Could Obama Win Arizona? Here's The Math.
October 14, 2012

A new poll shows Obama up by 2 points in Arizona, but could Obama really win the state?

Daily Breakdown: Romney's Best Polling Day Yet
October 13, 2012

After a week of swing state polls going Obama’s way, Romney finally added a wave of strong showings in the battleground states while preserving his lead in the national polls.   This is probably Romney’s best polling day of this election. Not only did he hold leads in the battleground state polls but Romney made relatively large gains compared to pre-DNC surveys. And the North Carolina poll where Obama led was partially conducted prior to the debate and Romney led by 6 points in the post-debate sample.

Romney Outspends Obama on Ads in Battleground States. Will It Help?
October 12, 2012

The GOP-aligned Super PAC Restore Our Future also got into the fray.

Daily Breakdown: Flash Polls and Outliers Are Overrated
October 12, 2012

It wouldn't be wise to hang your hat on outliers or flash polls.

Gallup’s New Polling Method Helps Obama—But It’s Also More Accurate
October 12, 2012

The pollster changed its methodology one month before the election, and that's a good thing.

A Tale of Two Surveys: How to Understand The Only Polls Showing Obama in the Lead
October 11, 2012

The only two polls showing Obama in the lead use different methods than everyone else. Here's what that teaches us:

Romney’s Battleground State Problem
October 11, 2012

Romney leads in the national polls but doesn't have the electoral college votes he needs.

Daily Breakdown: Romney's Bounce Appears To Hold Through Wednesday
October 10, 2012

But the battleground state polls continued to show Obama with a narrow advantage where it counts most.

Is Romney’s Bounce Receding?
October 10, 2012

There are mixed signals on the direction of the presidential contest.

Romney Leads Nationally—Just Not in Battleground States
October 09, 2012

The battleground state numbers do not show as much movement in Romney's direction as Boston would have hoped.