Did Obama Choose The Right Message?
October 25, 2012

The second-guessing has already begun over whether Barack Obama chose the right message to take on Mitt Romney. Is there anything to it?

Will Undecided Voters Tip the Election Against Obama?
October 25, 2012

Obama's ground game is important, but it may not make up for his problems with undecided voters.

Ryan Gives the Compassion Thing One More Try
October 25, 2012

Ryan explains his novel approach to fighting poverty: Slashing anti-poverty programs.

The Road To Victory In Ohio
October 25, 2012

The Obama campaign's improvements among African Americans and post-graduates make it tougher for Romney to win than history suggests.

Daily Breakdown: Obama’s Lead Persists In Ohio, Nevada, and Wisconsin Polls
October 25, 2012

The three states get Obama to 271 electoral votes, enough for a victory.

Could The Electorate Be More Diverse Than 2008?
October 25, 2012

Perhaps. But it doesn't matter much for Ohio.

The Chicken, The Egg And The Reporter
October 24, 2012

My critique of the way that the campaign press shapes “narratives” without acknowledging its role brought brickbats. Here's my rebuttal.

Daily Breakdown: A Calm Polling Day And Early Voting Before The Final Stretch
October 24, 2012

But Romney did well in the national polls.

Expect the Unexpected: Diverse Battleground States Mean the Race Can Shift in Any Number of Ways
October 24, 2012

The 9 battleground states are so diverse that movement among demographic could change the election.

Obama Defies Demographic Trends in Ohio
October 23, 2012

Obama is struggling in states where he was most dependent on support of whites--except for Ohio.