FiveThirtyEight

Stop Beating Up on Nate Silver!
March 30, 2014

His willingness to try a new form of journalism is something that all journalists should support.

The Emptiness of Data Journalism
Nate Silver could learn a lot from those op-ed columnists he maligns
March 19, 2014

Nate Silver could learn a lot from those op-ed columnists he maligns

Nate Silver’s Not As Foxy As He Thinks He Is
March 17, 2014

Nate Silver compares himself to the fox, knowing many little things, rather than the hedgehog, knowing one big thing. But his philosophy has characteristics of the latter.

All Aboard the Nate Silver Bandwagon!
July 23, 2013

It’s been a marvel these past few days, watching Washington players who mocked or dismissed prognosticator extraordinaire Nate Silver rushing to get on his right side, even as some act as if they never questioned him to begin with.

Nate Silver Speaks—and Reveals His Real Plan
July 22, 2013

A couple hours ago, The Onion filed a gem: “Nate Silver Warns Against Overestimating His Value to ESPN.” The (fake) Silver of this article said, “The approximations of my future drawing power in fact resemble more of a random walk—in layman’s terms,

Nate Silver and the Future of Prediction
December 21, 2012

IN THE HISTORY OF election forecasting, 2012 was 1936 all over again, with the roles updated. In 1936, a trio of new forecasters—Elmo Roper, Archibald Crossley, and George Gallup—used statistical sampling methods and predicted that Franklin D.