Hillary Clinton

Will The Real John Kerry Please Stand Up?
January 23, 2008

A smart take from Salon on horce-racing and the media reinforces a suspicion I've long held: Despite his crash-and burn in November 2004, both Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton have made disparate but legitimate (and potentially damaging) claims to the mantle of John Kerry. Jay Rosen: The near-heart attack [after New Hampshire] wasn't triggered by a bad prediction, which can happen to anyone, but rather by some spectacular wreckage in the reality-making machinery of political journalism.

A Key Newspaper Endorsement For Obama
January 22, 2008

Whatever you think of Obama's performance in last night's debate, his just-announced endorsement by The State, South Carolina's largest newspaper, could end up being just as influential if not more so in Saturday's primary. You can read the whole thing here. This passage is particularly interesting: On positions from Iraq to health care, the policy differences between Sen. Hillary Clinton and Sen. Barack Obama are minute. Much of the debate between them has involved making these molehills look mountainous or clashing over who-shifted-when.

Sparks Flying In South Carolina
January 21, 2008

Folks, if you're not watching the South Carolina debate, you really should tune in. I can't take notes quickly enough to keep up, so here's a paraphrased run-down of what's just transpired on the second question... OBAMA: Hillary Clinton has been distorting my record -- including what I said about Ronald Reagan in an editorial board meeting, suggesting I praised Republican ideas. CLINTON:  I'm just going by what you've said.  You said the Republicans were the party of ideas and that you admired them for it.

January 21, 2008

In the Washington Post yesterday, Paul Starr argued that it's really difficult to determine whether Hillary Clinton or Barack Obama would fare better in a general election. Ezra Klein made the same point, as did Kevin Drum. I find this maddening. Look, it's obviously true that any guess about general election viability is speculative. You're predicting a future event, and you could be wrong. I think the New England Patriots would have a better chance of beating the New York Giants than would the Detroit Lions, but I can't be sure. That said, the available data here is not very ambiguous.

Where Hillary And Republicans Agree
January 21, 2008

David Leonhardt has yet another solid piece in today's New York Times, taking a look at Hillary Clinton's economic worldview. The bottom line is that despite her centrist reputation, she's not as big a believer in free markets as her husband is. It's worth reading the whole thing, but an especially interesting part is where she explains her view of why income inequality has increased over the past three decades.

Peeling Back The Curtain On Hillary's Nevada Win
January 20, 2008

The Las Vegas Sun has an interesting piece (posted here on The Politico) about the highly-effective Clinton organization in Nevada. I suggested in my latest piece that the Obama campaign had the larger organization there. It sounds like the Clinton campaign noticed the same thing a little over a month ago and really re-doubled its efforts: If you want to know how Sen. Hillary Clinton won a convincing victory in Saturday’s Nevada caucus, look back to a meeting Dec. 15 at William E. Orr Middle School in Las Vegas.

Hillary's Ok Day
January 19, 2008

Hillary Clinton will gladly take her win today in Nevada. But she had far more to lose than Barack Obama did. Obama's overwhelming African-American support in South Carolina makes the state a firewall for him, and thus there was little chance that he would go into February 5 gimpy from having lost two states in a row. Not so for Hillary, who, with a defeat today and another (probable)  one next Saturday, would have faced another round of talk that her campaign was in crisis. Hillary's win today is also mitigated by the fact that people don't seem to know quite how to feel about Nevada.

Nevada (early) Post-caucus Roundup
January 19, 2008

Key statistic: Hillary Clinton picked up 64 percent of the Latino vote. Ben Smith thinks that the Hillary camp's talk of voter suppression helped turnout non-union workers in the casinos.

For Once, I Defend Hillary
January 18, 2008

I assume that Hillary Clinton meant no offense to Martin Luther King, Jr. when she said -- justifiably -- that his spiritual and cultural achievements needed to be concretized in law, and that it was Lyndon Johnson to whom credit belongs for realizing the struggle into institutions and policy. Of course, she said it in shorthand which left her vulnerable. But that is certainly what she meant, and it is historically and constitutionally correct. Only the paranoid or the truly cynical would ascribe to her a racism that has never been a part of her life.

How Experienced Is Hillary?
January 18, 2008

Hollywood super-agent Ari Gold Emanuel has a few questions about Hillary Clinton's "35 years of experience making change": Well, Senator Clinton, I'm confused. I've done the math. You're 60, which means that 35 years ago you were 25. And I Googled your name, looking for all the change you were making as a 25 year old and, frankly, I'm not finding much. You were going to Yale Law School at the time -- which I'm sure was a personally transformative experience, but it's hardly the kind of change that should count on one's Presidential Training Experience resume, is it?