POLITICS MARCH 3, 2011
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Last December, I asked a prominent K Street Republican what he thought his party’s top priority would be following its successes in the midterm elections. He didn’t mince words. “Public employee unions are going to get hosed, and they deserve to get hosed,” he told me. So, I wasn’t exactly surprised when Republican governors in Wisconsin and Ohio put the public unions in their states on a hit list. Not merely by trying to cut their wages and benefits, which several Democratic governors are also trying to do, but by trying to snuff out their very existence.
The governors themselves insist that, in depriving the unions of the right to bargain for their members, they will make it easier to balance state budgets. Never mind that the unions themselves have agreed to a pay and benefit cut, and that Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker accompanied his bid to abolish collective bargaining with state business tax cuts of about $120 million. Of course, it’s possible that the governors believe that, in the future, they will be in a better position to reduce costs if they don’t have to bargain with unions. Still, it’s more likely that they’ve been motivated by an additional consideration.
For 20 years, if not longer, conservative Republicans have been lamenting the power of public unions to raise money and campaign for Democratic candidates. In the 1990s, Republicans put initiatives on state ballots to discourage unions from spending their members’ money on campaigns. And, in 2002, after George W. Bush tried to block unions from organizing workers at the Department of Homeland Security, Republicans embarked on a more ambitious attempt to deny bargaining rights to public workers. Now, Republicans like Walker seem to believe that, if they can further defang the unions, they can permanently alter the country’s political landscape. And here’s the scary part: They’re right.
Republican antipathy to labor unions goes way back. During the 1920s, Republicans championed the “American plan” of corporate paternalism as an alternative to trade unionism. In 1947, after Republicans took control of Congress, a coalition of small-town Republicans and conservative Southern Democrats passed the Taft-Hartley Act over Harry Truman’s veto. Among other things, the act allowed states to pass Right-to-Work laws that forbade a union from requiring that new workers in a business it had organized become members. That allowed the new workers to become free-riders or to be recruited by employers to decertify the union. By the early 1950s, most of the South and some Rocky Mountain states had passed Right-to-Work laws, which partly accounts for the lack of unions in those states and for their conservative politics.
Public employee unions didn’t really didn’t get off the ground until the 1950s. Over the next two decades, the federal, state, and local government workforce grew dramatically, from six million in 1950 to 12.5 million in 1970—18 percent of the adult workforce. The newly unionized public employees ranged from heavily minority postal and sanitation workers to college-educated teachers or nurses. The American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees (AFSCME) and other public employee unions played an unheralded role in the civil rights and feminist battles of the 1960s—when Martin Luther King was assassinated in Memphis in 1968, he was helping AFSCME organize the city’s sanitation workers. The unions also found a receptive hearing from elected officials—moderate Republicans as well as Democrats.
In the current phase of anti-union activity, which dates from the early ’90s, the key figure is Grover Norquist, the founder of Americans for Tax Reform. His ultimate aim, he told Reason in 1997, was to “crush unions as a political entity.” Norquist championed, and helped fund, initiative campaigns in California and Oregon the next year to require union members to approve the use of their dues for political expenditures. These initiatives failed, but they sparked broader agitation around public employee unions. They also led conservatives to contemplate a more drastic strategy: to wipe out public unions altogether. That remedy, however, would require Republican governors and Republican legislatures.
In 2003, newly elected Kentucky Governor Ernie Fletcher eliminated union representation for state workers; in 2005, Republican governors in Missouri and in Indiana (where there was no budget crisis) eliminated collective bargaining. The Democrats’ successes in the 2006 and 2008 elections set back Republican plans to curb union power. However, as the bloom went off Barack Obama’s presidency and Republicans’ electoral prospects improved, conservatives once again set their sights on the public unions. During the last year, conservative think tanks, journals, and blogs were awash with calls to curb the public unions’ political power by eliminating their bargaining rights.
Norquist and the conservatives are correct about the political benefits that Democrats have received from public employee unions. As private-sector unions have hemorrhaged members, AFSCME, the Service Employees International Union, the American Federation of Teachers, and the National Education Association have taken up much of the slack in funding and working on Democratic campaigns. Like private-sector unions, they have also promoted not simply their own interests, but a liberal agenda that generally benefits working- and middle-class Americans, as well as the poor. Raising the minimum wage, for instance, has not directly affected union members; yet the labor movement has been at the forefront of fighting to increase it. You can’t pinpoint it with polling, but public and private unions have encouraged a general political outlook that is more congenial to Democratic communitarianism than Republican individualism.
If you look at a map of the 25 states where a majority of public employees are unionized, 19 of them are dependably Democratic. Conversely, all the states that lack collective bargaining for public employees are even more dependably Republican. Now, if Walker and Ohio’s John Kasich do manage to eliminate collective bargaining in their states, that doesn’t mean they will automatically vote Republican in future elections. There are other factors, such as abortion rights or clean air, that lead voters to choose one candidate over another. But, as Nate Silver recently demonstrated, the reduction of the unionized labor force—along with a drop in union funding and volunteers—can shave enough support from a candidate to tilt a close race from one party to the other.
There is more at stake here, however, than which party wins elections. At the height of the New Deal, in Franklin Roosevelt’s first term, the United States was on a political trajectory that would have resembled that of post-World War II Western Europe: a full-blown social democracy with national health insurance, generous unemployment benefits, first-rate public transportation, and equal access to higher education. In the Northeast and far West, the United States has moved in this direction, but not in much of the South and border states, where wages, benefits, and the standard of living tend to be considerably lower.
There are many reasons why the South has remained an outlier—not least, the legacy of racial division. But one important reason is the widespread absence of an organized labor movement. This has hindered the development of a multiracial, working-class movement that could have championed liberal Democratic politics. Instead, the Bourbon Democrats, who opposed the New Deal, were eventually replaced by like-minded Bourbon Republicans, like Mississippi’s Haley Barbour, who wasn’t satisfied with the absence of collective bargaining for public employees: He wants to eliminate their civil service protections, too.
If Wisconsin and Ohio and similar states in the North eradicate public employee unions, it will certainly make it harder for Democrats to carry these crucial swing states. But it will also thwart the development of social liberalism in these states and, therefore, in the rest of the country. Voters will increasingly lack the spirit of social solidarity and responsibility that union membership has encouraged over the years. The politics of the Midwest could increasingly resemble those of the South—where God, guns, and race often trump economic considerations among the white working class—and where, as a result, the narrow interests of business prevail. Democrats could still win elections in such places, but only by abandoning the last vestiges of New Deal liberalism. It won’t just be the public employees unions that will get hosed. It will be the rest of us, too.
John B. Judis is a senior editor at The New Republic. This article originally ran in the March 24, 2011, issue of the magazine.
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20 comments
Excellent summary. Destroying the Unions is yet another part of the "Race To The Bottom" in America, turning us ever more into a third-world economy.
- AllanL5
March 4, 2011 at 8:21am
The irony is how little faith "Rah-rah, America is great" Republicans have in American institutions and the country's ability to compete with third world economies when their only solution is to bust unions and encourage coporations to pay workers as little as possible. Truly the road to American "greatness."
- Claris
March 4, 2011 at 9:26am
Actually, why shouldn't the Republicans try to scale back on the unions' influence in politics? In fact, why should they have to resort to such backdoor tactics of doing so like taking away their collective bargaining rights? Why not just directly regulate their political activities, with the possibility of jail time for those who lobby on behalf of those who leech off the public trough? After all, restricting one's political opponents' campaigning activities, as in revoking the broadcast licenses of stations that support his opponents, has worked quite well for Hugo for most of the past decade.
- sighthnd
March 4, 2011 at 9:36am
Thanks, John Judis -- gets it right. So how long will it be before we see a replay of the union organizing fights of the late 19th/early 20th centuries? Current events are dovetailing with the 100th anniversary of the Triangle fire on March 25th. Can the unions and their supporters use what's happening in Wisconsin and other states to start rebuilding their strength?
- LISAH
March 4, 2011 at 10:10am
And here’s the scary part: They’re right. Oh Bullshit. Sorry, but I disagree with this premise. The US elected a black man with the Muslim sounding name of Barrack Hussein Obama, it did this in spite of everything the Republicans threw at him, and he won big. Unless Republicans want to get rid of Democracy they will periodically lose because Republican governance does not meet the needs of the majority of the people (ok in the North it did with people like Tom Kean, or issues like Romneycare, but who knows when moderate Republicans will return) As to public unions, there is sadly a sense in America that they have overreached. I know cops who retire at 43, and this annoys a lot of people. Recently during the snowstorms in Jersey I talked to a friend who lives there who was pissed that the roads were not plowed and he blamed the Unions, I had to explain to him that Christie did not budget enough money, that NJ doesn't have snowplows but they contract the job out to private firms, and private firms are not going to do it for free, unionized or not. Fundamentally, when Republicans no longer have unions to blame everything on they themselves will find themselves doomed since they have no answers to improving the lives of common people. In the south they get away with "at least you are better than a..." but that won't fly in the rest of the country. Let me add though that unions themselves are not the answer, what is the sense of having a wealthy public work force and an impoverished private work force? Democrats themselves have to have answers as to global competitiveness. Even educationally it will be more difficult to compete when a Chinese or Indian engineer will work for 10% of the salary of an American.
- blackton
March 4, 2011 at 10:52am
This piece shows a comical ignorance of any compelling counterarguments. I laughed out loud, when I read "Like private-sector unions, they have also promoted not simply their own interests, but a liberal agenda that generally benefits working- and middle-class Americans, as well as the poor. Raising the minimum wage, for instance, has not directly affected union members; yet the labor movement has been at the forefront of fighting to increase it." The reason labor unions want to increase the minimum wage has nothing to with working class solidarity. Rather it is that a higher minimum wage makes it harder for non-union workers to compete with union workers by working for lower wages. The same was true for the Davis-Bacon act (which also was aimed at eliminating competition from minorities).
- DWAnderson
March 4, 2011 at 11:09am
Walker cut taxes and then claimed that the right of collective bargaining must give way to a balanced budget. That is the same as taking away rights to collect more revenue, like what happened at the formation of this country. This is the reverse of how our rights were obtained in the first place. After Magna Charta the King, when he needed money, gave up power to get consent for taxes -- like the right not to be compelled to incriminate, the right of due process, and the right to a say in legislation. We're going backward.
- Nusholtz
March 4, 2011 at 11:14am
blackton: You cite Obama's election as proof that the Democrats, and progressive in general, can still succeed politically in this country. How did Obama do in right-to-work states? Are you saying that any difference is coincidental? As for Republicans' failure to deliver what their constituents want eventually costing them politically, that will only happen if some opposition can get its message out about how the Republicans' policies are failing to deliver and what they would do differently. Emasculating the unions would get in the way of that. Look at what Putin gets by shutting the opposition off of the airwaves -- he can do virtually whatever he pleases. Starving progressives of funds would have the same effect.
- sighthnd
March 4, 2011 at 11:51am
sighthnd, again my point is that Republicans are doomed to fail because in government they tend to suck big time. In the south Democrats until this past election controlled both houses in Alabama, they also held many statehouses. There are plenty of Democratic Senators from red states, all in states that are right to work states. Ohio is a union state and Democrats got creamed in 2010. The notion that Democrats are doomed without public worker unions is absurd and I am certain that Walker will get a huge wake up call at mid terms. I have no idea why Judis is playing right into the Republican pipe dream that the Democratic party is only as strong as the union members.
- blackton
March 4, 2011 at 12:18pm
Good article, but if anything calls for "correlation is not causation" caution it is the correlation between union strength and liberal policy. Support for liberal economic policy these days boils down to class consciousness, to use an old-fashioned term. Does union membership create class consciousness, or does class consciousness create labor movements? I don't know, but I am inclined to believe they feed on one another. If that is right, then liberals should be looking not just to ways of preserving or bringing back the labor movement, but also at alternative ways of creating class consciousness. And for that, the first step should be a thorough repudiation of the New Left's turn away from economic issues.
- dpaup
March 4, 2011 at 12:23pm
Slightly off-topic comment, but I believe, relevant in the larger discussion. I keep hearing about how Indians and Chinese make a fraction of what people in the US make. That is almost certainly true of Chinese manufacturing (I don't have more than a superficial knowledge of the subject), and Indian manufacturing, such as it is. But as far as technology workers in India and China go ... I work for a company that has a very large presence in India and China, and other than the bottom rung of people (the call center types that answer the phones, who make about 25% of what people here would), salaries are growing like crazy. As you go up the chain, they become exponentially higher, and by the time you are at middle management, salaries are at parity with what people in the US make. Point being that the US outsourcing of "knowledge work" to India and China in large numbers will gradually reduce - assuming we continue to produce knowledge workers in the needed numbers in this country.
- NR409654
March 4, 2011 at 12:45pm
When there are plenty of "goodies" to go around (abundance and rising liviing standards), people will sometimes elbow each other to get what they consider the very finest items, but there generally an air of good humor and tolerance. When the shelves are beginning to look empty, and water is coming in through leaks in the hull of the ship, then the fighting begins to get really nasty. We are in the Great Depression #2 that we feared so long, and it quite well may be worse than the first one. The nastiness of the fight in Wisconsin is just the first of many "death matches" to come. OK, I am going out to the coop to see if our chickens have laid any eggs. Then I will work on getting the soil in our garden ready to plant this year's crop. We are not "survivalists" and we are not "armed to the teeth," but we are definitely learning to live on fewer resources and be moe self-sufficient. I am not joking. I once had a United Auto Workers membership certificate (from one summer of work while in college) which guaranteed me the ability to rejoin the union at any time if I ever went to work on the assembly line again (dating back to a job from about 45 years ago). I don't regret not keeping it. For that matter, I did not keep up my teaching certificate and my membership iin the National Education Association. Long gone. Out to the chicken run and the garden!
- skahn
March 4, 2011 at 3:36pm
I agree with Blackton. Republicans suck at governance. The whole economy was financed by a massive real estate bubble under Bush, and Bush was elected to his first term because of a disastrous and fraudulent Supreme Court in 2000. This country leans Democratic and public unions are not its savior. And who says that private sector unions can't pick up the slack? Have you SEEN the companies that employ private sector unions? UPS, Costco, Southwest Airlines and I know Detroit is everyone's whipping boy, but GM, Ford and Chrysler are also heavily unionized and are performing quite well post-bailout (though Ford didn't take a bailout). And also, Sweden, Norway, Finland, Denmark, Germany are HEAVILY UNIONIZED countries that are OUTPERFORMING EVERYONE ELSE!! Yes they have their public sector unions, but nobody points to the fact that well-performing European countries are also their most unionized (though Iceland, too is very unionized but they are not performing as well due to the asset bubble). I'm wondering if there will now be a full-pressure movement for the Employee Free Choice Act to rejuvenate union membership and get people making things in this country. Public sector unions are not the best thing Democrats have. Ideas are. And our ideas have won over the country and will continue to do so. Fox News is a new phenomenon and their outsized influence on this past election shows it. But it isn't like people like these Republicans. Let them stand up for the ignorant and worthless broke people while Democrats stand up for business, the environment and common well-financed safety net. Get rid of public unions and the safety net is guaranteed for future generations.
- RedState
March 4, 2011 at 3:39pm
And finally, if we're so afraid of the public unions losing their benefits as a signal of the crash of the middle class, then why don't us liberals get rich doing the right things and hire people at reasonable wages? There are laws of economics and apart from the public unions outcry in Wisconsin, why don't people focus on the other crap that Gov. Walker is doing to bog down clean energy in more regulations while giving no-bid contracts to the Koch heads to run the public power plants? That's some Halliburton cronyism that should also be fought, especially as this slimeball Walker positions himself as a "pro-growth" governor yet systematically shuts out the growing industries of organic farming, wind, solar and geothermal energy production? This is what is pissing me off about this guy. Also his denial of transit funds that would have created lots of jobs and merged Madison, Milwaukee and Chicago together to create a hub outside of the congested and broken down highways.
- RedState
March 4, 2011 at 3:52pm
The problem of powerful unions in the public sector is best answered by ensuring powerful unions in the private sector.
- IggyPop
March 4, 2011 at 5:19pm
People in Wisconsin are focusing on that other crap, RedState, as we well should. The bill would also do away with mandated recycling, and eliminate state funding for recycling programs.
- beija_flor
March 4, 2011 at 6:27pm
Any contract negotiated via collective bargaining between public unions and elected politicians must be submitted to approval/disapproval by public referendum. Currently, the voting public is "represented" at the bargaining table by politicians who routinely solicit political contributions from the union officials with whom they are "bargaining". Political office-holders sooth the public unions by sweetening modest current wage increases with generous retirement and other benefits. Some insist that public unions be barred from making any political contributions. Such an anti-democratic proposal fails to place the taxpayer at the bargaining table. A public referendum nails him to a seat.
- nmnelson
March 4, 2011 at 6:44pm
Oh heaven forbid we should recycle.
- Sophia
March 4, 2011 at 7:07pm
the article writes: "For 20 years, if not longer, conservative Republicans have been lamenting the power of public unions to raise money and campaign for Democratic candidates. " And is this not a problem? Having a governor reward lavish campaign contributions with a massive pay increase while everyone else stays flat or declines sits OK with you? It's not really open for debate that public employees have seen massive gains in the last two decades in terms of their compensation, far in excess of private. Where does it stop? Public employees are better compensated their their private counterparts. And you STILL see no problem? When they are 2X better than their private counterparts will you see a problem there? It was a problem with FDR and Carter and Reagan, all who saw the conflict of interest.
- seattleeng
March 5, 2011 at 6:44pm
Another interesting data point I just read: In 2000, employee pensions costs NY state taxpayers $100M. Today it $1.5B. this is a 1900% increase in 15 years, at a time when inflation grew by just 24%. In other words, public employee pension burdens on the tax payer grew at 80 times the cost of inflation. to those that believe this is sustainable, you are flat out wrong. Benefits can TRACK inflation (as Walker is offering), but you cannot expect taxpayers to pay for somethign that grows faster than--let alone 80X faster than--the cost of inflation. Here's another interesting thought. Previously, I've noted that a teachers retirement package is worth $1.5M. the math if straightforward there: If you want someone to pay you $90K per year in retirement (money and healthcare)and you live for 30 years after retirement, then the math is simple. Now, to earn that $1.5M pension, that roughly requires you to put in $50K/year while you are working. And of course, she would have an average base salary of $50 or $60. So, if a teacher took a compensation path similar to most workers today, a teacher right out of school could earn her normal $30K starting salary, BUT she'd also get the roughly $50K that would be going towards her pension. In other words, ditch the pension and you'd see teacher starting salaries jump to $60 or $70, and teachers on the edge of retirement earning $150K or $160K. Still great health care. Just no pension. Same as any high-tech company todya. Why not let teachers decide what they want?
- seattleeng
March 6, 2011 at 5:43pm