JANUARY 9, 2008
Back on the Wagon [Staff, Concord Monitor]: "The way forward for Mitt Romney, Barack Obama and John Edwards after
last night's losses starts in states as varied as South Carolina,
Nevada and Michigan. The New Hampshire primary left Edwards and Romney,
who had poured considerable time, effort and money into Iowa and New
Hampshire, still searching for an impact victory. And after last night,
Obama now faces a revived Hillary Clinton in what may prove to be a
long and difficult fight for the nomination."
Bounces and Misses [Matthew Yglesias, The Atlantic]: "Commenter Brian makes an observation
"No one is talking about how the polls actually nailed Obama's number.
Obama didn't lose this election. He stayed steady and Hillary surged
ahead." That seems to be true. Here's a chart comparing the actual
results to the most recent Pollster.com current standard estimate polling average. Just as Brian says, the difference between the Obama poll level and
the Obama vote total level seems to just be your basic statistical
variance. The pollsters underestimated Clinton's level of support."
The Textbook is Back [Peter Wallsten, Los Angeles Times]: "The big news Tuesday was not merely that Hillary Rodham Clinton scored
an unexpected comeback victory. Emerging from that win was something
more durable: a road map that could guide the former first lady to the
Democratic presidential nomination. The margin in the New Hampshire primary was razor-thin. But she
clearly beat Barack Obama among core Democratic voters, the very bloc
that will grow in influence as the nomination fight continues in the
War of Attrition [Jonathan Martin and John Harris, Politico]: "The hope among McCain operatives is that the New Hampshire victory will
lead to an infusion of badly needed contributions. His fate also
depends on the conservative establishment, often hostile to the Arizona
senator and his maverick crusades, now rallying around his argument
that he is the most electable Republican in the general election."
Giuliani Numbers Head South [Taegan Goddard, Political Wire]: "A new Datamar poll in Florida finds Mike Huckabee leading the
Republican presidential primary race with 24% support, followed by Mitt
Romney at 20%, Sen. John McCain at 18% and Rudy Giuliani now back in
fourth place at 16%."