August 01, 2007
Winning A Third Term
Charlie Cook has an interesting column about some challenges facing the Republican contenders in '08. Still, this part of his argument was entirely unconvincing: The fundamentals are quite clear. Four out of five times in the post-World War II era, the party holding the White House for two consecutive terms failed in their attempt to win a third term. In 1960, 1968, 1976 and 2000, the party occupying the White House saw its string end with two terms. Well, okay. Or you could say that the score is really 2-1-2 rather than 4-1.
The Gop's Glum View
Along with several other reporters today I attended a background lunch (held at 101 Constitution Avenue, naturally) with a prominent Republican senator. It doesn't seem like much fun to be in his shoes right now. He could barely mount a case for a Republican comeback in the short term, and even fretted about the possibility of Democratic numbers in the Senate growing to the point where Harry Reid can easily break filibusters. Particularly telling was his response when someone asked which issues he thought the GOP could ride back into power.
July 31, 2007
I feel like I need to get a last word in on Michael O'Hanlon and Kenneth Pollack's New York Times op-ed. Greg Sargent yesterday criticized O'Hanlon for being hypocritical: his Brookings index was pessimistic on Iraq, but his Times op-ed is optimistic: [I]n the low-profile precincts of Brookings' own Iraq Index, O'Hanlon is quietly concluding that the "surge" has basically failed to live up to expectations.
July 30, 2007
A Big Mess To Fix
The New York Times Magazine had a fascinating piece yesterday written by an Iraqi "fixer." As anyone who has ever worked with a fixer (savvy locals who translate, drive, arrange interviews and generally keep their clients--reporters--from getting killed) can relate, these people are the unsung heroes of international journalism. The former Times fixer who wrote the piece, Ayub Nuri, is now studying at Columbia University. Despite his stellar credentials, it wasn't easy for him to get there.
July 29, 2007
The Swedish Solution
You hear it over and over again, in casual conversation and in serious debates among experts: If we create universal health insurance here in the U.S., then we'll end up with less responsive, less advanced medical care. Few arguments have done as much political damage to the cause of universal health care.
July 27, 2007
Fred Thompson's Launch Date
Via this morning's Hotline, I see that Fred Thompson told Hannity & Colmes last night that he'll probably announce his candidacy in September. His reasoning: "August is kind of a down month, not much going on, so it wouldn't make sense to do it in August." Sound familiar? It should. Here's Andy Card, explaining back in 2002 why the White House waited until September to start aggressively making the case for war with Iraq: "From a marketing point of view, you don't introduce new products in August." And the Thompson analogies just keep on coming. --Jason Zengerle
By Jacob T. Levy A few days ago, Linda Hirshman (I apologize for having misspelled her name a few times below) wrote: Perversely, Rawlsian liberalism also produced a slippery slope into its opposite, complete selfishness. After all, unless you could achieve the degree of selflessness he required, there was no other place to stop.
July 26, 2007
Earlier today Arlen Specter gave the AP some harsh--but hardly surprising--quotes about Alberto Gonzales and the Bush administration in general. A quick sampling: The senator Thursday that Bush was sticking by Gonzales out of personal loyalty, despite the attorney general's deteriorating support on Capitol Hill. "The hearing two days ago was devastating (for Gonzales). But so was the hearing before that and so was the hearing before that," Specter said. [snip] Specter said he was incredulous that the administration would not allow the U.S.
The Loneliness Of Alberto Gonzales
Not even his FBI Director will back him up. From the AP: FBI Director Robert S. Mueller said Thursday the government's terrorist surveillance program was the topic of a 2004 hospital room dispute between top Bush administration officials, contradicting Attorney General Alberto Gonzales' sworn Senate testimony. Mueller was not in the hospital room at the time of the dramatic March 10, 2004, confrontation between then-Attorney General John Ashcroft and presidential advisers Andy Card and Gonzales, who was then serving as White House counsel.
Mark Malloch Brown
I read this article in the Telegraph two weeks ago this coming Sunday. By Matthew d'Ancona, editor of a truly literate conservative publication , The Spectator, it was about the Rt. Hon. the Lord Malloch Brown who, just the other day, was merely Sir Mark Malloch Brown. Malloch Brown is a known British social type, a suck-up to the aristocracy. Except that fromerly the aristocracy believed in white man's burden, and now the aristicracy believes in no man's burden, And, of course, you should never get into a fight ...