Electionate
The Five Things You Need To Know About Obama's Lead In Ohio Polls
Ohio rests at the center of Obama's claim to an advantage in the Electoral College, but analysts offer diverging assessments of the race in the country's most critical state. Some say Obama has a big lead, others say it's a true toss-up and that Romney has the momentum. But what do the polls actually say in the Buckeye State? Here are five things to know. 1) Obama's lead is small, but consistent On average, Obama leads by 1.9 points in surveys conducted entirely after the first debate. READ MORE >>
Record Support for Strikes Against Iran Ahead of Debate
Heading into the critical final presidential debate on foreign policy and possible direct negotiations with Iran about their nuclear program, polls find strong public support for a U.S. military operation to destroy Iran’s ability to develop nuclear weapons if Iran continues its pursuit of nuclear capabilities. READ MORE >>
Yesterday's national polls continued to suggest a tight race in which the president holds a slight edge. READ MORE >>
At first glance, North Carolina’s apparent competitiveness seems surprising. Even though Obama won North Carolina by just 14,000 votes in an election he won by more than 7 percent nationally, both campaigns treated North Carolina as a battleground state in 2012, an election which promises to be far closer than 2008. And despite a tied national race, Obama remains within striking distance in North Carolina, where post-debate polls show Romney leading by just 3 points. READ MORE >>
Ranking The Battleground States
If the national race stays deadlocked, the race comes down to the electoral math and yesterday’s polls suggested that the president was well-positioned in several states on his path to 270 electoral votes. READ MORE >>
What's Going On With The Gallup Poll?
Gallup's flashy Romney+7 result is deservedly getting quite a bit of attention. It's a much stronger result for Romney than any of the other national polls and it also seems inconsistent with the state polls. READ MORE >>
Why Green Bay Is The Most Saturated Market In The Country
According to NBC First Read, Green Bay is the most saturated political market in the country. And there's a simple reason for that: there are more swing voters in the Green Bay media market than anywhere else. While Obama’s ’08 improvement in states like North Carolina and Virginia received considerable attention, Obama actually improved over Kerry’s performance in Wisconsin by 14 points, a similar margin to the two red-to-blue states. READ MORE >>
Misinterpreting Ad Spending
This morning, NBC’s First Read published their most recent list of the most hotly contested markets and found that Virginia, North Carolina, Colorado, and Florida only contributed one of the top-ten markets. For much of the summer, Virginia dominated the top-markets lists with Norfolk, Richmond, and Roanoke routinely vying for the top spot. READ MORE >>
Daily Breakdown: Polls Show Obama With A Slight Edge In Ohio, Nevada, and Wisconsin
We’re still awaiting the first wave of post-debate polls, but today’s polls—largely conducted before the second debate—helped clarify the race in a few states. READ MORE >>