In Michigan, Obama Goes Lunchpail
June 03, 2008
TROY, Michigan--With the last two contests less than 24 hours away and Hillary Clinton sending signals that she might finally be ending her candidacy, most of the focus on Barack Obama's visit here yesterday was on how it would affect the primary race. Would Obama collect any of those final superdelegates he needed to clinch the nomination? (He did, garnering the support of Brenda Lawrence, mayor of nearby Southfield.) Would Obama say anything about Clinton directly? (He did, opening his speech with a gracious tribute to her as an "oustanding public servant" who ran "an outstanding race").
Obamamania Across The Pond
May 30, 2008
Via Ben Smith in Politico, I see that a new poll from the Telegraph in London shows Barack Obama trouncing John McCain among voters in five European countries. But lest TNR readers doubt the poll's veracity, I can confirm this finding with some real, live, first-hand reporting. (That's why they pay me the big bucks!) As it happens, I was in Europe for the last two weeks. And I, too, saw signs of Obama's popularity there. The first came in Paris, along the banks of the Seine, as I was walking along with my family.
If you've heard John McCain talk about health care lately, then you've heard him suggest that Democratic plans for universal health insurance would lead to long waits, higher costs, inferior care, etc.--since that's what they get in Europe. As I've mentioned before, one of the many, many flaws with this argument is that the people in those countries don't seem to agree.
How Much Will We Learn About Mccain's Health?
May 23, 2008
By the time you read this, a select group of reporters--apparently numbering about a dozen--may be inside a conference room at a Phoenix resort hotel, going over some 400 pages of Senator John McCain's medical records. McCain has been promising to release those records for more than a year. And, given McCain's age and history of cancer, the issue of his health is more serious than it would be for most candidates. But rather than make all the records public, the campaign has chosen to make them available to the pool reporters for a three-hour window.
Russert Declares The Democratic Race Over
May 07, 2008
Tim Russert, on MSNBC just a minute ago: "We now know who the Democratic nominee will be." --Jonathan Cohn
"yes We Can" Vs. "no We Can't"
May 06, 2008
Media analysis of Barack Obama's speech tonight will probably focus on what it means for the fight over the Democratic nomination. But maybe because the nomination no longer seems in doubt--like a lot of people, I think it's effectively over--I was more struck by what the speech said about Obama's prospects in the fall. And I think it boded pretty well for him. For the last few weeks, it's been all too easy to imagine how Obama might falter against John McCain in the general election.
Silliest Pro-obama Argument I've Heard
May 06, 2008
Barack Obama and his supporters frequently boast that he's won more delegates from the primaries and caucuses as well as more of the popular vote. You can argue (as I have) that one or the other measure is more meaningful, but both obviously have at least some significance. But I just heard Obama surrogate John Kerry repeating another argument I've heard from the campaign: That Obama has won more total contests than Hillary Clinton, 31 to her 15. I actually thought the figure was 27 to 18, but maybe there's some disagreement about the count. Whatever.
It's The Economy, Stupid. Seriously!
May 06, 2008
More exit polls via MSNBC: More than 60 percent of respondents in both Indiana and North Carolina cited the economy as their top concern. That's apparently higher than in any contest so far. The war finished a distant second. And more than half of respondents say they are personally experiencing hard economic times. (I didn't catch the exact wording of the question.) No predictions here on how that affects the final outcome.
A Simple Reminder Of What's At Stake
May 05, 2008
My friend Harold Pollack, who is a professor at the University of Chicago's School of Social Service Administration, spent some of his personal time organizing for Barack Obama over the weekend. He writes this short dispatch: I spent today canvassing in Schererville, Indiana, with my 11-year-old. We were trolling neighborhood garage sales talking with people as we went door to door.
Once Upon A Time, Clinton Thought Experts Mattered
May 04, 2008
I assume Hillary Clinton wouldn't be pounding the gax tax issue if she (and her advisers) didn't feel it helped them politically. And they may well be right. Even if voters realize that it won't make much difference, it reinforces the class polarization of the primary campaign.