JONATHAN COHN SEPTEMBER 14, 2011
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[Guest post by Matt O'Brien]
Last week, as the Obama administration rolled out its American Jobs Act, a liberal group called the Progressive Change Campaign Committee launched a strange ad campaign of its own: “[Obama economic advisor] Jason Furman wants you to work for free,” the ads blasted. The group’s rather pointed attack on an administration economist was in reference to a small proposal contained in Obama’s jobs plan called “Georgia Works.” The program, which gives the long-term jobless the option of continuing to collect unemployment benefits while receiving a modest stipend and serving a two-month “apprenticeship” with a firm, is being hailed by the administration as a novel solution to long-term unemployment that should be scaled up nationally.
The PCCC, however, is crying foul. “We need to put people back to work, not subsidize big corporations with free labor,” the group’s co-founder Adam Green told me. “It’s symbolic of the larger problem of putting the middle class last and big corporations first.” The outrage, of course, centers on the apparent heartlessness of effectively asking long-term unemployed people to work for peanuts. But beyond the dreadful optics of the program, it’s worth asking a simple question: Does Georgia Works work?
There are few worse legacies of the Great Recession than the plight of the long-term unemployed. Employers are often wary of taking a chance on those without the stamp of approval of a current job, while the skills of the unemployed deteriorate the longer they are out of work. The idea behind the Georgia Works program, in which participants work up to 24 hours per week in the hope of receiving a full-time offer at the end of the training period, is to reduce the uncertainty of hiring by letting companies test out a potential employee, in addition to teaching new skills to the long-term unemployed.
As Arthur Delaney of The Huffington Post reported, from 2003 to 2010 approximately 16 percent of trainees in the Georgia program stayed on at the firms they auditioned with, as compared to the 10 to 15 percent of long-term unemployed people who found jobs over a similar period. Even more promising, however, is the Georgia Department of Labor’s claim that nearly 60 percent of enrollees had a job within three months of finishing the program, which suggests that those who participated got a bump in employability. After all, filling in a resume gap is better than nothing. The appeal to policymakers is therefore clear enough: For scant additional spending, you get the prospect of making a dent in one of the gravest social ills plaguing our country.
Of course, there are still reasons to be skeptical. It’s unclear, for instance, how many of the aforementioned 60 percent of newly employed folks who went through the Georgia program actually found full-time, as opposed to part-time, work. And Mike Konczal, a fellow at the Roosevelt Institute, has noted that roughly 70 percent of the participants in Georgia Works found apprenticeships in low-skill positions that required little, if any, formal education. This preponderance of low-end jobs among Georgia Works trainees is possibly problematic, argues Jesse Rothstein, an associate professor of public policy and economics at the University of California at Berkeley, because forcing low-skill employees to compete against free labor has the potential to depress wages and allow firms to cynically churn through apprentices rather than fill a position. “It could turn what could have been a good job into a bad job or no job,” Rothstein explains.
But on the whole, provided that protections are put in place to preclude exploitative behavior, the consensus among experts seems to be that it’s an experiment worth trying. “As long as the program is voluntary and basic labor standards are maintained, there are no downsides,” says Rothstein. After all, if no one is being forced to participate, people will only join if they decide that that the combination of work experience and modest stipend is worth their time. Jared Bernstein, former chief economic advisor to Vice President Biden and current senior fellow at the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, agreed, although he told me he would prefer to see the program first tested on a piloted basis to prove labor standards would indeed not be compromised. “It makes sense to provide on-the-job training for the long-term unemployed, but we have to be careful about potentially violating labor standards,” says Bernstein.
This hardly constitutes a full-throated defense of Georgia Works. There simply is not enough empirical evidence to conclusively say that it will ameliorate long-term joblessness—but there is certainly a chance that it might. That seems like reason enough for progressives to leave Jason Furman alone.
Matt O’Brien is an intern at The New Republic.
6 comments
Ironic that this was written by an intern. Anyway, this sounds like a conservative version of what I favour, which is a program of direct government employment that retrains unemployed workers and interfaces with private employers looking to fill positions. This would be a bigger and more established program, but it would usefully combine the unemployment insurance, job retraining, and technical education functions even if we get to 5% unemployment. There will always be people to train and the stimulus it provides would help ensure there are businesses looking to expand.
- chaitless
September 14, 2011 at 9:19pm
Of course, many highly educated young men and women, including professionals, compete for non-paying, or low-paying, internships, both for the experience and the contacts they make to advance their careers (which, I assume, is the prior commenter's point about the irony of an intern writing this article). And internships are nothing new. I had two while still in law school (some 35 years ago), one with the state legislature (working for a committee) and one at the state supreme court (as a part-time clerk for a justice), the former with pay but the latter without any pay, and both experiences made me more attractive to law firms during the recruiting season and a better lawyer (my writing skills jumped significantly, especially from the clerking experience - you learn very quickly how to be brief and effective (they go together) to get the attention of seven very busy justices). I'm not so arrogant to believe that only professionals can benefit from internships.
- rayward
September 15, 2011 at 7:23am
Surely there is plenty of research on comparable programs, such as Australia's "Work for the Dole" and the UK's various programs (Jobseeker's Allowance etc)? that can also be examined? The US doesn't have to worry about concerns that such a program changes the social contract, since until recently the US didn't have one after unemployment insurance ran out (compared to the pre-existing entitlement system in Oz and the UK). And the current safety net is only the tenuous extension of unemployment benefits. Back in the US, one of the more interesting studies (see Perry Project in Ypsilanti & James Heckman) of job training programs demonstrated that they're basically completely ineffective, and that, what people were lacking were the skills one tends to acquire in (wait for it) pre-school, and that said "soft" skills were very difficult to acquire afterwards. It's obviously easy for me to say this, but it would stand to reason that the risk of exploitation by companies is probably outweighed by the aforementioned benefit in getting someone off the unemployed line, and forcing them to show up somewhere at the same place each day *may* change someone's habits such that they find it easier to hold a "real" job down the link.
- Nari224
September 15, 2011 at 2:51pm
Also, it's not much of a stretch to see that the usefulness of such a program varies greatly with the jobs that people are assigned to. If they're digging graves, they're probably not going to get too motivated or feel like they're improving. However even if they're operating a tamping machine on some volunteer heritage railway, it's a skill that even if its not immediately translatable, someone can take pride in developing.
- Nari224
September 15, 2011 at 3:37pm
Right now about 1-5% of human labor has been replaced by automation in the form of robots (on assembly lines) and by artificial intelligence programs (answering the telephone with voice recognition), or by other “labor setting” devices, such as the ones that let you pay for your own groceries without bothering with using a human checker. By the end of this decade, this automation will reach 25-50%, causing huge disruption to our economy and psychology. We need to start thinking now about how we are going to deal with this huge disruption of human society. For example, here is one attempt: http://marshallbrain.com/robotic-freedom.htm . It's time for The New Republic to address this issue, if it has not already been taken over by androids.
- skahn
September 15, 2011 at 10:41pm
There is something wrong with my computer and something wrong with the TNR software as "view full comment" is actually a link.
- skahn
September 15, 2011 at 10:43pm