The New Republic

 Not much evidence of movement heading into the second debate.  As I'm looking over this chart, it looks like PPP/DailyKos/SEIU got lost in the action, but the big picture is about the same. The national polls over the last few days have shown a tied race, with every hint of movement easily explained by static. No matter how you look at the national polls, the popular vote was about tied up heading into the first debate. READ MORE >>

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After the first presidential debate, YouGov recontacted likely voters in 25 states, including the eight battlegrounds and found Romney making small gains. These state findings come on the heels of last week’s YouGov/Economist national survey, which found Obama maintaining a 3-point lead among likely voters. Although later polls have since shown Obama holding a modest edge, the YouGov/Economist poll was the only survey showing Obama maintaining a national lead when it was released least Wednesday. READ MORE >>

Tiny Iowa is worth just six electoral votes, but it’s surprisingly important to the electoral math. Iowa holds the keys to Colorado: if Obama lost Iowa, then a victory in Colorado wouldn’t get him over the top without winning another tipping point state, like Ohio or Virginia. If Obama lost Wisconsin but won Ohio, a win in Iowa (as well as Nevada and New Hampshire) could make up for lost ground. And victory in Iowa would be enough to reelect Obama if he also won Ohio and Wisconsin.  READ MORE >>

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 Yesterday’s polls sent a pretty clear message: the race is close. READ MORE >>

This is North Carolina. Its borders have been established for hundreds of years, beginning with King Charles II's Royal Colonial Boundary in 1665. Since then, North Carolina's northern border has been unmistakably straight, although it took a little longer for the southern border to get worked out.  READ MORE >>

With Obama trailing in most national polls after the first presidential debate, Democratic hopes increasingly depend on a strong showing in the pivotal state of Ohio, where Obama maintains an edge. But it’s unclear whether Obama’s ahead a narrow or more meaningful margin.   READ MORE >>

Both campaigns are carefully plotting their path of least resistance to 270 electoral votes and Nevada is potentially central for each campaign. Obama won the Silver State by 12 points in 2008, but it has an extremely weak economy and the polls show have shown a close race, even if Obama has consistently held a lead. READ MORE >>

Before Romney's victory in the first presidential debate, Obama led by 4 points with 49 percent of the popular vote. On Sunday, Romney possessed about 47.5 percent of the popular vote, his highest share of the cycle, while Obama also lost three points, falling near 46 percent. This is unabashedly good news for the Romney campaign, which hadn't led in the national polls for the entire general election campaign. READ MORE >>