One of the weird things about the “blue states” is that some are mainly red. I’m from Washington State, where the populous and liberal Seattle metropolitan area dominates state politics.
Hillary Clinton in 2016: The Actuarial Odds
August 19, 2013
Hillary Clinton’s poll numbers are unprecedented. She holds more than 60 percent of the Democratic primary vote, a figure usually reserved for popular sitting vice presidents—even though these polls pit her against a sitting vice president.
This State Is Democrats' Best Chance to Pick Up a Senate Seat
August 14, 2013
Democrats are in danger of getting disappointed in Kentucky, where early poll numbers belie McConnell's big advantages. If people are really buying Wendy Davis and a "blue Texas," Democrats might be doubly disappointed.
Last night, one of the strictest voter ID laws in the country went into effect in North Carolina.
Hillary Clinton's Smart Campaign Opening
August 13, 2013
I hope Hillary enjoyed her time off; it looks like her campaign is underway.
Why the Numbers Say Texas Stays Red
August 12, 2013
Texas Democrats are giddy over the possibility that demographic changes might turn the Lone Star State “blue,” but the numbers suggest Texas will lean “red” for a long time.
These Eight Charts Explain Why 'Blue Texas' Won't Happen
August 11, 2013
The numbers don’t support the hype.
Sorry, But Wendy Davis Won't Win Texas
August 06, 2013
Democrats have been dreaming of the day when demographic changes might turn Texas “blue,” but it seems like Wendy Davis, the Texas state senator who filibustered an anti-abortion bill in June, is looking to speed up the time table.
Christie Isn't Giuliani. He's Stronger.
August 06, 2013
When New Jersey Governor Chris Christie responded to a broadside from Rand Paul with a rant about 9-11 victims, it was easy to see similarities between the New Jersey Republican and former New York Mayor Rudy Giuilani.
Ignore the Polls: McConnell Is Still the Favorite in Kentucky
August 02, 2013
The last few weeks have been full of bad news for Senator Mitch McConnell. He earned a long awaited tea party challenger and, yesterday, two polls showed Allison Lundergan Grimes, the likely Democratic nominee, ahead by 1 and 2 points.