JONATHAN CHAIT JULY 8, 2010
-
Read Later
READ LATERAvailable only to subscribers. SUBSCRIBE TODAY
-
Listen
ARTICLE AUDIO
- Font Size
In today's Wall Street Journal op-ed page, Karl Rove offers a "growth agenda" for Republicans. See if this has a familiar ring:
A GOP growth agenda would keep intact the 2001 and 2003 tax cuts. ...
Laying out a positive agenda also requires GOP candidates to connect the dots between public policies and real-world consequences. So Republicans must make a compelling case that allowing the tax cuts to expire will result in history's largest tax increase—killing jobs, punishing hard work and enterprise, damaging growth, wounding small business, and postponing the moment government finally restrains spending.
They need to explain that raising taxes on dividends and on capital gains would lower economic growth for years to come. Retirements would be less secure, capital more expensive for every enterprise from manufacturing to commercial real estate, and investment in American jobs and companies less attractive.
So the Republican growth agenda is to leave all the Bush administration's policies in place. My favorite twist in the argument is where Rove calls this a "positive agenda" and immediately segues to arguing about all the terrible things that will happen if we restore Clinton-era tax rates. It worked so well under Bush, of course it's the solution to our problems now! (Also note that the Bush-era tax rates have not yet expired, so they've literally been in effect throughout this entire crisis.)
Also in that op-ed, you can watch Rove try to grapple with Keynesian economic theory:
Last Thursday House Speaker Nancy Pelosi joined the president in his bad bet by offering up the economic gem that extension of unemployment benefits "creates jobs faster than almost any other initiative you can name." Really? Faster than, say, cutting personal income tax cuts or slashing the corporate tax rate?
That's Rove's entire rebuttal: "Really?" He thinks it's self-evidently absurd to claim that extending unemployment benefits would create jobs more quickly than cutting taxes for business or upper-income taxpayers. In fact, the unemployed have a high propensity to consume marginal dollars -- they've seen a huge loss of income and are trying desperately to pay their bills and maintain some level of consumption. Businesses are sitting on enormous piles of cash.
The superiority of unemployment benefits as stimulus is economic conventional wisdom. Here's a chart from economy.com:
As you can see, extending unemployment benefits has several times the bang for the buck as extending the Bush tax cuts or cutting corporate taxes. So yes, Mr. Rove, really.

7 comments
Those statistics support the conclusion that businesses are worse off as the disparity in incomes increases because a wide disparity diminishes purchasing by consumers, except for the grossly large ticket items. And those statistics are not inconsistent with the economic theory that tax cuts on the wealthy will actually motivate them to work less. And those statistics, in conjunction with our current reality, support the conclusion that there are forces other than tax rates that have a far greater effect on investing and jobs. Rove's specialty is saying things people want to believe, like the Sun revolves around the Earth.
- Nusholtz
July 8, 2010 at 8:24am
Letting the Bush tax cuts for the wealthy expire results in "postponing the moment government finally restrains spending". I'm not sure how tax cuts for the wealthy help government restrain spending: they definitely didn't restrain government spending during the Bush years. My question: Is it hypocracy to say that tax cuts for the wealthy restrain government spending while in practice spending like a drunk sailor, or is it merely audacious. It's an important distinction, for as Rove's evangelical friends will tell you, Jesus forgives prostitutes, thieves, murderers, and even tax collectors, but not hypocrits (for whom He reserves the Seven Woes).
- rayward
July 8, 2010 at 8:50am
But Jonathan, the proof of Rove's economic claims in out there, plain for all to see. On a napkin. Maybe Cheney still has it.
- Fishpeddler
July 8, 2010 at 9:12am
It says something for America's generosity that this man, Rove, can still show his face in public after lie after lie, and the utter debacle of his policies (with thousands of dead brave Americans) and not either be laughed off the stage or have things thrown at thim.
- MikeB.
July 8, 2010 at 11:01am
The Republican mantra is tax cuts yesterday, today, tomorrow, forever ...
- liberal reformer
July 8, 2010 at 1:49pm
Yes, Liberal Reformer compare this to the nuance of a great Republican President and American like Ike. The "two Sanata Claus" theory has done damage to the GOP and through it the country.
- MikeB.
July 8, 2010 at 2:08pm
Raise taxes on business so they will actually need to get up and work, take risk, invest whatever. I quote JK Galbraith again on supply-side "theory" based on notion that the poor don't work because they are paid too much and the rich don't work because they are paid too little.
- NR027810
July 8, 2010 at 4:40pm