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Go Home Daily Treatment, Thinking Aloud Edition

THE TREATMENT OCTOBER 14, 2009

Daily Treatment, Thinking Aloud Edition

Editor's Note: A few months ago, I started posting a daily list of articles worth reading--and then dropped it. It still seems like a good idea, though, so I'm starting it up again.

Mike Tomasky thinks "reform looks to have the votes to pass" but warns "[t]here will be heart-attack moments between now and passage."

Ezra Klein thinks Ron Wyden made some progress on his free choice amendment.

Merrill Goozner thinks we shouldn't be so enamored of high-tech medicine.

Marc Ambinder thinks the health insurance lobby really blew it with that PriceWaterhouseCoopers study...

although Joe Paduda thinks PWC was onto something.

And I think every one of them is right.

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This daily handicapping is somewhat amusing-factors which no one anticipates arise and the odds change. Regarding the PW report, realize, with any report from any side, there are problems and holes in it. The central conclusion to the PW report-guaranteed issue/community ratings must increase premiums for all Americans-is true. Note, a University of Michigan professor-weeks ago-published his study which concluded: upon reform, premiums for the average policy will increase $1,300 to $2,000. Of course, over time, as health care costs rise, that increase will also rise. The fact that such evidence was in the marketplace of ideas in advance of the PW report suggests that no one is ambushing Obamacare. Note, the Commonwealth Fund also believes the same-but with smaller premium increaeses. Why do you think the average American-who now, is about 55% against Obamacare-will change their minds and support reform? Let's watch how opponents use this material-all of it-from three different sources, concluding the same thing (premiums will rise), with the only uncertainty, how much.

- lobosven

October 14, 2009 at 1:10pm

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