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THE VINE FEBRUARY 16, 2010

California's Vanishing Fog

The northern California coast tends to get smothered with fog during the summer—it just sits there and won't go away. (I'm pretty sure I complained about it constantly when I lived in San Francisco.) But now it turns out that the fog has actually been dwindling over the decades, which could spell bad news for the region's redwood trees:

A surprising new study finds that during the past century the frequency of fog along California's coast has declined by approximately three hours a day. Published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, the researchers are concerned that this decrease in fog threatens California's giant redwoods and the unique ecosystem they inhabit.

"As fog decreases, the mature redwoods along the coast are not likely to die outright, but there may be less recruitment of new trees; they will look elsewhere for water, high humidity and cooler temperatures," explains coauthor Todd E. Dawson, professor of integrative biology and University of California, Berkeley professor of integrative biology with the Department of Environmental Science, Policy and Management (ESPM).

It's worth spelling out here that the redwoods rely very heavily on moist air hitting their needles and dripping down onto the ground; this fog drip provides anywhere from 25 percent to 40 percent of the trees' water. Indeed, that's a big reason why redwood roots are relatively shallow but often extend out over one hundred feet from the base—so they can collect the dripping fog.

Now, the reason for the fog decline seems to be that the temperature difference between the coast and the California interior has been narrowing. The researchers stressed that they're not certain whether the vanishing fog is part of a natural cycle or due to broader climate-change trends—to do that, they'll have to look more closely at redwood tree-ring data to reconstruct the region's climate over the past century, as well as analyze fog patterns elsewhere in the world. This study's mainly notable because the redwoods have enough problems as is (only about 5 percent of the original forests survive today), and they certainly don't need a dry spell on top of it all.

(Flickr photo credit: Lena M. Photography)

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Sometimes you just gotta laugh. Talking about fog and climate-change, this appeared today in the WSJ Best of the Web: From the San Francisco Chronicle, July 6, 2009: The Bay Area just had its foggiest May in 50 years. And thanks to global warming, it's about to get even foggier. And from London's Daily Telegraph, Feb. 15, 2010: Fog Over San Francisco Thins by a Third Due to Climate Change The sight of Golden Gate Bridge towering above the fog will become increasing rare as climate change warms San Francisco bay, scientists have found. See, it works either way! More fog? It's global weirding, man! Less fog? Also global weirding! What if the amount of fog stays exactly the same? Well, how weird would that be!

- nacnud1

February 17, 2010 at 6:54pm

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I think I'll put more weight on the study published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences than in whatever the Chronicle or Daily Telegraph said (unless I also see their sources). In any case, the foggy parts of the Bay area owe a lot of their fog to local factors (watch fog appear and blow in through the Golden Gate), and the fog has a different character on the Pacific side, so different effects in different places might be expected.

- JEFF FREY

February 18, 2010 at 11:14am

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Yeah, it's not clear right now how rising global temperatures affect fog--the UC Berkeley scientists were careful to say that they weren't certain there was a link. Climate models have historically had a tough time forecasting fog (some models have suggested that California's fog could increase as the planets heat up, but the data discussed above seems to indicate the reverse). So at this point, this is much more of a "What's going on with California's fog?" story than a "Global warming is doing X to the fog" story.

- Bradford Plumer

February 18, 2010 at 1:13pm

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