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Go Home False Dawn

NOVEMBER 8, 2004

False Dawn

Three years and three days after their husbands were killed in the
September 11 terrorist attacks, five women came to the National
Press Club to make an announcement. The widows--Kristen
Breitweiser, Patty Casazza, Monica Gabrielle, Mindy Kleinberg, and
Lorie Van Auken--were no strangers to Washington news conferences.
They had relentlessly lobbied Congress and the White House for a
commission to investigate the terrorist attacks, and, once that
commission was created, they hounded its members, making certain
they asked the questions September 11 families wanted answered. In
the process, the women--known as the "Jersey Girls," since four
hail from the Garden State-- became media stars and political
powers. Katie Couric and Diane Sawyer sat with them for interviews,
and 9/11 Commission Co-Chairman Tom Kean credited them with making
the Commission's final report possible.Which is why what the five women had to say last month in
Washington, D.C., seemed momentous. Although none had ever been
involved in partisan politics, and some had voted for George W.
Bush in 2000, the Jersey Girls announced that they were endorsing
John Kerry. Their reasons for doing so mostly had to do with Bush.
"On September 11 ... President Bush failed to protect my husband,"
Casazza declared. Van Auken added, "This administration took their
eye off the ball. They let Al Qaeda go. They let Osama bin Laden
go." Finally, Breitweiser explained her endorsement in the most
basic terms. "I am here because I am scared," she said. "I know
John Kerry as president will make this nation safer than it is
today."

The Jersey Girls, it seemed, were positioned to serve as the liberal
analogue to the Swift Boat Veterans for Truth (sbvt). Like the
Vietnam veterans who criticized Kerry's war record and his antiwar
activities--and turned the presidential race on its head this
summer--the September 11 widows were passionate and had compelling
personal stories. And, like sbvt, which managed to make one of
Kerry's greatest political assets into a liability, the Jersey
Girls were undermining Bush on the very issue on which he'd staked
his reelection: keeping Americans safe.

But then, strangely, no one paid any attention to the Jersey Girls.
After the press conference announcing their endorsement of Kerry,
only CNN and cnbc had the women on for interviews; the next day, a
mere dozen newspapers carried articles about their entry into the
campaign. The Jersey Girls had to fight to stay in the public eye.
They attended Kerry's major speech on Iraq at New York University a
few days after their press conference, and Breitweiser traveled to
Miami to attend the first presidential debate (no small matter,
considering she had not set foot on an airplane since before
September 11). But none of it seemed to matter. The media seldom
reported their remarks; when Breitweiser trooped around spin alley
after the first presidential debate--standing underneath a sign
reading kristen breitweiser, 9/11 widow--she was largely ignored.

Today, six weeks after their announcement, the Jersey Girls are
virtual nonentities--their few interviews mostly coming with
liberal talk-radio hosts. "They were all over the media and had no
problem getting access to the media before they endorsed John
Kerry," says David Brock, the former right-wing journalist who now
runs the liberal media watchdog Media Matters. "But, subsequent to
their endorsement, they've hardly been seen or heard. It's odd."

And telling. The Jersey Girls' inability to insert themselves into
the race is just one example of a greater problem that continues to
bedevil the left: its difficulty battling opponents outside the
formal confines of campaigns. This is nothing new. Ever since the
rise of the conservative counterestablishment out of the ashes of
Barry Goldwater's failed candidacy, the right has had at its
disposal a constellation of think tanks and media organs to
supplement campaigns--a constellation the left lacked. But this
presidential campaign was supposed to be different: Liberals had set
out to duplicate the right's counter-establishment. In the past two
years, they founded a Heritage Foundation-like think tank, the
Center for American Progress, that would come up with liberal
policy ideas and make sure people articulating those ideas got on
television and radio. They started two liberal talk-radio efforts,
Air America and Democracy Radio, and a slew of liberal blogs. And
they took advantage of a loophole in campaign finance reform law to
create or bolster independent political groups--including MoveOn
and the Media Fund--that would run advertisements attacking Bush.
Although these groups would all be technically independent of the
Democratic candidate's campaign, they would nonetheless work with
him to take back the White House. "Hillary Clinton talked about the
vast right-wing conspiracy," one prominent Democrat said last year.
"Well, this is going to be the vast left-wing conspiracy."

All of these groups had different goals and methods. Assessed
individually, many can plausibly argue that they achieved them.
Taken together, however, these independent efforts were supposed to
amount to something more: the kind of megaphone that can force
issues into the public sphere. But, as this presidential race has
shown, that megaphone is still mostly silent.

One reason the liberal effort didn't gel in this campaign is
obvious: It's still in its infancy. "It took the other side thirty
years to build up their incredible machinery of ideas and
communications," says John Podesta, who heads the Center for
American Progress. "It wasn't until President Bush concentrated
everyone's attention that we really got serious about building a
counterpart." As with any new venture, it takes time to build an
infrastructure, and liberals still lack pieces like a network of
like-minded media outlets.

To understand how such an echo chamber works, it's instructive to
look at sbvt. The vets, a previously unknown group, were able to
leverage a $500,000 ad buy in three states into a race-shifting
national story.

The right-wing echo chamber--most significantly, Fox News Channel,
conservative talk radio, and the Drudge Report--played a crucial
role. Working with the conservative political consulting firm
Creative Response Concepts, the swift boat vets made sure their
allegations received heavy airing in the conservative media. In
late July, prepublication excerpts from sbvt Co-Founder John
O'Neill's book about Kerry, Unfit for Command, ran exclusively on
the Drudge Report and in Human Events, a conservative magazine that
shares an owner with the book's publisher, Regnery. In early
August, the day before the vets unveiled their first ad, the group
gave a sneak peak to Sean Hannity, who aired it on Fox News
Channel. The swift boat vets also briefed conservative talking
heads, including Bill Kristol, Fred Barnes, Rich Lowry, and Tony
Blankley, so they would be prepared to spread the gospel on chat
shows.

By the time the ad made its debut, the conservative media was
primed, and the group's allegations against Kerry spread like
wildfire through it. The New York Post and The Washington Times
gave the charges prominent play ("medal muddle--vets say kerry was
a fraud," read the Post). Conservative talk-radio hosts did more
than 500 interviews with sbvt. And Fox--whether it was Hannity or
Brit Hume or Bill O'Reilly--kept up a steady drumbeat about the
story. Thanks to the conservative echo chamber, the sbvt charges
didn't disappear, and eventually the mainstream media--much of
which was initially reluctant to cover the group's charges--could
no longer ignore them. First, CNN and msnbc went with the story.
Then, the network news broadcasts and The New York Times followed
suit with intense coverage. "It got to the point where the volume
around the story was so loud," explains Creative Response Concepts
President Greg Mueller, "in the way it was being echoed through
Drudge, and talk radio, and The New York Post, and The Washington
Times, and Fox News, and then CNN and msnbc, that The New York
Times and everybody had to start doing stories."

It was precisely this sort of echo chamber the Jersey Girls lacked.
As the mainstream media initially ignored the sbvt attack against
Kerry, it also initially ignored the Jersey Girls' endorsement of
Kerry; it was just one of the countless campaign events that
inevitably get lost in the shuffle. But, unlike the vets, the
Jersey Girls couldn't force the mainstream media to eventually pay
attention. There was no 24-hour cable network to recycle their
accusations; no ideologically simpatico newspapers to run headlines
like "bush killed my husband--9/11 widow charges"; and the liberal
talk-radio shows on which the women appeared don't yet reach many
listeners. Not even the fact that the Kerry campaign openly
embraced the Jersey Girls--something the Bush campaign never did
for the swift boat vets--could keep their story alive.

And it isn't just the Jersey Girls who have been hamstrung. A
liberal political action committee called RealVoices.org cut TV
advertisements of family members of soldiers killed in Iraq
speaking directly to President Bush. Its first ad, which was
unveiled at a press conference in Washington in late September,
featured Cindy Sheehan, a 47-year-old former youth minister whose
son Casey, an Army mechanic, was killed in Iraq. "I imagined it
would hurt if one of my kids was killed, but I never thought it
would hurt this bad," a crying Sheehan says in the ad. "When you
haven't been honest with us, when you and your advisers rushed us
into this war. How do you think we felt when we heard the Senate
report that said there was no link between Iraq and 9/11?" But,
although the audio of Sheehan's ad received heavy (free) play on Air
America, and MoveOn paid to have it aired on television in several
battleground states, Sheehan has been unable to generate much
positive free media. "I'm disappointed with the coverage we've
gotten so far. I thought that the coverage didn't begin to capture
the importance of the story," says RealVoices.org's founder, Deane
Little.

"The disadvantage is in how you deliver your message," says Brock.
"Rush [Limbaugh] reads their material on the air regularly. That's
fifteen million people hearing that. I do go on Al Franken's show
[on Air America] for half an hour every Wednesday, and [the
nationally syndicated liberal talk-radio host] Ed Schultz's show
for an hour every other Friday, but the reach isn't the same."

Even Michael Moore has suffered for the lack of a left-wing echo
chamber. While Fahrenheit 9/11 received plenty of media attention,
liberal columnists and talking heads were just as likely to attack
Moore's movie for bending the truth as they were to celebrate it.
"When the swift boat ads came out, the right-wing and conservative
columnists all jumped on the bandwagon and wrote from the same
talking points. When Fahrenheit 9/11 came along, you had various
liberal op-ed writers who felt they needed to be objective," says
Democratic strategist Chris Lehane, who consulted for Moore. "Our
side tends to hold intellectual honesty up as an important
factor."

But, even if liberals had an echo chamber, the efforts at a
left-wing conspiracy would have had other problems. As this
presidential race has amply demonstrated, for independent efforts
to work, they need help from the campaign.

Although laws prohibit direct coordination between campaigns and
most independent groups, explicit coordination wasn't necessary for
conservative groups to bolster the Bush campaign's message. "The
Republicans stepped back and decided to paint John Kerry as a
flip-flopper," says one Democratic strategist. "Every single day,
they got up with a plan to do that. When Bush himself and the Bush
campaign every single day says that John Kerry is a flip- flopper,
it doesn't take a great deal of expertise to realize that's the
message and to craft your ads accordingly." The strategist
continues, "There's been nothing like that from the Democratic side
and the Kerry campaign. No one woke up in the spring and said,
'This campaign's going to be about X; every single day we're going
to talk about George Bush and X.'"

Another Democratic strategist who worked on independent efforts has
the same complaint. "The natural and correct inclination of outside
independent groups is to follow the lead of the campaign. ... And
that's been virtually impossible. I think everybody involved in
outside groups has been involved in meetings and conference calls
in which people just threw up their hands and screamed about the
lack of an identifiable coherent message from the Kerry campaign."

Indeed, the most notable thing about the left's independent
political efforts is how muddled they've been. Unlike
conservatives, who recognized the negative frame Bush sought to
hang around Kerry and repeated that message, liberal groups have
tried numerous different approaches. MoveOn ran hysterical attacks
that branded Bush as a liar and a menace; the Media Fund,
meanwhile, ran ads that were more straightforward attacks on Bush
for sending jobs overseas. But, in recent weeks, the Media Fund
began running ads that hit Bush for his ties to the Saudi royal
family. "That particular line of argumentation became a lot more
natural and appealing because the campaign has almost entirely
shifted to foreign and military policy," says the Media Fund's Jim
Jordan. Of course, the Media Fund probably thought of that months
ago but couldn't run the ads because the Kerry campaign was
studiously avoiding foreign policy at the time.

And the Kerry campaign's incoherence--and reluctance, until
recently, to bash Bush's character--also had a chilling effect on
independent efforts. Not long after the swift boat ads came out,
one Democratic strategist tried to organize an independent 527
around the Jersey Girls. The strategist envisioned an ad in which
the widows would ask Bush why he has yet to capture Osama bin
Laden. But, when the strategist went to donors to raise money for
the spots, he discovered few had the stomach. "If you're a Bush
supporter and you're giving millions to the swift boat vets, you
know no one in the Republican Party is going to be mad at you,"
says the strategist. "But, if you're a Democrat and you have a
party and a nominee complaining all the time about these negative
attacks, you might not want to be associated with negative attacks,
even if they're against the other guy." The group was never formed,
and the ad was never produced.

Kerry's improved performance since the first debate has soothed some
liberals' nerves, and many are already taking a philosophical
approach to assessing this campaign--whatever its outcome. "It's
young," Brock says of the left's attempts to duplicate the right's
machinery of communications and ideas. "I don't think people can
expect some of these extremely young institutions and efforts are
going to be having the full impact of their potential in the matter
of just a few months." Like a number of liberals, he believes that,
as these institutions grow and the left gets more accustomed to how
these independent efforts work, the vast left-wing conspiracy, so
to speak, will come together. Groups like the Center for American
Progress and MoveOn will become more sophisticated; liberal talk
radio will grow. Indeed, some Democrats even whisper that a Bush
victory could be the best thing to happen to the liberal echo
chamber, since it would energize the left.

But other liberals are less sanguine. They say that improvements in
infrastructure will mean nothing unless the left gets more
comfortable making negative attacks and smarter about how it makes
them. "If you look at a lot of the stuff that circulates on the
left-wing blogs and with MoveOn about how Bush is a liar, it
doesn't move anybody," says one liberal strategist. "Conservatives
are very good about slowing down and thinking about not what will
make them feel good to say, but what charge will be most credible
with voters."

Either way, there does seem to be one surefire way to measure
whether the vast left-wing conspiracy has come together. "If we're
sitting here four years from now and talking about why we don't
have our own swift boat ad," says the strategist, "then we'll know
we still haven't figured it out."

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