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Go Home Depressing Signs From The Subcontinent

THE PLANK AUGUST 5, 2009

Depressing Signs From The Subcontinent

The New York Times had a dispiriting story this morning about the latest diplomatic negotiations between India and Pakistan.

After months of tension over the attacks in Mumbai last November, in which gunmen from Pakistan rampaged through India’s financial capital and killed more than 160 people, the two sides seemed open to the possibility of resuming full-blown talks.

Instead, the mere suggestion of a thaw in relations has been met with fierce public and political resistance in India, providing a nagging reminder of the enormous internal obstacles that both countries face in overcoming their decades-old rivalry.

Indian Prime Minister Monmohan Singh met with the Pakistani prime minister last month. Much of the criticism currently directed at Singh concerns his decision to include--in a post-summit "joint statement"--the Pakistani claim that India has been stirring up trouble in the Pakistani province of Baluchistan. 

The reaction from the Indian press, as the Times story notes, has been overwhelmingly negative. In a surprising editorial in the Indian newspaper Mint, the business sheet's editors write:

What needs answering are the Prime Minister’s motives and the timing of what he is doing...

Today, nearly 50% of India’s gross domestic product is linked in one way or another to what it trades with the world...The fear here is not from globalization but from being denied a slice in the global march. It also means that when Mumbai-like attacks occur on Indian soil, they dent investor confidence badly...

In this context, the Prime Minister could well argue that that is precisely what his intention is in going forward with Pakistan. But remember, as argued above, this is a knife-edged argument: It could take a different, and detrimental, course in a flick. Pakistani impatience allows it to exploit India’s economic success. The Prime Minister has indulged in a huge gamble. Let’s hope it does not cost India dear.

The problem with this argument is that it avoids explaining how the prime minister's "gamble" would lead to trouble for India. Even more depressing is the point made by Jug Suraiya in an excellent op-ed for The Times of India.

But the reaction that [talks have] provoked has brought one aspect of Indo-Pak relations to light: namely, that it is not just Islamabad, but New Delhi as well which has a vested interest in maintaining what might be called the static quo between the two countries...

Both countries need a whipping boy in each other to keep their respective constituencies in a state of diversionary fear. The ruling establishments in both countries in Pakistan, the army and the feudal political class; in India, our netas, babus and mediacrats find it not just convenient but necessary to keep alive the image of an ill-intentioned neighbour who can be used to whip up nationalist emotion, often at the expense of rationalist thought. Unrest in Balochistan? Blame it on India. Militancy in Kashmir? Blame it on Pakistan. 

Kashmir is key here because India's militaristic rule of Jammu and Kashmir would be unsustainable without Pakistani provocations. There was a lot of commentary after India's May election that the voters had been extremely wise to deliver Singh and his Congress Party an even greater mandate. That was probably true, but the latest developments are a clear sign of how distant the prospect of peace remains. 

--Isaac Chotiner

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Jug Suraiya:

Both countries need a whipping boy in each other to keep their respective constituencies in a state of diversionary fear.

george:

Indeed. This is a fundamental artifice that virtually all world leaders use to maintain their power. They all need a boogeyman of some sort to divert citizens' attention away from the ruling class. Them. In almost all nations a small percentage of the population owns 70, 80, even 90 percent of the national wealth. So the last thing they want is to have the folks sniffing around there, right? So they play [and prey] on the emotional and psychological allegiances citizens have to different religions, ethnic groups, races etc

In my view few have captured this better than Bobby Dylan in "Only a Pawn in Their Game"

A South politician preaches to the poor white man

"You got more than the blacks, don't complain.

You're better than them, you been born with white skin," they explain.

And the Negro's name

Is used it is plain

For the politician's gain

As he rises to fame

And the poor white remains

On the caboose of the train

But it ain't him to blame

He's only a pawn in their game.

The deputy sheriffs, the soldiers, the governors get paid,

And the marshals and cops get the same,

But the poor white man's used in the hands of them all like a tool.

He's taught in his school

From the start by the rule

That the laws are with him

To protect his white skin

To keep up his hate

So he never thinks straight

'Bout the shape that he's in

But it ain't him to blame

He's only a pawn in their game.

george:

Enough said, right?

- iambiguous

August 5, 2009 at 2:40pm

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