JONATHAN CHAIT MAY 14, 2010
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Reducing or eliminating the home-mortgage tax deduction is one of those reforms that economists across the political spectrum agree on, but politicians across the political spectrum flee from. So this is either a terrible gaffe or an interesting trial balloon:
Housing and Urban Development Secretary Shaun Donovan said today that modifying the home interest deduction could satisfy two objectives: reducing the deficit and rebalancing federal housing policy.
But he also made clear that the Obama administration isn’t actively considering, much less endorsing, such a step, which could affect millions of homeowners. Some out 40.8 million tax returns claimed the home interest deduction for 2007, according to the Tax Foundation.
Discussing the housing crisis with reporters at a session sponsored by Third Way, a center-left think tank, Donovan offered some thoughts about whether housing policy had been too skewed toward promoting home ownership, given the number of foreclosures. A more balanced approach, he said, would also focus on the needs of renters and new ways to help them.
Asked whether the government should consider modifying the mortgage interest deduction, he made two points. He said that home ownership is a good thing but that officials may need to rebalance the incentives for owning compared to renting. He also said the president’s deficit reduction commission will be “looking broadly at a range of options.” This deduction, he added, is “a significant enough expenditure” that it will surely be looked at.
In 2009, the tax break cost the government $79.4 billion. That’s expected to grow to $149.6 billion by 2015.
This would be one hell of a big reform, but I'd be stunned if it happened.
5 comments
The last two budgets have at least proposed limiting itemized deductions and so the mortgage interest deduction. The opposition, for 2010 at least, was of course...robust. http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/taxtopics/2011_28percent_limit.cfm
- hmoroz
May 14, 2010 at 4:15pm
I see no reason why we can't just cap it, with some allowances for cost of living in different regions, this might help prevent people from buying too big when they can really do with less, and why should McMansion owners be subsidized since they are screwing the environment as well so I am with hmoroz on this.
- blackton
May 14, 2010 at 5:02pm
Perhaps we can take this in two steps. First eliminate all the various deductions from the tax code, and lower tax rates so that the total tax taken from citizens by the federal government is approximately the same. That would rebalance incentives and in general be good for the economy, and the plan might just have a chance with Republicans. Then later we can talk about just raising tax rates, if after we've achieved economic recovery there is still a deficit problem and people are worried about interest rates and inflation.
- vips73
May 14, 2010 at 5:37pm
Is there any way we could turn this country over to a trusteeship of economists for a year? They could get rid of the mortgage deduction, put everyone in HMOs, end the war on drugs, raise the gas tax, and do all the other essential and politically untenable things.
- WillPastor
May 15, 2010 at 12:50am
I'm all for this in about fifteen years, that is, after most of my mortgage have been paid . . .
- timteeter
May 15, 2010 at 1:55pm