POLITICS JUNE 9, 2011
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The drab Amtrak depot in Detroit, Michigan, was recently the venue for a truly surreal scene: A Republican governor accepted—gratefully—a check from the Obama administration. This was not just any federal funding, either, but $200 million for that most Europhiliac of abominations: passenger rail. Wisconsin’s Scott Walker, Ohio’s John Kasich, and Florida’s Rick Scott had all rejected the money. But here was Rick Snyder, the state’s new Republican governor, standing shoulder-to-shoulder with Carl Levin, John Conyers, and John Dingell, beaming genially and brandishing a giant check. “It’s about economic development,” Snyder said, “but it’s also environmentally sound, and it’s about great quality of life.” What was wrong with this guy?
This wasn’t Snyder’s first deviation from the finger-in-the-eye style of governing that is now ascendant in the Republican Party. Since being elected last fall, he has refused to gut Medicaid, instructed his administration to implement the health care law despite his opposition to it, defended embryonic stem-cell research against conservative attacks, and conspicuously avoided the scorched-earth rhetoric on unions that is popular with most of his Republican colleagues. By all appearances, Snyder comes across as a moderate answer to Walker, Kasich, Scott, and New Jersey’s Chris Christie. But actually, that couldn’t be further from the truth. In his own mildmannered, nonconfrontational way, Snyder is doing a far better job than his more bombastic conservative peers of delivering on the contemporary GOP agenda.
Snyder, a well-coiffed former Gateway executive turned venture capitalist, swept to victory last fall on the Republican wave, his own millions, and a platform of vague, upbeat generalities about Michigan’s renewal. His unobtrusive style is part wonky technocrat (he ran as “one tough nerd”) and part hokey motivational speaker (his governing slogan is “relentless positive action”). “I think we’re on a course that hopefully is a role model for other places,” he told me after a recent speech in Detroit. “And that course I don’t describe in terms of ideology or positioning. ... Spending time on blame-placing has no value. Spending time on taking credit for anything has no value. The only thing that has value is actually accomplishing results that solve the problem.” The problem, of course, is a proud and formerly prosperous state in dire straits: Michigan was the only state to lose population since 2000, and the unemployment rate topped 15 percent in 2009.
Snyder’s solution has been a bracing dose of supply-side economics. In May, he signed a massive tax overhaul that slashes taxes on businesses so drastically it would make a Texan blush. A new 6 percent tax on profits is limited to 40,000 companies, mostly larger ones with stockholders, while 95,000 businesses are now off the hook for any corporate taxes at all. This deprives the state of $1.7 billion in much-needed revenue. Snyder is making up some of the shortfall by curtailing many targeted business tax credits—including film industry and clean-energy incentives favored by his Democratic predecessor Jennifer Granholm—and cutting aid to towns and cities. He also raised taxes on pensions, to the ire of many retirees.
While Snyder hasn’t taken on public employee unions directly, he has signed a law with great potential to weaken them anyway—a vast expansion of the powers of “emergency managers” appointed to take over struggling cities and school districts, who will be able to break labor contracts, sell public assets, and dissolve entire towns or districts. One of the likely candidates for emergency management is Detroit, which, under Snyder’s plan, stands to lose much of the $176 million in aid it gets from Lansing. “It threatens the concrete but fragile gains we have made, and we simply cannot afford it,” said Mayor Dave Bing in a February speech. In addition, the plan slashes $300 million from K-12 education and nearly eliminates the earned income tax credit, at the cost of around $300 for the average poor family. Snyder also signed a bill making Michigan the first of several states to cut basic unemployment benefits from 26 weeks to 20.
These are radical changes, and yet Snyder has met with only scattered protests and a wait-and-see stance from many of the left-leaning editorial boards that endorsed him in November. Admirers and rivals alike attribute this to his milquetoast manner. Instead of thundering about the evils of socialism, Snyder promises to govern by the “metrics” on his “dashboard.” He’s no great orator—his voice is high-pitched and slightly reedy—but he is adept at bathing his agenda, with its stark winners and losers, in unifying terms, urging audiences to fix Michigan’s “broken culture” by “overcoming divisiveness and getting [back] to inclusiveness.” For a self-described nonpolitician, Snyder is enjoying himself a lot: He speaks without notes, laughs at his own jokes, and deftly parries reporters’ questions. He likes to quip that his agenda has “helped the economy in the sign-making industry”—a joke that doubles as a subtle boast. The fact is, there aren’t that many signs being raised against him at all.
Frustrated Democrats in Lansing warn that liberals nationwide who are up in arms about Walker et al. ought to be paying more attention to Snyder. It is he who could offer a potentially appealing Republican model in a time of sluggish recovery—selling deeply pro-business policies without the panders to the Tea Party or religious right that have brought Snyder’s counterparts national attention and a national backlash. “Governor Walker pushed down the front door on a lot of the same issues that Governor Snyder has kind of snuck in the back door,” says Michigan Senate Minority Leader Gretchen Whitmer. “So Walker gets more of a reputation of being overtly anti-union and anti-worker. Governor Snyder’s policies are much along the same philosophy—he just does it a little softer.”
There is little sound economic research to suggest that Snyder’s corporate tax cuts will produce the promised windfall for the state, making his approach a high-stakes political bet. But he may be the beneficiary of good timing. His tenure is coinciding with an apparent, if tenuous, resurgence of Rust Belt manufacturing, led by the automakers, whose bailout he grudgingly supported. Michigan’s unemployment rate has plummeted 3 percentage points in the past year, to just above 10 percent, the largest drop in the country, and tax revenues are rolling in higher than expected. If the regional resurgence continues, don’t be surprised if Snyder takes credit for it or if his brand of Republicanism—Dale Carnegie with a spreadsheet and tales of new miracles worked by the low-tax elixir—becomes Michigan’s newest export. All in all, it’s no wonder that the conservatives most focused on the bottom line are quietly cheering him on. “We think he’s off to a great start,” says Tricia Kinley, a lobbyist at the Michigan Chamber of Commerce. “This is a really nice approach to watch.”
Alec MacGillis is a staff writer for The Washington Post. This article originally ran in the June 30, 2011, issue of the magazine.
4 comments
Being "pro-business" is not that off-the-wall. Clinton was terribly pro-business. He's obviously doing all the right things to be a moderate Republican, especially by not dogwhistling to the Tea Baggers or being an obstructionist. This is commendable. As for the tax policies, it sounds like it's a progressive pro-business tax. This is an interesting tac; I'd like to see where it leads. Since smaller businesses tend to have more room for growth, this seems like a pretty solid idea. Besides, the problem is never the tax rates it's the revenue coming in. as Obama is wont to say, "a rising tide lifts all boats". When business is booming and people have jobs, it's easy to lower the tax rates rather than find new ways to blow the surplus.
- GSpinks
June 15, 2011 at 7:17am
I will accept MacGillis' characterization of Snyder as the stealth tea partier, but the challenges (and culture) of Michigan are so vastly different from those in, for example, Florida that it would be like comparing California and the moon. Anybody remotely familiar with the history of Michigan knows that Democrats conferred tax favors on the car companies like the eccentric old lady down the street giving out candy to the children at halloween. So much so that it decimated the state's tax base. And the car companies, in turn, similarly gave out retirement benefits to their employees. All for what end? So the car companies could contract or move south or overseas and the retired employees could move to Florida to spend their retirement benefits? I don't know what it takes to put the car companies on a sound financial footing and to keep them in Michigan, but it's clear from the results that the strategy employed in the past doesn't work. And I suspect that lecturing Snyder about handouts to business will not resonate after the bailout of the car companies by Obama and the Democrats in Congress whatever the many and inconsistent positions of today's blowhard Republicans. As for Florida, it's become painfully clear that basing an economy on an endless supply of retirees from Michigan and other rust belt states is a losing strategy whatever the Medicare bandit may promise the greedy geezers.
- rayward
June 15, 2011 at 7:23am
I have no problem with what he is doing, he was elected, this is the kind of thing I would expect a Republican to do, the important thing is he is trying to do it in such a way that if it works it will be lasting. Walker is such an ahole that he has poisoned the atmosphere in the state and the sole agenda of any future Democratic administration will be to undo the legacy of that midwestern Darth Doody.
- blackton
June 15, 2011 at 11:41am
Tax revenues are coming in higher than anticipated (easily done if the economy was at a low point), but how about more numbers, like how many jobs are his policies going create? How many businesses are going to move to Michigan to evade taxes in other states? How many new Michigan based businesses are going to be created? Without numbers, these guys can say anything is a recovery. Those questions should have been asked in this article.
- jet
June 20, 2011 at 10:42am