessing class to open up the political system. Then, a new government must simultaneously reduce the kleptocratic aspect of the state AND take on the long-term issues of population control, Nile water disputes and the fact that Egypt produces virtually no goods or services that are internationally competitive. That still leaves rising food and energy prices over which it has no control. It is hard to see a happy ending here. What is critical--strategically--is that we not be seen as impeding an Egyptian solution--or attempted solution--to its profound problems. Propping up dictators--or the Army--falls squarely in that category. As it is, our economic and security policies have severely disfavored the Egyptians. That is a fact clear for all who wish to see and creates opportunities for our strategic competitors. Our broader Middle East position has never been in such jeopardy.
- ccarrick@vzavenue.net-old
February 14, 2011 at 12:31pm