Pennsylvania 2012
October 29, 2012

2008 results:  Public Domain   Electionate coverage: Daily Breakdown: Is It Really Tied In Pennsylvania? Probably Not. | 11/4/2012 Romney Enters Pennsylvania, But Team Obama Shows Confidence | 11/2/2012 Why the Obama Campaign Isn’t Sweating Voter ID Laws in Pennsylvania | 7/30/2012 New Proof That Romney Has Given Up on Pennsylvania | 7/26/2012 How Romney Can Win Pennsylvania | 7/18/2012   View Nate Cohn’s most recent posts, or return to Electionate’s Electoral Map.  

Let Team Romney BS You About Nevada, Just Not About Tax Cuts
October 26, 2012

What should liberals be freaking out about? Herewith, a guide.

Expect the Unexpected: Diverse Battleground States Mean the Race Can Shift in Any Number of Ways
October 24, 2012

The 9 battleground states are so diverse that movement among demographic could change the election.

Romney Could Use Wisconsin, But It’s One Of Obama’s Strongest Battleground States
October 17, 2012

Obama's near 50 percent in a traditionally Democratic-tilting state. Romney should go all-out for Ohio, instead.

Why Wisconsin Could Be the Key to a Romney Victory
October 15, 2012

Two weeks after the first presidential debate and on the eve of the second, it is clear that Mitt Romney’s surge is more than an evanescent bump. He has moved into the lead in the national poll of polls (something John Kerry never quite managed despite his victory in the first 2004 debate), and a number of swing states have shifted in his direction. This 2012 election is now in the zone where the Electoral College comes into play.

Snarl in Peace, Arlen Specter
October 15, 2012

Arlen Specter, who died Sunday, was driven by a need to be recognized by the broader world.

Daily Breakdown: Romney's Bounce Appears To Hold Through Wednesday
October 10, 2012

But the battleground state polls continued to show Obama with a narrow advantage where it counts most.

Daily Breakdown: Obama Near His Ceiling?
September 27, 2012

Three NYT/CBS/Quinnipiac polls grabbed the headlines by showing Obama with double-digit leads in Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Florida. Importantly, Obama hit 53 percent in all three states, giving him more than enough of the vote to withstand substantial losses among undecided voters. Obama’s lead in the battleground states is getting large enough that the margin might not accurately represent his advantage. The remaining undecided voters are probably latent Romney supporters—voters who tend to vote for Republican candidates, disapprove of the president’s performance, but dislike Romney.

Why Won’t Conservatives Denounce Voter Suppression?
September 26, 2012

Why won’t some principled conservative commentator condemn the GOP's voter suppression efforts?

“47 Percent”-Voter ID Link Proved
September 20, 2012

My speculative connection between the 47 percent doctrine and voter suppression took exactly one day to be vindicated.