Nate Cohn

Staff Writer

Florida polls show a tight race among Hispanics, but can it really be true?

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Kerry led in Ohio at this point four years ago.

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And the Ohio polls aren't skewed, either.

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If Obama won either state, he would probably be reelected the president.

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It's probably a bid for Wisconsin and momentum.

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It's an open question whether Obama could lose the election if he received a high turnout from his supporters.

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The Obama campaign's improvements among African Americans and post-graduates make it tougher for Romney to win than history suggests.

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The three states get Obama to 271 electoral votes, enough for a victory.

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Perhaps. But it doesn't matter much for Ohio.

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But Romney did well in the national polls.

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