Nate Cohn
Staff Writer

This One Chart Shows How GOP Support for Striking Syria Collapsed
September 09, 2013

If the president's chances of convincing Congress to authorize strikes against Syria hinge on public support, he's in a lot of trouble.

Why the New York City Democratic Primary Is So Hard to Predict
September 09, 2013

Here’s my rule of thumb: Data-driven electoral analysis gets harder and harder the farther you get from a two-party presidential election. There are fewer polls, and they’re less accurate. Partisanship becomes less powerful.

Christie's Dumb Trip To Dallas
September 08, 2013

Chris Christie is cruising to reelection. If you need any proof, consider where he's spending Sunday night: Dallas. In a box with Cowboys owner Jerry Jones. In a game against the New York Giants, who play in northern New Jersey. 

Polls Show Americans Can Be Persuaded on Syria Strikes
September 03, 2013

One thing’s clear from the first wave of polls about possible U.S. intervention in Syria: The public is not on board. At least not yet. Last Friday, an NBC News survey showed 50 percent of adults opposed and only 42 percent ready to strike Syria.

Republicans Supported Attacking Syria, Now They Don't. Guess Why
August 30, 2013

For decades, Republicans have been more supportive than Democrats of an interventionist foreign policy.

Tea Party and the GOP Base Are Out of Step on Syria
August 29, 2013

Advocates for a more restrained foreign policy, like Rand Paul, seem increasing ascendant in the Republican Party.

Is Congress More Popular Than A Strike On Syria?
August 27, 2013

Nine percent? According to a Reuters/Ipsos poll, that's the share of the public that supports an attack on Syria. Even Congress polls better than that.

Rasmussen Reports Loses Scott Rasmussen, But the Inaccurate Polls Will Remain
August 22, 2013

Scott Rasmussen has left Rasmussen Reports, one of the least accurate pollsters of the last two elections. From that perspective, you might expect that Rasmussen was fired for bad surveys.

Chris Christie's Surprising Drop in the Polls
August 21, 2013

I have to admit that I haven’t been paying any attention to New Jersey’s uncompetitive gubernatorial contest.

McAuliffe Overcoming the GOP's Turnout Advantage
August 21, 2013

If Virginia’s gubernatorial contest was a fight between two equal candidates nominated by two equally evil parties, as it was initially billed, Ken Cuccinelli would have been a modest favorite.