Nate Cohn
Staff Writer

McAuliffe Strong In Early Voting
November 05, 2013

The polls are still open in Virginia, but early voting turnout data suggests that Terry McAuliffe is doing substantially better than the Democratic ticket four years ago.The number of early votes in counties that voted for President Obama increased b

Chris Christie's Presidential Campaign Starts Tomorrow
November 05, 2013

Nowadays, nothing looks good for the Republicans. Demographic and generational change is inexorably narrowing the GOP’s traditional path to victory, at a time when the party hasn’t shown any ability to broaden its appeal.

Americans Support Blackface, Divided on Dressing Up As Stereotypes
October 31, 2013

What do Americans think about dressing in blackface or as a racial stereotype for halloween?

Was That Post-Shutdown Democratic Surge Actually Real?
October 31, 2013

That was fast: Polls now show the Democrats doing just the same as before the shutdown

A McAuliffe Victory Isn't a Harbinger of Democratic Fortunes
October 28, 2013

I’m pessimistic on the odds of a Democratic takeover of the House in November 2014. This November, "optimistic" understates my opinion of Terry McAuliffe's chances. At this point, the race is over.

Marijuana is America's Next Political Wedge Issue
October 24, 2013

Public opinion about legal pot has changed dramatically. Politicians are about to start catching up—and picking fights about it.

Why It's So Hard For Democrats to Retake the House
October 22, 2013

If there’s anything I could get people to understand about the next election, it’s this: Even a 2006 or 2010-esque tsunami might not give Democrats control of the House.That might seem shocking.

Beware Registered Voter Surveys In 2014
October 22, 2013

A wave of new surveys shows that the shutdown took a toll on the Republicans, but less clear is whether it's enough to endanger the GOP House majority.

PPP Is Out With Another Troubling Poll. This One Involves Race.
October 17, 2013

I get the impression that a lot of people are getting tired of debating the details of PPP’s methodology, but I think it’s worth flagging a few recent polls in Georgia, which nicely illustrate the questions about their methodology.