Football Wreaks Havoc on Democratic Convention Schedule
August 31, 2012
The Obama campaign has done a poor job dealing with the NFL regular season opener.
Daily Breakdown: Obama Leads In NBC/WSJ Poll
August 21, 2012
On balance, the four national polls showed no shift from their prior results. The NBC/WSJ poll shows Obama with a four point advantage, down from 6 prior to the Ryan pick. For those who might recall the big discussion over party-ID after the last NBC/WSJ poll, you might note that the Democratic edge is down to a more modest 6 points, yet the result didn’t change too much.
Wesley Clark wanted to be commander-in-chief. How the hero of NATO wound up becoming commander of B-list reality-TV celebrities instead.
Mitt Romney's Astoundingly Cynical Medicare Strategy
August 12, 2012
Romney and Ryan defend themselves by attacking Obamacare's Medicare cuts. Just one problem: Romney and Ryan endorsed those cuts, too.
Daily Breakdown: Obama’s Lead Grows?
August 09, 2012
Is Obama beginning to open up a bigger lead? The race has been static since Romney won the nomination, but recent polls suggest that Obama might be pulling further ahead. After recent polls from NBC/WSJ, Pew, Democracy Corps, and Reuters all gave Obama their best tallies since Romney won the nomination, Fox and CNN also showed Obama making big gains in new polls released this afternoon. The RCP average now gives Obama a 4.4 point lead, his largest lead since April.
With Obama standing in the upper-forties and leading by a few points, Romney’s chances hinge on the verdict of undecided voters. If they break his way, Romney could catch up to Obama in the polls—and there’s a reasonable line of thought contending that’s what we should expect. After all, Obama’s approval rating is beneath 50 percent, so most of these voters harbor misgivings about the president’s performance.
What the Latest Obama-Favoring Quinnipiac Polls Mean
August 01, 2012
It’s been a pretty rough week of polling for Mitt Romney. Last week, NBC/WSJ showed Obama opening up a 6 point lead nationally, and Democracy Corps showed Obama at 50 percent among likely voters with a 4 point advantage. This morning’s trifecta of swing state surveys conducted by the venerable pollsters at Quinnipiac added to the fire, showing Obama leading by a substantial margin in the three largest battleground states: Pennsylvania, Ohio, and Florida. It’s hard to understate just how badly Romney fared in these polls.
Why Romney Insulted Cameron
July 26, 2012
Right now you’re probably wondering: What possessed Mitt Romney to insult the Conservative Prime Minister of Britain—on a foreign trip meant to demonstrate Romney’s supposedly superior ability to manage foreign affairs—by criticizing the U.K.’s handling of the Olympic games on the eve of their commencement? This blunder catches Romney in an exquisite trap of his own making. On the one hand, he seems to have genuinely angered David Cameron, a rare European ally in the lonely fight against European-style socialism.