Misinterpreting Ad Spending
October 18, 2012
Depending on how you look at the ad data, there's a case that Romney's on the offensive or just desperate.
Romney Takes The Lead In Florida
October 16, 2012
Democratic disunity and an improvement in Romney's image is helping him make gains in the Sunshine State.
Daily Breakdown: Obama Looks Stronger Over The Weekend
October 15, 2012
Obama led in the majority of national polls for the first time since his defeat in the first presidential debate.
Could Obama Win Arizona? Here's The Math.
October 14, 2012
A new poll shows Obama up by 2 points in Arizona, but could Obama really win the state?
Romney Outspends Obama on Ads in Battleground States. Will It Help?
October 12, 2012
The GOP-aligned Super PAC Restore Our Future also got into the fray.
To See Whether Romney's Bounce Counts, Follow Ohio, Iowa, and Nevada
October 08, 2012
Romney's four point bounce won't give him the lead without outsized gains in key swing states.
How the GOP Destroyed its Moderates
October 05, 2012
Moderate Republicanism is not intellectually dead. So where is it?
Thank You, Daily Caller, for Your Dud of a Story
October 03, 2012
The Daily Caller Obama bombshell is a big fat nothingburger. But it does raise an important point about the government's Katrina response.
“47%” Was Bad for Romney; Ryan Has Been Deadly
September 27, 2012
The conventional wisdom on Obama's recent surge overlooks an obvious dynamic: The escalating disaster that is Paul Ryan.
Daily Breakdown: Obama Near His Ceiling?
September 27, 2012
Three NYT/CBS/Quinnipiac polls grabbed the headlines by showing Obama with double-digit leads in Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Florida. Importantly, Obama hit 53 percent in all three states, giving him more than enough of the vote to withstand substantial losses among undecided voters. Obama’s lead in the battleground states is getting large enough that the margin might not accurately represent his advantage. The remaining undecided voters are probably latent Romney supporters—voters who tend to vote for Republican candidates, disapprove of the president’s performance, but dislike Romney.