On the Romney Surge and Santorum's Chances
The NBC/Marist poll out today has some useful data to explain why Romney may win Iowa. Simply put, the state’s Republicans are increasingly pragmatic. READ MORE >>
Mitt Romney is Tempting Fate
So there’s no question that Romney is all-in now in Iowa. The Des Moines Register reports today that Romney will throw himself a caucus after-party in the state, then stick around to do a circuit of morning-after interviews. As First Read puts it: READ MORE >>
Where Things Stand in Iowa
A Conservative on Why Newt Still Has Life
Earlier today I tried to explain why Newt's numbers had stabilized after their recent nose-dive: READ MORE >>
In Praise of Jeremy Stein, Obama's New Fed Board Nominee
Just a quick word about Jeremy Stein, the Harvard financial economist Obama is nominating to serve on the Federal Reserve Board. I suspect critics on the left (and perhaps on the right) will seize on the fact that Stein was close to Larry Summers, who brought him into the Obama administration to work at the NEC. READ MORE >>
The Beginning of an Anti-Anti-Gringrich Wave?
I was one of the quickest to write Gingrich off when he started losing altitude earlier this month. I still think he has almost no chance of winning the nomination. Given the distinct absence of a campaign apparatus, or really any trappings of a bona fide campaign, I think Newt’s only shot was to peak right before the Iowa caucuses and basically run the table. Unfortunately for him, he appears to have peaked too soon. READ MORE >>
Who's to Blame for the Economy's Lost Year?
The daily research report from the economists at Goldman Sachs asks a question I grappled with as I finished my forthcoming book: How should we apportion blame for the 2-2.5 percentage points by which growth fell short of most economists' expectations this past year? The Goldman team divvies it up as follows: READ MORE >>
How Are Dems Winning the Payroll Tax Cut Fight?
And It's Over
A PPP poll out today suggests Newt 2012 will go down as the mid-afternoon belch you get from a slightly-too-greasy ham sandwich: a reminder of an unpleasant episode in your life that fades in plenty of time for dinner. The early CW on why Newt is flaming out is all the incoming he's taken from rivals. Here's PPP: READ MORE >>
