Republican Party
If you thought that Claire McCaskill was destined to retain her Senate seat the moment the words “legitimate rape” left Rep. Todd Akin’s mouth—if you thought that nothing could derail her march to reelection after he disappeared from the campaign trail for three weeks—then you don’t know Missouri. READ MORE >>
Virginia's Sneaky Voter ID Raises Few Alarms
Wall Street Is Probably Preparing to Crawl Back to Democrats
Once a reliable cash source for the president, Wall Street has all but abandoned Obama in his reelection campaign. And he isn’t the only Democrat to lose their goodwill. READ MORE >>
Reframing Turnout: Why 2008 Wasn't As Unique As Many Imagine
The turnout assumptions of pollsters are increasingly under scrutiny, with the polls often showing Democrats with a persistent advantage in party-ID. Many hold that the polls assume an unrealistically high Democratic turnout, mainly based on the assumption that Democratic, young, and minority turnout was anomalously high in 2008 and can’t be repeated, while Republicans who stayed home are destined to rise from their couches. READ MORE >>
Obama a Socialist? Guilty by Association, Says Romney Ad
Mitt Romney has long avoided explicitly calling President Obama a socialist, but desperate times call for desperate measures—and that includes another dubious ad, this one linking Obama with a triumvirate of famous socialists. READ MORE >>
On Voting Worries, Sweat The Small Stuff
Liberals Worry, “What If We Win?”
Demographics Don't Explain Fundamentally Different Views Of The Race
Several reporters armed with quotes from campaign sources say that Democratic and Republican private pollsters are expecting fundamentally different outcomes, with Republicans faring far better in their own surveys than public polls. READ MORE >>
Islamophobia Strikes Late in Michigan Congressional Race
0 0 1 174 992 freelance 8 2 1164 14.0 Normal 0 false false false EN-US JA X-NONE READ MORE >>
Don't Judge Strategy From Spending
The list of battleground states has exploded with one week before the election. Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Minnesota are suddenly receiving millions of dollars after most assumed they rested safely in Obama’s column. Many Obama fans are fretting and Romney fans are enthralled that they’re on the offensive. But interpreting ad spending is extraordinarily difficult in this election and these buys are insufficient to alter perceptions of the state of the race. READ MORE >>
