It’s the Most Vulnerable, Stupid
July 17, 2012
Democratic pollster Stan Greenberg is co-author (with James Carville) of the recently released book, “It’s the Middle Class, Stupid.” So I had to chuckle earlier today when Greenberg revealed that his newest research shows that Obama might do best by focusing on the poor. More specifically, Greenberg and his colleagues have learned that arguments about the impact of Republican economic policies on the working poor—represented in their latest study by the Paul Ryan budget—have the most power to move certain groups of voters to support Obama. Which voters?
The End Of The Affair
December 08, 2011
Jon Corzine's testimony before the House agriculture committee may mark the definitive end to the Democratic party's love affair with Wall Street. Once upon a time, Wall Street bankers were Republicans. Not terribly ideological, they preferred whenever possible a minimum of taxation, regulation, and government in general, but they didn't make a fetish of it. As the GOP moved right starting in the mid-1960s the east coast Republican establishment began to crumble, and by the late 1980s it was mostly gone.
American Voters Aren't Keynesian, But...
June 06, 2011
Liberals have been deeply disappointed in the Obama administration's failure to either push for a larger stimulus or, failing that, to pin the blame on the Republicans for blocking any further stimulus.
The Trouble With Independents
April 26, 2011
No group in American politics gets more respect than independent voters. Pundits and reporters probe what these allegedly moderate citizens think about this issue and that candidate, major party strategists seek the golden mean of messaging that will attract independents to their camp and/or alienate them from the opposing one. Presidential nominees and aides struggle to come up with phrases and settings that will soothe or excite them.
Democratic Wedge Issues From Spaaace!
January 17, 2011
Somebody has created a machine that reads James Carville's most pleasant dreams and turns them into reality: One of the nation's biggest banks — JP Morgan Chase — admits it has overcharged several thousand military families for their mortgages, including families of troops fighting in Afghanistan. The bank also tells NBC News that it improperly foreclosed on more than a dozen military families. The admissions are an outgrowth of a lawsuit filed by Marine Capt. Jonathan Rowles. Rowles is the backseat pilot of an F/A 18 Delta fighter jet and has served the nation as a Marine for five years.
Why 'Triangulation' Is the Most Empty Phrase in Politics
December 10, 2010
Mori Dinauer: Isn't "Triangulation" Just Another Way of Saying "Makes Political Deals?" Perfect. I've seen a variety of attempts at defining triangulation over the last few days; Dinauer's is my favorite by far. What is triangulation, really? I'll tell you, and you'll enjoy it, but first I'll make you sit through a couple of paragraphs about how bills pass in different contexts. With unified government, the best course for a president is usually to pass legislation by mobilizing his party. That's pretty much what Barack Obama did during the 111th Congress.
I Don't See Any Method At All
June 09, 2010
Jamison Foser watches Howard Kurtz: Howard Kurtz, June 2: “I'm among those who believe that passion is often missing from his presidency. … But in terms of the optics, the politics, the sense of outrage, well, no wonder James Carville was angry. The White House just bungled that part. … Watching Obama, I thought, here's a guy who really understands this stuff.
A Must-Read on China and the Deficit
November 25, 2009
Chris Hayes had a great column in The Nation last week about the totemic status of our debt to China: But if domestic Chinese concerns about the country's monetary codependence with the United States explain some of the statements of the country's leaders, they don't explain why the US media and commentators seem so intent on giving the story maximum play. The answer to that, I think, is politics. It's increasingly clear that China has replaced the bond market as the nebulous specter that fiscal hawks will use to justify domestic austerity.
December 24, 2008
In October, when Tzipi Livni, who had won the race to succeed outgoing Prime Minister Ehud Olmert as head of Israel's ruling Kadima Party, announced that she was unable to form a governing coalition, you could almost hear the groans coming from across the Atlantic and from European capitals. The reason? Livni's failure to assemble a government means new elections will take place in February.
Carville Blasts Obama Camp "amateurs"
July 09, 2008
Seems James Carville did not appreciate today's Times story about Obama donors uninterested in helping Hillary Clinton retire her debt. On CNN just now he said: "There are some children that are playing with matches over there... There are some amateurs in that campaign that are playing with matches, and I would caution them that these things can ignite... It's dangerous." --Michael Crowley