Electionate
The Conventions Didn’t Fix Romney’s Favorability Problem
Romney needed to improve his favorability ratings at the RNC, but the early returns suggest that, while there might have been slight movement in his direction, a plurality of voters still hold an unfavorable impression of the Republican nominee. Moreover, his gains appear to have been balanced out by improvement in Obama’s approval rating. READ MORE >>
Daily Breakdown: Fox News Poll Undermines Romney's Theory Of The Race
Today's Fox News poll shows Obama leading 48-43 lead over Mitt Romney, a net-six point improvement since their prior survey. Obama’s approval rating also reached 50% among likely voters, joining Rasmussen, Gallup, and CNN in showing a post-convention approval bounce for the president, much like George W. Bush experienced four years ago. READ MORE >>
Exploding the Reagan 1980 Comeback Myth
The tracking polls showed Obama remaining at elevated levels, but the Washington Post threw a wrench into a clear assessment of the race: READ MORE >>
Obama's Turnout Challenge Might Be Diminishing
Of all the signs of movement in Obama’s direction, Gallup's poll is perhaps the single most telling. With huge sample sizes, Gallup's demographic breakdowns have much smaller margins of error than other polls. READ MORE >>
Why Romney's Money Advantage is No Game-Changer
With the memory of the conventions fading and initial signs pointing toward an Obama bounce, attention is already turning to Romney’s ability to mount a comeback. In the minds of many, Team Romney’s financial advantage tops the list of reasons for Republican optimism. Indeed, the Romney campaign and its allied super PACs are poised to spend millions on a historic advertising campaign that some argue could bury Obama and swing undecided voters toward Romney. And yet ... READ MORE >>
Daily Breakdown: Obama's Bounce Continues
The tracking polls continue to show Obama holding a 5 point lead nationally and Obama maintained 50 and 52 percent approval ratings in Gallup and Rasmussen, suggesting another solid night of polling for the president. READ MORE >>
The Daily Breakdown Returns After the Conventions
With the conventions wrapping up, we’re entering one of the most pivotal periods of the presidential race. Before the conventions, the polls are only modestly predictive. But over the next few weeks, the polls will rapidly start to provide the clearest picture of the race to date. And, of course, we’ll be tracking all of it. READ MORE >>
