Electionate
The Diversity of the White Working Class
How Should We Read Gallup Polls?
Obama's Challenge With Young White Voters
From the start of the 2008 primary, young voters offered enthusiastic and historic support to Obama’s presidential campaign. Youth turnout likely made the difference between victory and defeat for Obama in the Democratic primary, and young voters provided most of Obama’s 2008 margin of victory: While Obama won 66 percent of 18-29 year old voters, he won just 50 percent of those 30 and older. READ MORE >>
Death of a Swing Region: Northern Virginia
The affluent and diverse suburbs of northern Virginia swung decisively toward Obama in 2008, providing most of his margin of victory in a state that hadn’t voted for a Democratic presidential candidate since 1964. Although Obama is not assured of another victory in the Commonwealth, Romney probably won’t win by rolling back Obama’s gains in the D.C. suburbs. Last cycle's consummate swing region is likely to again vote decisively for Obama in 2012, and Romney will need to look elsewhere for big gains in Virginia. READ MORE >>
Yesterday, my inbox blazed with the news that Obama's standing among African Americans is plummeting in North Carolina. A new PPP poll was responsible for the crisis: It shows Obama with just 75 percent of the African American vote, down from 95 percent in 2008 and 87 percent in their May poll. But let's keep this in perspective Normal 0 false false false MicrosoftInternetExplorer4 READ MORE >>
Will Obama Have a Turnout Problem?
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