Pennsylvania

Obama Further Ahead In Live Interview Polls; Robots Favor Romney
September 18, 2012

Over the last two months, there has been a clear gap between live interview and automated (IVR) pollsters: Obama seems to have a big lead in live polling, but the robots find a closer race. A majority of surveys in key battleground states have been conducted by automated polling firms. While live interviews dominate national polling (every major media poll is conducted with live interviews), only a few live interview firms conduct polls in the battleground states, since they're expensive.

A Journey to the End of Football
September 14, 2012

The cradle of quarterbacks in the age of concussions.

Why Romney's Money Advantage is No Game-Changer
September 10, 2012

With the memory of the conventions fading and initial signs pointing toward an Obama bounce, attention is already turning to Romney’s ability to mount a comeback. In the minds of many, Team Romney’s financial advantage tops the list of reasons for Republican optimism. Indeed, the Romney campaign and its allied super PACs are poised to spend millions on a historic advertising campaign that some argue could bury Obama and swing undecided voters toward Romney. And yet ... There are good reasons to doubt whether Romney will get his money’s worth.

The Ohio Strategy
September 10, 2012

The Obama campaign is doubling down on their advantage in Ohio.

Romney's Electoral Map Is Tough Without Wisconsin
September 07, 2012

If Romney concedes Wisconsin, Obama's within striking distance of the magic number: 270.

Is Ann Romney the Asset Everyone Assumes?
August 29, 2012

Ann Romney gave as good a speech as she could have hoped to. But is her appeal as broad as everyone assumes? I'm not so sure.

State of the Race: Obama Has a Narrow But Clear Lead
August 29, 2012

The race remains close, but Obama's advantage is quite clear.

The GOP Convention’s Anxiety of Akinism
August 28, 2012

Think Republicans are worried about Todd Akin? Consider how Tampa conventioneers are rejecting his latest copycat, Pennsylvania's Senate nominee.

The Riddle of Tony Scott
August 27, 2012

If anyone ever said they don’t make movies the way they used to in the days of John Wayne, you could turn to Tony Scott for refutation.

An Early Electoral College Guide: Which States Will and Won't Matter in 2012
August 26, 2012

2012 is shaping up as an election in which the winner may earn victory not by virtue of winning the most votes, but on account of the Electoral College. If one candidate enjoys a popular vote edge of 2 percentage points or more, there’s virtually no chance that the other candidate will achieve a majority of the electoral votes.

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