ECONOMY DECEMBER 8, 2010
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As the Irish financial crisis culminated in an 85 billion euro bailout, the very thing the Dublin government had insisted until the last moment it would never accept, one theme could be heard from Dundalk to Bantry. It wasn’t just that the interest rates and other terms were harsh, especially when compared with the earlier rescue of feckless Greece, or that the brunt will be borne by ordinary people, with a ferocious reduction of public spending, slashed salaries, layoffs, and worse to come.
But the rage among the huge crowds demonstrating in Dublin was more than simply economic, it was patriotic. “We’ll be handing over our sovereignty,” said one elderly man, while in an overwrought editorial headed “WAS IT FOR THIS?” The Irish Times asked whether this was “what the men of 1916 died for: a bailout from the German chancellor with a few shillings of sympathy from the British chancellor on the side.” (The editorialist seemed to acknowledge a certain irony in posing the question like that in those pages, aware perhaps that at the time of the 1916 Easter Rising, his newspaper had been bitterly hostile to the rebels.) This reaction has already had political consequences. Three days before the bailout, the government lost a crucial by-election in Donegal, which left Brian Cowen, the prime minister, with only the most tenuous parliamentary majority.
That by-election was won by Sinn Fein, the ultra-nationalist party—“neo-fascist” is the term used by the novelist and critic John Banville—which was the official face, though junior partner, of the Irish Republican Army (IRA) while it carried out its campaign of terrorist murder. Now Gerry Adams, leader of the movement and a former head of the IRA, has said that he is ready to enter Dublin politics. The circumstances are propitious enough. Extreme nationalist parties are flourishing across Europe, and in Ireland there is an ancient wound of resentment, which had only seemingly been healed by Ireland’s slow path to modernity.
What those enraged protesters never ask is whether Ireland really had any sovereignty to hand over. Did “the men of 1916” and their heirs ever achieve true national freedom, or was it what might be called virtual independence?
ALTHOUGH I AM unavoidably English, I know Ireland quite well, having explored most corners of the island while visiting it yearly for more than 40 years, and in the process witnessing a breathtaking change. In the 1960s, indigent backwardness hit you in the face. Ireland was barely touched by the modern age, with landscape and little towns which would have been familiar to Somerville and Ross, and Dublin still recognizably the city which is the true hero of Ulysses, from its shabby beauty to its sheer poverty.
This was Eamon de Valera’s Ireland. That extraordinary figure had been one of the leaders of the Easter Rising and would have been shot with the others if he hadn’t been American by birth. But he survived, and, after fomenting a savage little civil war, “Dev” became prime minister in the year that FDR was elected president, to resign the year before JFK was. Even then, he became titular president of the republic, which he remained until the age of 90, a tall man casting a long shadow.
In a speech in 1943, he spoke about “the Ireland that we dreamed of ... the home of a people who valued material wealth only as a basis for right living, of a people who, satisfied with frugal comfort, devoted their leisure to the things of the spirit. ... The home, in short, of a people living the life that God desires that men should live.” Although those words excite derision in sophisticated Dublin today, they weren’t ignoble.
But did Dev’s dream describe an Ireland the Irish actually wanted? Whether or not they wanted it, “frugal” was certainly what they got, not to say unemployment and emigration. Then came the transformation, beginning when Ireland joined the European Economic Community in 1973. For most of the century, Ireland had had the lowest growth rate in Europe, until European funds pump-primed an economic takeoff which at first had some meaning in terms of education, innovation, and productivity, but which would show darker sides.
To encourage investment—and to the silent rage of other European countries—Ireland became a huge offshore tax haven, with the corporation tax cut from 32 percent to 12.5 percent and with some very rich people, if Dublin journalists are to be believed, effectively paying no taxes at all. Tax breaks supposed to fuel productive enterprise fueled instead a grotesque housing-credit bubble.
This was gloatingly justified as a brilliant success for market capitalism, although it was never a true Wirtschaftswunder. The prime minister from 1997 to 2008 was Bertie Ahern. No student of Ludwig von Mises, he just liked the way “the boom is getting boomier,” as he boasted while an unregulated financial sector ran out of control and debt exploded.
Under Ahern, house prices more than doubled, despite the fact that supply far outstripped demand: Between 2006 and 2009, 2,945 new homes were built in remote County Leitrim, with a population of less than 30,000, as the whole of rural Ireland was spray-painted with garish bungalows. See Ian Jack’s essay, “Ireland: the Rise & the Crash,” in the November 11 issue of The New York Review of Books and read the book he is reviewing, Ship of Fools, by Fintan O’Toole, who has long played Cassandra to his deluded compatriots.
No one listened. Bankers and politicians were alike culprits, with Anglo Irish Bank increasing its loan book between 2001 and 2008 from 15.1 billion to 100 billion euros, gleefully encouraged by the government of Fianna Fail, the party created by de Valera which now has some claim to be the most corrupt in Western Europe. In the end, Ahern resigned under a cloud of scandal, though that didn’t stop the fabled Washington Speakers Bureau from hiring him as a highly paid apostle of boomier free enterprise.
He seems not to be so much in demand now, although he remains a paragon of honesty compared with one of his predecessors. Charles Haughey was prime minister until 1992, when his career ended in disgrace. It might have occurred to his voters well before then to ask how a man who was born poor and spent his life as a professional politician had ended up flagrantly rich, with a country house and a private island.
OF COURSE, THE “Celtic Tiger” was a brutal rejection of Dev’s vision of simple, devout Gaelic autonomy. But that vision had failed on its own terms. At no time since the Free State was born in 1922 has Ireland been genuinely independent—not as Finland is. This is a fascinating comparison, and most revealing. Both countries appeared to win freedom early in the last century, but one acquired virtual independence and the other the real thing, from language to defense to finance.
Maybe it was the forbidding Finnish climate that fostered an honest and industrious ethic, or maybe Lutheranism. At any rate, Finland has achieved the things that Ireland aspired to. Today, the Finns speak Finnish, which isn’t even an Indo-European language, though I may say that the chap selling you a ticket on the Helsinki metro also speaks better English than his equivalent on the London Underground. And the Irish speak English, after the decline of the Gaelic language and then the failure of an attempted revival.
Both countries were neutral as well as ostensibly sovereign, but one meant it. In late 1939, Finland was invaded by Soviet Russia and held the Red Army at bay for four heroic months. De Valera’s Irish statelet had almost no military capacity at all and couldn’t have resisted the Red Army for four hours. Although Ireland maintained a sullen neutrality throughout World War II, the truth was, as George Orwell pointed out at the time: Ireland’s supposed sovereignty and neutrality depended entirely on the strength of the Royal Navy.
And finally there is the economy. When the two countries became autonomous after the Great War, Ireland had a much larger per capita income than Finland, but within half a century the position was reversed. Finland turned into the most admirable country in Europe, with a thriving market economy on the one hand and with outstanding public services on the other, as against what O’Toole calls Ireland’s Third World health system. With all their vigorous capitalism, their traditions led the Finns to expect a high standard of honesty from politicians and bankers.
Although I’ve detected a note of schadenfreude in some of the British commentary on the death agony of the Celtic Tiger, none of this is written with any pleasure. Watching any country emerge from poverty should be a cause for pleasure. But the danger was clear to see. After all, that fascinating Irish writer Standish O’Grady warned his countrymen as long ago as 1886 that they might end up with “a shabby and sordid Irish Republic ruled by knavish, corrupt politicians and the ignoble rich.”
A still more remarkable Irishman knew what he meant. Conor Cruise O’Brien’s own career in Dublin politics had not been happy, which sharpened his sardonic view. Some years ago, we stood outside a restaurant in St. Stephen’s Green after an unusually long lunch, and he said slowly, “It is not pleasant living in a country whose political culture you despise.” O’Brien was often reviled while alive; doesn’t he now seem prescient?
Geoffrey Wheatcroft’s books include The Strange Death of Tory England, and Yo, Blair! This article appeared in the December 30, 2010, issue of the magazine.
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12 comments
“Of course, the “Celtic Tiger” was a brutal rejection of Dev’s vision of simple, devout Gaelic autonomy.” That “simple vision” also included Eamon de Valera going to the German embassy in 1945 and signing a condolence book there after Hitler committed suicide.
- jdyer
December 9, 2010 at 4:22pm
Finland had the distinct advantage of not being subjected to centuries of brutal English colonial rule and genocide.
- edryanxx
December 24, 2010 at 8:46am
Terve, terve Suomi!
- Bukharin
December 30, 2010 at 7:16am
I'm sure there's a fair amount of truth in this article (I enjoyed "The Strange Death of Tory England" a great deal), but Geoff sounds like just a bit of a British arsehole here, as so many Brits do when they talk about Ireland. It's difficult to be objective about a nation that you've pissed on for centuries--rather like Americans and race.
- AlanVann
December 30, 2010 at 9:13am
"...house prices more than doubled, despite the fact that supply far outstripped demand". Supply side economics work! Supply creates demand! "Tax breaks supposed to fuel productive enterprise fueled instead a grotesque housing-credit bubble." Of yeah, that's right. It doesn't. Pity we haven't learnt that lesson yet.
- Nari224
December 30, 2010 at 10:15am
First of all, I don't appreciate the cartoon, which has a long tradition in lazy publications Stateside: http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/6/66/TheUsualIrishWayofDoingThings.jpg (I'm looking forward to the ministrel caricature in TNR's next article about black americans.) Geoffrey - I always enjoy listening to you on the radio here and most of what you say is self evident and true. We certainly don't need to be reminded about Fianna Fail anymore but the most corrupt party in Europe? That's some stretch. The most incompetent, feckless and narrow minded party in Europe, completely devoid of talent or imagination? Absolutely, it's not even close. If you polled people, even at the height of the pyramid scam, about wanting Ireland to be more like Finland: you would have gotten a firm majority in favour of having a social economic model like the Finnish. The only difference is, they seem capable of getting the pollitics they desire, while we get grossly negligent and staggeringly incompetent rural solicitors and school teachers trying to run the country. I was on that march and thought Fintan O'Toole's speech was eloquent and effective, as did the rest of the crowd. And no, it wasn't the "Dalkey Left" there, it was all ages and classes. (Personally, I think the unions are half the problem but I thought it was important to show up and show some solidarity.) The only reason George threw us a few pounds is because the money is recycled straight back to the UK banks who took a table at the casino, and are now insisting that Irish public services be cut so they don't have to pay for their reckless risk taking. The notion that an intelligent man like yourself can portray the British "loan" as some kind of charity is pretty depressing to be honest. Also, your comparison with Finland is disingenous. Contrasting the survival of Finnish with Gaelic is absurd. Finland didn't suffer the worst (per head of population) famine the world has ever seen, which wiped out the Gaelic speakers from the island in less than three decades, leaving the language clinging on in a few coastal strips on the island. You insinuate that we just gave up on the language; feckless Irish. The truth is that the British government and Crown, watched us starve to death because the economic orthodoxy of the day demanded it. Their economic orthodoxy of the day. Yours. Half the population perished or emigrated. It's like saying the Jews abandoned ancient Israel cause they couldn't be arsed staying in the place, in stark contrast to the Arabs who never left Palestine. Get a grip. You're right to point out that there was nothing malicious about Devs innocent vision. It was exactly that: innocent. You better get the next round when you're over again Wheatcroft for this shabby piece of work. The state of ye.
- IggyPop
December 30, 2010 at 1:00pm
Also, you would have been better pointing to Sean Lemass as the starting point for our change of fortunes, not the EU cash. Although, you might find it difficult to understand that there's not always a foreign infuence responsible for our meager successes. It's very important that TNR readers understand that the EU recieved 5 Billiion in fishing rights as a quid pro quo for that structural fund money. And boy are they loving our membership now. Laughing all the way to the Deutsche Bank.
- IggyPop
December 30, 2010 at 1:38pm
Agree with Iggy and I'd only add that a real deep-structural problem is the existence of two large conservative parties whose only major differences are (a) their historical origins in the rejection of the 1922 Treaty and (b) a certain cultural split over values and ethics. The result is that by and large Irish electorates have never had the hard job of making a choice between actual political/economic philosophies, and for most of the twentieth century Labor was caught behind the eight-ball of nationalism and, unlike in much of the rest of Europe, never got to shape the choices.
- ironyroad
December 30, 2010 at 2:25pm
Absolutely right Irony; I think most TNR readers would struggle with Fianna Fail v Fine Gael.
- IggyPop
December 30, 2010 at 2:33pm
Solid comments by Iggy. But...although Wheatcroft may owe you a drink, he's right about the sovereignty issue. The banker/politician class sold the country down the river in a way that Finland might have but for the reasons he cites didn't. The basic fallacy at work here is the illusion that you can have a monetary union without a political union. The euro can't work without a common European authority to pass and enforce real laws, including those about taxation and spending. In other words, you can have sovereignty or you can have a common currency. You can't have both. Ireland's pols were only too happy to grab the boodle and waive sovereignty. The same tragic scenario is currently playing out here in Poland. The increasingly young and historically challenged voters have thrown out the embarrassingly unfashionable Law and Justice party (with a significant assist from Russia, which murdered most of the party's leadership along with President Kaczynski at Smolensk). The government is now in the hands of "Europeans" rather than Poles, a motley collection of crooks, ex-spies, and witting or unwitting dupes of Vladimir Putin. Under PiS Poland was significantly Euro-skeptic and nationalistic. As a direct result of having it's own currency it was the single European economy to maintain growth through the recent global recession. Inexplicably, unless you concede that Putin is calling the shots, the new boys just can't wait to book passage on the euro-Titanic. People should learn from the example of others.
- Robert Powell
January 1, 2011 at 2:50pm
Based on the little I know about recent economic trends in Ireland, I find this piece incompetent because irresponsibly incomplete, a report by an avid tourist almost exclusively interested in curiosities, sightseeing, gossip and superficials. It is easy by just going around to see a housing bubble. Deeper economic realities take some digging. In fact, the Irish boom was based on much more than a financial bubble. During the boom, many hundreds of foreign companies established manufacturing plants in Ireland, hiring tens of thousands of workers in a country of fewer than 4 million people. Tourism expanded, as did locally owned businesses including manufacturing and services to the new and expanding businesses and their employees. These were real, tangible economic activities, not just paper pushing. Much certainly went wrong despite the inflow of capital and the establishment of well paying jobs, but Wheatcroft gives no hint of what it was or is.
- PeteBeck
January 1, 2011 at 4:15pm
What's up with the cartoon? Hard to take TNR seriously on Ireland when it offers such a repulsive caricature of Irish people to its readers. I assume Mr Wheatcroft is blameless in the matter, but I do wish someone at TNR would exercise better judgment. Very offensive. Neil
- purcellneil
January 3, 2011 at 12:21pm