Nate Cohn

Why Tornadoes Continue to Kill

They're hard to predict, and more of us live in their path than ever

They're hard to predict, and more of us live in their path than ever.

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The Surge in Suicides Has Nothing to Do With Marriage or Religion

The data doesn't support Ross Douthat's argument

The data doesn't support Ross Douthat's argument.

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The Latest Exercise in "Blue Texas" Wishful Thinking

The state's unlikely to vote Democratic by 2024

Texas electoral politics tend to elicit sensationalism. Jeb Bush has suggested the Lone Star state, which voted for Romney by 16 points in 2012, could somehow turn blue in 2016; Ted Cruz, who doesn’t even favor comprehensive immigration reform, similarly said that new Hispanic voters would turn Texas blue and bury the GOP alongside the Whigs.

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Black Turnout in 2012 Might Not Have Been Historic

The inherent flaws of the Census' population survey

The inherent flaws of the Census' population survey.

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Pennsylvania was all but ignored in 2012, but the Keystone State is poised to return to prominence in 2016. On Tuesday, Joe Sestak, a former Democratic congressman, indicated his interest in a rematch with Republican Senator Pat Toomey in 2016.

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The New Census Data That Should Terrify Republicans

Obama's coalition may only grow stronger after he leaves office

President Obama's coalition may only grow stronger after he leaves office, thanks to demographic changes.

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Terry McAuliffe needs an oversupply of minority voters to top Ken Cuccinelli.

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Why It's Difficult to Predict the Outcome of Mark Sanford vs. Elizabeth Colbert Busch

Tuesday's special election in South Carolina is a true toss-up

Tuesday's special election in South Carolina is a true toss-up.

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Ted Cruz Isn't Destined to Lose in a Landslide

The Texas senator is mulling a 2016 run. Don't count on Goldwater redux.

The Texas senator is mulling a 2016 run. Don't count on Goldwater redux.

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Obama's Victory Wasn't Thanks to Black Turnout

Even with 2004's turnout, Mitt Romney still would have lost

Even with 2004's electorate, Mitt Romney still would have lost.

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