Sean Trende
There Aren't As Many Missing Voters As It Seems
In the aftermath of Obama's election, one emerging theme is the "missing voter." Romney campaign advisors apparently told members of the press that McCain received 2 million fewer votes than they did in 2008. In a column on RealClearPolitics, Sean Trende estimates that white turnout declined by 7 percent from 2008. READ MORE >>
Obamacare, Good for the Economy
Handicapping Obama In 2012
What are the odds that President Obama wins reelection? Generally incumbents running for their party's second presidential term fare pretty well, as Alan Abramowitz notes. If the economy continues to recover, Obama would be a prohibitive favorite. READ MORE >>
Is the Republican Comeback Just a Flash in the Pan?
Mysticism As Analysis
Brendan Nyhan has a good post on Peggy Noonan, who is sort of an extreme caricature of the media's tendency to create non-falsifiable narratives to explain political events that can easily be explained by data. Sean Trende objects: READ MORE >>
The Coming GOP Wave
Steve Lombardo at pollster.com surveys the good political news for Republicans. There's a lot of it: READ MORE >>
