JONATHAN CHAIT MARCH 30, 2011
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Senator Tom Coburn, the conservative Republican from Oklahoma, is doing something mischievous, clever, and important. Coburn is a key player in bipartisan negotiations to reduce the medium-term deficit. Everybody understands that a deal like this can only happen via some combination of spending reductions and revenue increases. The latter part violates sacred GOP theology, and the high priest of this theology is Grover Norquist. Through Americans for Tax Reform, Norquist has gotten most Republicans to sign a pledge never to increase tax revenues for any reason. Coburn is attempting to expose the ridiculousness of this pledge.
Of course, he's not exactly saying that. His whole fight with Norquist is being conducted in the language of movement conservative cant. But he is doing something quite daring.
The revenue increase Coburn is considering, as outlined in the Bowles-Simpson plan, would, one way or another, reduce tax expenditures. It would not increase tax rates -- indeed, it would lower them -- but it would instead claw back the vast array of tax deductions that reduce revenue by more than a trillion dollars a year. This would violate the Taxpayer Protection Pledge. the Pledge is not about rates, it's about revenue. Norquist wants people -- and especially rich people -- to pay less money to the government. To Norquist, eliminating a tax loophole is just as bad as raising rates. So he opposes any attempt to increase revenue through the elimination of loopholes, however unworthy those loopholes may be.
Norquist and Coburn have been circling each other for months, trading barbs in the media. Now Coburn is using a test case to expose Norquist's Pledge. That test case is the ethanol subsidy, which is pork that survives due to the strength of the agriculture lobby, but which the conservative movement at least putatively opposes. The ethanol subsidy, like many subsidies, comes in the form of a tax break. Eliminating it is, therefore, a tax increase. Therefore, eliminating the ethanol subsidy, without using the revenue for a tax cut, would violate the Pledge.
In other words, Coburn has set a trap for Norquist. He has proposed eliminating the ethanol subsidy. If Norquist supports it, he has to alter his pledge to allow for closing loopholes that raise revenue. If he opposes it, he has to admit that he opposes closing loopholes that even Norquist admits are unsupportable. Norquist's response? He opposes closing the loophole:
Sen. Tom Coburn (R-Okla.) ripped conservative activist Grover Norquist on Tuesday for defending tax breaks that benefit special interest groups.
In a letter to Norquist, the president of Americans for Tax Reform, Coburn said a tax break for ethanol producers ultimately raised the tax burden for average taxpayers and should be done away with.
Americans for Tax Reform quickly shot back with a letter to Coburn that accused the senator of misinterpreting its views of the ethanol tax credit, which it said it opposed. The group said it opposed Coburn’s amendment because he did not offset elimination of the tax break with a corresponding tax cut.
So now the trap is sprung. Coburn can now paint Norquist's pledge as un-conservative -- it's protecting pork and special interest subsidies that conservatives oppose. And Coburn is right! Assuming, of course, that you define conservative to mean a belief in low nominal tax rates and a tax code that doesn't pick winners or losers, as opposed t a tax code that raises the smallest amount of revenue as possible from rich people.
The implications of Coburn's fight is profound. Norquist's vision of conservatism has completely dominated the Republican Party for twenty years. Nobody has even attempted to push back. Coburn may not win, but the mere fact that he is opposing Norquist's definition of proper party dogma is highly significant.
7 comments
Chait has it backwards: Norquist is snaring Coburn (and Chait for that matter) in Norquist's trap. The trap, of course, is to lower tax rates at the top in return for "eliminating" so-called tax expenditures (i.e., tax deducitons, credits, and exclusions). Anybody who has been alive since 1981 (when Reagaon made the same deal with Congress) knows that once tax rates are lowered it's next to impossible to raise them, but adding back tax expenditures is like giving presents at Christmas. Fool me once, shame on you. Fool me twice, shame on me.
- rayward
March 30, 2011 at 12:13pm
I want to take Chait's post and go to North Africa and say, "See? Here is what you are missing when you don't have a democracy. Jealous?" Act now and you can have all of this bullsh*t for the low low price of a 14 trillion dollar debt.
- Nusholtz
March 30, 2011 at 12:20pm
"defending tax breaks that benefit special interest groups." Ahh, so not all tax-breaks are created equal. Very good. The problem is that it's this focus on tax-cutting/revenue-cutting/starve the beast that drove us into this deficit situation in the first place. Maintaining the situation, or going backwards very slowly, won't help. We MUST revoke the Bush Tax-Cuts. We didn't have disaster under Clinton when they were put in place, and we won't have disaster when they're revoked. Balancing the budget on the backs of State spending, Social Security, and Medicare WILL create a disaster.
- AllanL5
March 30, 2011 at 12:38pm
I have long wondered who on the right would finally take on Grover Norquist. I now have my answer: it is Senator Tom Coburn.
- liberalref
March 30, 2011 at 12:44pm
I suspect unless we have an economic disaster or government shutdown, the US has no chance of adopting Keynesian economic theory and solutions--- and no other economic theory explains the data. Unless Keynesian economics are adopted, we are headed for an economic disaster sooner (months) to later (couple of years). Better sooner than later -- because to get "later" BHO and the Dems need dismantle much of the current, already tattered, social safety net, therby making a "later" disaster all-the-more calamitous.
- drofnats1
March 30, 2011 at 2:53pm
I wonder what Norquist would say to a proposal where the ethanol subsidy was turned into a tax cut for those making less than $100K.
- NR409654
March 30, 2011 at 10:38pm
OMG. We have just gone down the Keynesian road yet again, these last two-plus years. Before that, G.W. Bush's tax cuts were objectively Keynesian, even though that administration would never admit to it. Richard Posner, who had not read J.M. Keynes' magnun opus forever, did so after the financial collapse and was impressed and wrote about his conversion in TNR. Now that rat seems to have deserted the ship, is there a worse commenter out here than x?
- liberalref
March 31, 2011 at 2:13am