New Hampshire

Hints of an Obama Edge In Iowa
October 16, 2012

There are only three post-debate polls in Iowa, but they're decent for Obama and the early voting numbers look alright, too.

Daily Breakdown: Polls Show A Tight Race
October 16, 2012

But the despised battleground subsample reared its ugly head.

Romney Outspends Obama on Ads in Battleground States. Will It Help?
October 12, 2012

The GOP-aligned Super PAC Restore Our Future also got into the fray.

To See Whether Romney's Bounce Counts, Follow Ohio, Iowa, and Nevada
October 08, 2012

Romney's four point bounce won't give him the lead without outsized gains in key swing states.

How Romney Is Coping With Obama’s Newfound Ad Spending Advantage
October 05, 2012

Romney is dealing with getting outspent by taking risks in New Hampshire and Iowa.

Could State Unemployment Rates Swing the Election?
October 05, 2012

Obama's bounce has been greatest in states where the unemployment rate is relatively low.

Daily Breakdown: Is Obama Struggling in Nevada?
September 28, 2012

Without CBS/NYT/Quinnipiac, today was all but assured to be a better polling day for Romney. That said, the polls still suggest that Obama leads nationally, as well as in states worth 348 electoral votes. Let's talk about Nevada. In most of the electoral maps produced here over the last four months, Nevada was presumed to be one of the very first battleground states to enter Obama's column.

Daily Breakdown: Obama's Bounce Cascades Across Battleground States
September 26, 2012

Obama's national advantage is buttressed by a lead in states worth 348 electoral votes.

Daily Breakdown: Romney Trails In Must-Win Battlegrounds
September 14, 2012

The big picture: Obama continues to hold a modest but clear lead nationally and in critical battleground states like Ohio, Virginia, and Florida.  This is alot, so let’s digest it in segments. Good News For Obama Nearly every poll was consistent with a modest Obama lead nationally of about 4 points and a meaningful edge in the electoral college. Obama hit fifty percent in three national polls and led by four or more in four of the five national surveys.

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