The Obama Camp On Wisconsin
February 18, 2008
One more thing about that conference call I was just on: I could be mis-reading Obama campaign manager David Plouffe (which would be easy to do, since he speaks in a kind of uninflected semi-whisper), but he seemed pretty confident about Wisconsin. He kept emphasizing that Hillary should do very well there, since the state has a lot of working-class people, not many African-Americans, and holds a primary, not a caucus. But he didn't say it the way campaign operatives do when they expect things to go badly. He said it the way people do when they want to deprive opponents of excuses.
Is Hawaii Really Obama Country?
February 08, 2008
Barack Obama will probably win Hawaii on February 19. He does have a "home state" advantage and an organizational edge, since the state has a caucus. But here's something to ponder: almost 60% of Hawaiians are Asian Americans--as Isaac pointed out, by far the most anti-Obama demographic in the United States in the primaries thus far.
January 29, 2008
That's the amount of money Obama campaign manager David Plouffe says they've raised online since the South Carolina win... For what it's worth, I'm on the Obama campaign's counter-spin conference call right now. (I got on a little late, but, from what I've heard, the counter-spin seemed to consist mostly of having John Kerry denounce the Clintons for bucking the DNC on Florida, then Plouffe basically ignored Florida and started looking to Feb. 5. Seems like the right posture for them to strike.) Update: A couple more talking points from Plouffe in response to a question about Florida.
Decoding The Obama Conference Call
December 31, 2007
Like other people on that Obama conference call today, I noticed campaign manager David Plouffe spending an awful lot of time talking about why a vote for John Edwards is essentially a wasted vote, since (Plouffe claimed) he doesn't really have the resources or the organization to compete after Iowa. It's possible that the Obama people see Edwards as the candidate with momentum in the home stretch. Or it's possible that Obama and Edwards are just competing for the same bloc of voters--pro-reform, skeptical of Hillary.