The New Republic

After what may have been Romney’s best polling day of the year, Obama fared much better over the weekend.   READ MORE >>

Today, a poll found Obama leading by two points in the generally uncompetitive state of Arizona, where neither campaign has aired advertisements. Given that Obama's trailing nationally and locked in a tight race in states like Nevada and Colorado, Obama probably doesn't have a lead in Arizona, so let's just cut that argument out of the discussion.  READ MORE >>

After a week of swing state polls going Obama’s way, Romney finally added a wave of strong showings in the battleground states while preserving his lead in the national polls.   READ MORE >>

While Team Romney has often outspent Team Obama with the help of outside Super PACs, data from the National Journal suggest that next week will be the first time the Romney campaign outspends the Obama campaign in the battleground states. READ MORE >>

Yesterday’s polls pointed toward a continued divide between the state and national surveys and a persistent Romney bounce showing few signs of fading. Just look at the chart: the whole right column is red, showing Romney making gains since pre-debate polls, as is most of the “margin” column while you read through the national polls. READ MORE >>

Just one month before the presidential election, Gallup announced it was changing its polling method. The changes were good ones; they included an increase in the number of interviews conducted by cell phones, a reduction in the length of the questionnaire for political questions, adjustments to ensure its sample matches U.S. census targets for the adult population, and modifications to the likely voter screen to account for early voting. READ MORE >>

Since the first presidential debate last week, Obama has led in just two national surveys: YouGov/Economist survey and Rasmussen. It's not unusual or unlikely for the occasional poll to show a 3-point Obama lead while an average of national surveys points toward Romney in the lead by one or two points. But Rasmussen and YouGov/Economist aren't just typical surveys. READ MORE >>

Since Romney’s performance in the first presidential debate, Obama has held onto the lead in just one of nine national polls. But this morning’s NBC/WSJ/Marist and CBS/NYT/Quinnipiac polls add additional data to what had been an emerging trend: Obama’s resilience in the battleground states.  READ MORE >>

After early polls hinted at both signs of tightening and a persistent bounce, the late afternoon polls indicated that Romney was still riding his post-debate wave.   READ MORE >>

Yesterday, Gallup released data showing that Obama returned to pre-debate levels over their last two days of interviews, suggesting that Romney’s bounce had already come and gone. Similarly, today’s Gallup poll seems to suggest that Obama’s strong showings are continuing. READ MORE >>