August 20, 2008
Today's Polls: All Tied Up
By any and all polling-based metrics, the race for the White House is extremely tight. However, we present three slightly different projections of the November outcome, and they each tell a slightly different story:Our popular vote projection shows a literal tie, with each of Barack Obama and John McCain projected to earn 48.5 percent of the vote, and third-party candidates receiving a collective 3 percent.Things get confusing, however, when looking at the electoral college.
August 19, 2008
Biden: In His Own Words
Senator Joe Biden has a way with words. Lots of words. His verbal proclivities have alternately garnered him praise for frankness or landed him in hot water. Here are some highlights. The first of Biden's characteristic speaking styles is forceful and frank. This is the Joe Biden that pundits praise for cutting through the spin and "telling it how it is." Biden questions the abilities of some of his rivals at an AARP-sponsored health care debate in Davenport, Iowa. Sept.
WASHINGTON--Anyone who still doubts that the evangelical Christian world is going through a political revolution was not watching Pastor Rick Warren's presidential forum over the weekend. The era of reducing Christianity to a narrow set of ideological commitments is over. Just a few years back, who would have imagined that Barack Obama and John McCain would hold a discussion of this sort in a church? Who would have thought that the session would be moderated by an evangelical pastor who was emphatic in counting both the Democrat and the Republican as his "friends"?
Putin the Terrible
WASHINGTON--In "Rebuilding Russia," published as the Soviet Union was on the verge of collapse, Alexander Solzhenitsyn wrote that the "awakening Russian national self-awareness has to a large extent been unable to free itself of great-power thinking and of imperial delusions ... it has taken over from the communists the fraudulent and contrived notion of Soviet patriotism." As all prescient statements, it was a shrewd reading of the present, not the future.
Obama's Batting Average Just Went Up
It's a typical summer night in the Cohn household, which means the Red Sox are on television. McCain has been advertising pretty heavily on the New England Sports Network (NESN) for the last few weeks, usually with some version of his "celebrity" ad, presumably to reach the heavy New Hampshire audience. Obama, meanwhile, has run far fewer spots--and what I've seen has been relatively tepid. (It's an unscientific sample, yes, but I catch most of the games, so I have at least some basis for making this judgment.) Tonight, though, the NESN broadcast included an Obama contrast ad.
Newsweek's Fineman: I've recently spoken with two of the finalists for the role of Barack Obama's running-mate, and to two other sources who are close to the process.My bottom line is this: Barring a big surprise or last-minute change of heart, the choice is likely to be Sen. Joe Biden of Delaware, chairman of the Foreign Relations Committee.
Green Grudges From Bill
On Monday, former President Bill Clinton spoke at the National Clean Energy Summit at the University of Nevada Las Vegas, a forum convened by Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid and Center for American Progress President John Podesta, Clinton's former chief of staff. The conversation focused not just on cap-and-trade legislation, but on improving efficiency and prodding the American economy into developing clean technology and bringing it to commercial scale. Clinton has obviously studied up on the climate issue since his years of casual interest in the White House.
August 18, 2008
TNR's Biden Archives
As speculation mounts that Barack Obama might choose Sen. Joe Biden (D-DE) as his running mate, we thought it appropriate to compile some of our past coverage of the verbose chairman of the Foreign Relations Committee. The highlights: FULL ARTICLES: "For The Love Of The Game" by Michael Crowley, 12/19/07 "Biden Time"by Peter Beinart, 2/19/07 "Primary Concern"by Noam Scheiber, 7/04/05 "Ask Not"by Peter Beinart, 8/14/04 "Rhetorical Question" by Michael Crowley, 10/22/01 BLOG POSTS: "Biden?
Witness To Musharraf's End
This afternoon, not long after Pervez Musharraf announced that he'd had his fill after almost nine years of ruling Pakistan, I wandered across Islamabad, to the headquarters of the Pakistan People's Party. The headquarters, which include a residence and a secretariat, are referred to collectively as the Zardari House, named after Asif Ali Zardari, Benazir Bhutto's widow. The Zardari House has been the nerve center for the push to oust Musharraf over the past year.
The Western press has been awash in coverage of all the negative aspects of China's Games. There's horrendous pollution in Beijing, which has forced entire teams to train off-shore in South Korea or Japan and wear masks for much of their stay. China’s continuing ethnic unrest, which exploded last week in the western province of Xinjiang in an attack by a group of Uighurs, an ethnic minority, on a Chinese police post.