Electionate

The combination of Wisconsin, Iowa, and Ohio is enough to reelect the president.

It's part sampling, part the likely voter screen.

There are more swing voters in the Green Bay market than anywhere else in the country

Depending on how you look at the ad data, there's a case that Romney's on the offensive or just desperate.

If Obama carried all three states, he'd win reelection.

Obama's near 50 percent in a traditionally Democratic-tilting state. Romney should go all-out for Ohio, instead.

Not much evidence of movement heading into the first debate.

Whether Obama makes slight gains depends on the source of Romney's improvement since the first debate.

But the YouGov survey isn't just your typical poll.

There are only three post-debate polls in Iowa, but they're decent for Obama and the early voting numbers look alright, too.

The New Republic