SUBSCRIBE NOW WELCOME BACK. Do you want to continue reading where you left off? New Republic subscribers can pick up where they left off no matter which device they were previously using. SUBSCRIBE NOW

Go Home The TNR Roundtable Part 5: What Should Obama Do About...

POLITICS MARCH 6, 2009

The TNR Roundtable Part 5: What Should Obama Do About Darfur?

Click here for Part 4: The case for caution.Click here for links to each part of the conversation.


From: Elizabeth RubinTo: Alex de Waal, Richard Just, Eric Reeves, Alan WolfeI would like to respond to Alan's final question which gets to the heart of all the debates in recent years on justice versus peace and the nature of interventions. Alan ends by saying that perhaps the ICC should have thought about the political consequences of its decision especially when those consequences may prove so harmful.



Actually, the court has thought about those consequences. Up to the point when Luis Moreno Ocampo, the ICC prosecutor, issued the indictment last summer, he was told repeatedly by Andrew Natsios (the former U.S. envoy to Sudan) and others that if the humanitarians pull out and 2 million people die or the country collapses into civil war, it would be his fault. I asked Ocampo at the time whether he agreed with them. And he said, "Today they are being killed. Today they are being destroyed and have no hopes."



There is an irony here which may guide us through the seemingly incompatible goals of peace and justice. In 2005 when "regime change" was still in fashion, the U.S. was pressing Ocampo to charge Bashir with genocide. Yet the U.S. had not even voted in favor of the Security Council resolution to hand the case of Darfur over to the ICC. The Bush administration merely abstained from vetoing the decision. Ocampo declined to do the U.S.'s political bidding knowing that he had to build up his cases with evidence. Since that time the powerhouse states which grudgingly watched the ICC evolve seem to have thought it would lose stamina as diplomats tried to undermine its purpose every step of the way.



Let's take the indictment of Ahmed Haroun as an example. As State Minister of Interior in 2003 and 2004, Haroun organized the Janjaweed to murder and destroy villages in Darfur. In February 2007, Ocampo indicted Haroun and Ali Koshayb, a Janjaweed militia leader and one of his henchmen. At first the Sudanese panicked. They dispatched an ambassador to Ocampo with a proposition: Suppose Haroun comes to the Hague and says he was only following instructions. Do you have to investigate the person who gave the instructions? i.e. Bashir. Now, the diplomats, including Andrew Natsios, instead of exploiting the Sudanese government's panic as a negotiating tool, assuaged Bashir and his men. In effect, they said: Don't worry about the prosecutor, just accept the peacekeepers and nothing will happen. The story would have been comedy if it did not involve so many deaths. The Sudanese officials were delighted by Natsios and decided to play hot potato with the arrest warrants, slamming the door on any messenger with an ICC envelope.



In June, when Ban Ki Moon went to Khartoum with his political negotiators, he, like everyone else, omitted justice from the agenda. With such a gesture the Security Council became in effect Bashir's coach. And Bashir proved himself an adept learner. As if to show the prosecutor just how impotent the ICC was, Bashir promoted Ahmed Haroun a week after Ban Ki Moon left the country. Bad enough that Haroun, in his new position as state minister of humanitarian affairs, was routinely blocking humanitarian aid to the 2.5 million Darfuris trapped in refugee camps. Now Haroun had three new titles added to his portfolio: joint chairman of the committee to control media discourse, joint chairman of a fact-finding committee on human rights violations, member of the UNAMID force monitoring mechanism group. Haroun is a loyal henchman of Bashir's from way back. He was one of the key men on the ground helping Bashir decimate another tribe in another decade--the Nuba.



Alex de Waal and Julie Flynt co-authored a superb book on Darfur, Darfur: A Short History of a Long War. Their book called the violence there a slow-motion genocide. Yet they are now two of the most vociferous opponents of the ICC, arguing that indictments will utterly derail the north-south peace process and destroy Sudan. In an essay written by De Waal back in 2006, I can see why he makes this argument. The piece is about the genocide against the Nuba that was carried out by Bashir and his National Congress Party regime. De Waal describes how the international community not only did not intervene but behaved with decided cowardice. And he describes how the killing was halted by internal Sudanese factors. Perhaps if Bashir had been indicted at that time, he would not have been in a position to oversee the destruction of Darfur, the slaughter of 200,000 people, the displacement of two and a half million. Perhaps he would not have been in a position in the 1990s to finance and arm Joseph Kony, the leader of the Ugandan Lord's Resistance Army which has kidnapped more than 20,000 Ugandan children, forging them into wives and killing machines who have ravaged northern Uganda. Bashir is a serial murderer, perhaps even a serial genocidaire. We could let the peace process go on another ten years and have another Sudanese tribe decimated. Instead I think Obama should take the lead here and support the ICC, sign the treaty, and let the law be a check on the immoral compromises politicians will always make as long as there is impunity.Click here for links to each part of the conversation.Elizabeth Rubin is the Edward R. Murrow Press Fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations and a contributing writer for The New York Times Magazine.

By Elizabeth Rubin

SHARE YOUR THOUGHTS

Show all 5 comments

You must be a subscriber to post comments. Subscribe today.

5 comments

Do nothing...Sudan 'did not attack us...poses no threat'...put troop on the Mexican border, or use them to route out illegals. By the way...how is that "trickle-up" poverty working out for you guiys?

- Mark

March 6, 2009 at 6:19pm

You must be a subscriber to post comments. Subscribe today.

Israel does not have religious freedom, like China, it does not allow proselytizing. It it an oppresive government that does not allow religious freedom and persecutes millions of Christians in Israel.

- Toudor

March 8, 2009 at 9:16am

You must be a subscriber to post comments. Subscribe today.

toudor - wow, thanks for that incisive and completely topical comment. ____________________________________________________ Ms Rubin, you say "Obama should take the lead here and support the ICC, sign the treaty, and let the law be a check on the immoral compromises politicians will always make as long as there is impunity." What, just exactly, does the ICC plan to actually *do* to apprehend Bashir and bring him to face their justice? Two aphorisms come to mind - "Don't run your mouth if you can't back it up," and that old NRA standby, "When guns are outlawed, only outlaws will carry guns." The application of the first, I think, is obvious. The application of the second is thus: The reason the U.S. has not signed onto the ICC is because we understand that it perfectly combines an inability to prevent even the most horrific actions of unlawful regimes, with a unique suitability to the purpose of undermining even the lawful actions of its signatories. Put another way: While the ICC is powerless to prevent Bashir from anything but rallying his people against the western aggressors, the time interval between when Obama signs the ICC treaty and when Belgium introduces a mile-long list of political war-crimes charges against Bush for Iraq and Afghanistan will have the prefix "nano-". Does anyone think that will be an encouragement for future administrations to send troops to places like Darfur?

- dhauck

March 9, 2009 at 1:11pm

You must be a subscriber to post comments. Subscribe today.

Ms Rubin cites Moreno Ocampo's justification for acting by quoting his assertion that the people of Darfur "are being killed now", and that they "have no hopes". She seems to suggest that by quoting him this is proof enough of the veracity of his comments. Without getting into the overall mortality debate, what is clear is that in the last 18 months at least, if not the last three years, the mortality figures in Darfur have been at near normal levels. Moreno Ocampo's inflated figures of 5,000 deaths a month are unsubstantiated and unsubstantiable. This brings us to the stark factual truth. Mr Natsios is right that the conflict has morphed, thankfully in many ways, into a low-intesnity conflict. However horrible life conidtions are in the camps, the people were being fed at levels sufficient to keep them on a par with peacetime mortality rates (for the most part). Having chosen in the first instance not to go after Al Bashir, but pursue Harun and Kushayb, he embarked on a path that gave an impression that he was taking an incremental approach. That was certainly what many States thought he was doing. He is reported also to have told his investigators that he did not intend to pursue Al Bashir, and indeed he frequently pointed out in early comments that political responsibility was not the same as criminal responsibility. It is far from clear why Moreno Ocampo changed his view. He had an option of going for an intermediate level of responsibility which would have avoided the regime change perception. He did not take it. He had the option of going for Al BAshir with a host of others including GOS and Janjaweed leadership. He did not take it. We should not pretend that the responsibility for the imminent deaths of many Darfuris as a result of the expulsions is anything other than Al Bashir's. But nor shold we pretend that there were not other acceptable and wise options available that were not taken by Moreno Ocampo. Ms Rubin presented some time ago what amounted to a hagiograpghy of Moreno Ocampo in the New York Times magazine, inflating him into a kind of crusading knight able somehow to offer hope to the people of Darfur. Such one-dimensional reporting ends up sometimes having very untoward conseqeunces: the subjects sometimes start believing it. It did not have to be like this. The criminal responsibility for any deaths now is Al Bashir's. But the policy and strategic failures are Moreno Ocampo's.

- Icarus

March 10, 2009 at 8:43pm

You must be a subscriber to post comments. Subscribe today.

Icarus seems overly concerned with ICC Prosecutor Luis Moreno Ocampo's personality to the point of personal vendetta. But putting aside for a moment this strange obsession, let's consider a more pragmatic concern raised by Icarus' comment: how can he posit that the application of justice for massive crimes be a "strategic failure"? Al-Bashir is a wily and ruthless criminal, but let's not be timorous about calling him to account. Justice is an inherent value, one without which societies ultimately fail. We saw in Latin America over the past 40 years a sea-change from a continent dominated by dictatorships to one dominated by democracies - this is a shift I witnessed first hand in my lifetime, as in one country after another generals and dictators faced justice. Justice wasn't the sole reason for the change, but it was a crucial part, and now the prospect of military dictatorships in Latin America is remote. The ICC is a permanent court - al-Bashir knows that, and it's the reason it has grabbed his attention like nothing else since he took power. At the least, his travel plans are altered, followed by a distancing from his "allies" as the prospect of dealing publicly with a war criminal becomes increasingly unappealing (especially after his decision to expel humanitarian groups from Sudan). I couldn't disagree more with Andrew Natsios' lack of resolve regarding the application of justice when faced with al-Bashir's threats. Al-Bashir will likely lose power some day, like most dictators - the ICC will be waiting.

- Paco

March 14, 2009 at 5:29am

You must be a subscriber to post comments. Subscribe today.

SHARE HIGHLIGHT

0 CHARACTERS SELECTED

TWEET THIS

POST TO TUMBLR

SHARE ON FACEBOOK

Close