Marco Rubio's 2016 Chances Are Alive and Well
August 01, 2013
Senator Marco Rubio’s immigration reform effort is in danger. It might seem like his presidential ambitions are in trouble, too. His numbers are down; Chris Christie, Rand Paul, and Ted Cruz are starting to dominate the media’s discussion of 2016.
Immigration reform isn’t quite dead yet, but the political fall-out of immigration reform’s demise is pretty clear: the GOP rebrand is going to be pretty tough.
Obama Is Losing the White Working Class
July 23, 2013
One of the funny things about electoral politics is that you can’t always have the coalition you want, or even the coalition you think you’ll get.
Finally, Real Numbers on Voter ID
July 22, 2013
One of the most frustrating discussions of 2012 was about voter identification laws. Voter ID laws seemed like they would disproportionately impact non-white, student, and elderly voters, who were widely assumed to tilt Democratic.
The first wave of polls on the Zimmerman verdict are in and the results look familiar.
The Mystical GOP Faith in Voter Suppression
July 19, 2013
I don’t usually take stances on people’s motives. I’m not a psychic and the evidence to back-up my suspicions is usually pretty poor.
The Decline of Detroit in Five Maps
July 18, 2013
Detroit was once the nation’s fourth most-populous city. Today, it became the largest American city to file for bankruptcy.
Is The Missing White Voters Thesis Wrong?
July 18, 2013
The "missing white voters" are coming under scrutiny. Ruy Teixeira and Alan Abramowitz question whether white voters are really trending toward Republicans, and they say that 2012 was really just a low turnout election.
Wyoming Doesn't Deserve Two Senators
July 17, 2013
Yesterday's big political news was that Liz Cheney will challenge Senator Mike Enzi in 2014. A Republican is going to win this race either way, so there isn't much more at stake than the civility of dinner parties in Jackson.
Things Are Looking Up for Terry McAuliffe
July 16, 2013
Just over two months ago, I wrote that Terry McAuliffe had to overcome a big challenge to win Virginia’s gubernatorial contest: a white and old off-year electorate.