JONATHAN CHAIT AUGUST 5, 2010
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One frustrating problem with the dysfunction of the Senate is that Senate institutionalists have no capacity to grasp the structural forces causing the current mess. Here is a perfect example. David Broder, the voice of institutional Washington, reads George Packer's long article on Senate dysfunction and comments:
Packer does as good a job as I have ever read of tracing the forces that have brought the Senate to its low estate. But he does not quite pinpoint the crucial factor: the absence of leaders who embody and can inculcate the institutional pride that once was the hallmark of membership in the Senate.
In Broder's mind, the "crucial factor" is simply personal. There are no leaders. In the old days, there were leaders, now there aren't. The solution is to somehow get more leaders in the Senate who can inculcate their members with institutional pride, then things will return to the way they worked forty years ago. In other words, Broder looks at data like this:

...and sees an institution that has simply had fewer and fewer good leaders as time has gone on.
A more realistic analysis holds that the South's post-Civil War racial Apartheid system created a highly unusual arrangement in which political parties were not sorted out ideologically -- some of the most right-wing members of Congress were Democrats, and many progressives were Republicans. In that atmosphere, party ties had a very weak hold on individual members, especially Senators. Thus it was possible for social norms to encourage cooperation and limit the use of the filibuster to very rare occasions, usually involving civil rights.
A few days ago, I made an analogy to baseball. Suppose teams were allowed to put two extra players in the field in the wanted, but the social expectation was that they'd do so only rarely, when they really needed to get an out. You might be able to enforce a norm like that in a family picnic softball game. But if that were the rule in Major League Baseball, eventually every team would be playing 11 fielders all the time.
Two factors have made bipartisan cooperation impossible. One is ideology. Zero, or almost-zero, Democrats shared George W. Bush's goal of transforming Social Security from a social insurance program into a network of individually held, defined-contribution retirement accounts. Very few Republicans shared Barack Obama's goals of providing universal health insurance and limiting carbon dioxide emissions. Moreover, for those who might share such goals, they face strong incentives to stay in line with their party in the form of potential primary challenges and sheer partisan incentive. If Republicans gave Obama bipartisan support, then Obama's policies would become popular, as would Obama, which would make it much harder for Republicans to retake the majority.
So even if the institutionalist analysis of what went wrong is true -- and I'm deeply suspicious of analyses that revolve around the premise that people had more moral fiber back in the good old days -- there's no solution. They're asking Senators to act in direct contravention of their own political interest. As Jon Tester, an opponent of filibuster reform, says, "I think we need to look to ourselves more than changing the rules.”
Of course, for all the odes to the Senate and the wisdom of the founders, the system wasn't really premised on the notion that elected officials would ignore their self-interest. The founders did not imagine political parties, even though the system they created made parties inevitable. If you want a system to work, you need to align the political incentives of elected officials with the public interest as best as possible. Accepting a tension between the public good and politicians' interest and simply hoping that the better angels prevail is a recipe for failure.
2 comments
I'd like to suggest to things to improve functioning in the Senate: one modify the filibuster rule to allow cloture with 60% of senators present instead of 60% of all senators, two abolish plurality voting. First on changing the specifics of filibusters: "Two factors have made bipartisan cooperation impossible. One is ideology. Zero, or almost-zero, Democrats shared George W. Bush's goal of transforming Social Security from a social insurance program into a network of individually held, defined-contribution retirement accounts." In the current system, absence from the chamber during a cloture vote is equivalent to a no-vote. Thus the filibuster supporters only need to keep somebody speaking for the duration that there is a quorum. That puts the burden on the filibuster's opponents to maintain quorum or they lose by default. By contrast, allowing cloture by 60% of senators present would allow cloture with just 3 yes-votes for every 2 explicit no-votes. Thus, if the filibuster supporters have 30 members present in chambers, cloture could be invoked with only 45 yes-votes. As a result, maintaining a filibuster would require not just 41 senators pledging not to vote for cloture, but also making sure that they're all in chamber whenever the issue is brought up so that they can cast an explicit no-vote on cloture. As for specific applications, with the case of Social Security privatization, it is conceivable that the Democratic caucus could prevail upon its members that maintaining the system of public retirement insurance is important enough that all member had to be present in chamber whenever that particular issue was brought up. However, the Republican policy of filibustering everything would require keeping all their members in chambers every session. That is not particularly likely. To use Chait's baseball analogy, the changed rule would be like allowing a team to put extra men on the field, but for every man added, the team would lose one out in the upcoming inning. Such a cost would be a stronger deterrent than a social norm. "Very few Republicans shared Barack Obama's goals of providing universal health insurance and limiting carbon dioxide emissions. Moreover, for those who might share such goals, they face strong incentives to stay in line with their party in the form of potential primary challenges and sheer partisan incentive. [emph. added]" The reason we have a selection process (of which a primary is the only democratic one) for each party in the first place is because under plurality voting, having multiple candidates dilutes the votes supporting a party/ideology advantaging the other party. In contrast, under pairwise-ranked voting, the addition of more candidates does not affect how those already in the race do against each other. Thus an incumbent who loses a primary could enter the general election against the winners of each party's primary without harming his/her party in the general contest, effectively removing the primary as a barrier to participation in the general contest and rendering a primary challenge an empty threat.
- sighthnd
August 5, 2010 at 10:35am
You are on solid around here in citing structural reasons for the very different Senates of, say, 1965 and 2010. A recourse to the personal tempts a lot of people, including David Broder, numerous commenters out here, Glenn Greenwald, and the like. What chance would an Everett Dirksen have to be the leader of Senate Republicans today? A snowball's chance, is what he would have.
- liberal reformer
August 5, 2010 at 12:55pm