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Go Home The Unpatronizing Waffler: Romney’s Debate Strength and...

PLANK OCTOBER 3, 2012

The Unpatronizing Waffler: Romney’s Debate Strength and Weakness

There has been far, far too much said and written in anticipation of the first presidential debate. If you asked me, we’d just leave the job of previewing these things to James Fallows, whose exhaustive scouting reports on the candidates’ debating skills have become essential reading. But there are two points about Mitt Romney's debating style that bear emphasizing more before the Wednesday night festivities—one that works in his favor, and one that does not.

The first is that Romney is arguably at his best in debates. Now, he may be even better in a corporate boardroom, but we don’t get to see him there. Of the chances that the public gets to observe him, debates put him in his best light. Why is that? Because, I would argue, he is amongst perceived peers. It is no secret that Romney does not do well mixing with the hoi polloi—the 47 percent, the 99 percent, however you want to define the great unwashed. He tells women they don't have their makeup on yet (3:00 mark), he startles moribund elderly people in cafes, he lets the dawgs out, he insults local bakeries’ products, he declaims about cheesy grits (0:55 mark), he makes fun of people’s rain ponchos (2:15 mark), he pretends to understand their economic anxiety. Most of all, he condescends. This was what struck me most watching Romney on the stump in the early primaries way back last winter—his patronizing attempts to connect with the average folk in average places, crystallized in his saccharine rendering, at every campaign stop, of verses of “America the Beautiful.”

In debates, Romney loses this affect. He snaps to attention and he’s firing on all cylinders, because he feels challenged: put simply, he is amongst his fellow 1 percenters, where he feels most comfortable, and he wants to show his wits and win the exchange. He is back in the Bain board room or the governor’s cabinet room in Boston, sparring with other joint business-law degree holders. He is George Romney’s son, striving to prove himself. With regular folks, he cannot strive, he must lower himself, and it is painful for him and painful for us to behold. In the debates, he doesn’t have to pretend. He can be what he was raised to be: smart, handsome Mitt, standing tall, standing up for himself and his family.* This comes across particularly in his exchanges with the moderators. With the candidates, there was still occasional awkwardness—not surprisingly, given how inferior they are to him. (Think of the $10,000 bet offer to hapless Rick Perry.) But with the moderators, Romney is sharp-witted and collegial—see, for instance, this clip of him pushing back at George Stephanopoulos’ question about birth control at the 2012 debate in New Hampshire. A-list moderators are people who are plausibly of the same universe as he is.** They make him think, as Barack Obama will, and when he’s thinking hard, he doesn’t have time or need to patronize. And this makes him relatively more appealing.

This is the Romney strength that came through to me in the primary debates. The weakness is something that did not come through in those debates, or at least not nearly as much as it will in these three debates if Barack Obama is even moderately adept. It’s something I’m surprised more people aren’t talking about in the debate previews: the slalom course of Romney’s positions. It was tricky enough for Romney to have to tack to the right for all those primary debates in 2007 and 2008, and again last year and early this year—to talk about doubling Guantanamo, self-deporting immigrants, and so on. But at least that was all in one direction—there was a certain consistency to the shift. Now? The flags and gates are scattered all over the slope. No, Romney never did the full Etch-a-Sketch we were expecting, but he has started to shift here and there, saying a few nice things about Romneycare, saying he won’t deport young Dream Act” immigrants, saying he may ease up on the tax cuts for the rich. But as often as not he’ll tack right back the next day in front of a different audience. Obama needs to be able to capitalize on this confusion, seek it out, tangle Romney up for all it’s worth. No, this has not been the focus of the Obama campaign—it made a conscious decision early on to cast Romney as extreme and out of touch, rather than a mere flip-flopper, a strategy that was validated by the pick of Paul Ryan and the “47 percent” video. But that doesn’t mean Obama shouldn't exploit it, with a wry jab or two—not to press a thematic argument against Romney, but simply to scramble him, and jar him out of the confident mode he’ll be in by virtue of not having to pretend to connect with the actual flesh and blood folks of Council Bluffs.

*Ann Romney just buttressed this notion of the debates allowing Mitt to revert to being the Romney scion: she told CNN that every time her husband arrives on the debate stage, he writes “Dad” on the note pad in front of him.

**Commenter Thunderroad makes an important related point: Romney does well in debates because they are a controlled environment. There are rules and time limits—and we know what happens when Romney thinks the rules aren’t being followed: “Anderson?”

Follow me on Twitter @AlecMacGillis

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15 comments

Oh, I don't know, Alec. Romney does relatively well in debates because it's a relatively controlled environment for him, something he can prepare for more than many other campaign trail events where his foot-in-mouth disease is more likely to surface. I do agree with you, though, that Obama should try to catch him off-stride without being too aggressive about it. I don't think it will work, because Romney has had so much time to prepare for this particular debate. But it's still worth the effort.

- Thunderroad

October 3, 2012 at 1:17am

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Romney did only one thing in the primary debates where he won -- criticism of Gingrich's hypocrisy over investments in Freddie Mac. Romney will debate with oversimplifications, distortions and half truths that require too much to respond to in a debate format, like his campaign (the McCain quote and the "They didn't build that."). President Obama has been deficient in providing reasons for things that I agree with him about (not like Bill Clinton). I would enjoy seeing the President give cogent reasoning for his positions. Romney can't provide valid reasons for his position that cutting top rates or $200,000.00 of tax free income for non working people will help us.

- Nusholtz

October 3, 2012 at 6:56am

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What's the Intrade bet that Romney will have to put his hand on Obama's shoulder during the answer to any question that has the words Griswold v CT in it? :) I must be the only person who thought Stephanopoulos made Romney look like an idiot during that question. How can anyone who aced Harvard Law NOT know about Griswold v CT? I am so not looking forward to these debates with two men who are actually not that good at debates, neither being "likeable enough" "for Pete's sake!". Ryan v Biden on Oct 11 is going to be the fun debate.

- K2K

October 3, 2012 at 7:35am

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The flip flopper image helps Romney, or it helps him with the few undecideds. Why? Because it makes a lie of Romney as extreme since a flip flopper doesn't believe in anything. One might argue that being a flip flopper (not having convictions) is worse than being extreme, but not for the undecided, for a voter to be an undecided at this stage means the voter herself is a flip flopper. Even if I'm right it's irrelevant, because I agree with MacGillis: Romney will do what he has to do to impress the moderator and the bigwigs in attendance, which is unlikely to be what would impress the undecideds. As for Obama, his challenge will be to avoid the gaffe ("above my pay grade"), which he is wont to do when he resorts to chopped sentences (he can't seem to avoid them) and colloquialisms.

- rayward

October 3, 2012 at 8:27am

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I'm inclined to agree with K2K -- Oct 11 is where the currently most disingenuous politician in America meets the politician with the most disabled rhetorical filter. Ryan is likely to promise to personally deliver a cup of hot chocolate to every elderly person in the US while Biden is likely to describe his wife's accidental penis joke.

- ironyroad

October 3, 2012 at 10:28am

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Romney reminds me of the Claude Rains character in Casablanca: "I have no conviction if that is what you mean. I blow with the wind"

- stanmvp48

October 3, 2012 at 10:54am

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Stan: but Louis did the right thing in the end. I am not sure about Romney. I can't see Romney throwing the Vichy Water bottle in the bin. Not, that is, as long as Petain still governed.

- icarus-r

October 3, 2012 at 11:39am

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Good point

- stanmvp48

October 3, 2012 at 11:52am

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The obvious glaring problem for Romney is not his contradictions: it's his policies. He has no detail on them, and the detail he does have is unpopular or unworkable. All Obama has to do is cast these policies as unhelpful to the lower and middle class, and favorable to the rich, to cement Romney's reputation as a modern-day Monopoly Man.

- polcereal

October 3, 2012 at 11:52am

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Isn't one of the Presidential debates going to be a "town-hall" style thing, with "average" voters asking pre-screened questions to the candidates? Strikes me that, given Romney's demonstrated weakness connecting to "average" people, this debate would put Romney in a bad light. IIRC, none of the Republican debates had that type of format but at least the last two general Presidential elections featured that sort of thing.

- wildboy

October 3, 2012 at 12:06pm

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Alec must have been watching Romney highlight reels of the debates to think Romney was on top of his game during the debates. Romney didn't have to debate, there isn't a debate when every person on the GOP debate stage thinks they're God's gift to the American people and they all trip over themselves to agree to the same GOP talking points. Mittens will get flustered and won't be able to answer the questions nor will he be able to forcefully counter Obama because there will be nowhere to hide. Romney won't be able to dodge the question, walk away or make $10,000 bets or get lost among the other candidates clamouring for TV camera time. There will only be Obama and Romney on stage.

- singlspeed

October 3, 2012 at 12:11pm

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To add another point. Romney is just simply awkward. Period. Even amongst his "peers" he is awkward. The man is just not a people person. He might be a family man but he's not a people person. I work with someone like that. They can't chit chat, they can't carry a conversation for long, they don't like crowds, their body language drips of awkwardness. Romney is the same way. He telegraphs an akwardness built upon his inner contempt for the "little people" which means pretty much everyone but himself. I suspect he even condescends to his wife because that's a trait that is exhibited always.

- singlspeed

October 3, 2012 at 12:16pm

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Something from Colbert the other night that I just remembered -- useful to bear in mind this evening: "Physicists now say that the universe may be composed of up to eight completely different dimensions of reality -- and six of them are where Mitt Romney secures his wealth!"

- ironyroad

October 3, 2012 at 8:08pm

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Why. Won't Obama. Fight. ????? It is the debt ceiling fiasco all over again. Reagan to go back to that example years ago -- was Mr Nice Guy but lost his temper several times. And Obama did not even look cross-eyed at Romney when he said sneeringly "you can't have your own facts" after he, Romney had been lying for over an hour. Is Obama tone deaf? Can he not see any grand picture? When Reagan was stuffed with facts he made an ass of himself in the debates but when he just let go with his big dream, addled though it may have been in some ways, he scored big. Obama cannot speak to the public in a grand narrative and it is painful---like seeing your 99-pound weakling dad get snd kicked on him at the beach by a stupid muscle dude. It really hurts. He doesn't have to ape Reagan, but a bit of honest factual Clinton might help. Or M L King or Michelle Obama or a million others. Nice doesn't cut it against this sort of shark like Romney and his embalmed fixed smile, single-minded on winning at any cost.

- atlasqq

October 3, 2012 at 11:30pm

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And Leherer was just awful. He did not control interruptions (Romney, although it was Obama's fault also to just stand blankly during the rude moments) or in any way guide a meaningful discussion of anything. Good night Jim. Have a happy retirement.

- atlasqq

October 3, 2012 at 11:34pm

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