The New Republic

Wednesday's polls showed Obama well-positioned across the battleground states.

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How will Sandy affect the election? That depends partly on whether you think voters were still making up their minds.

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Romney can't make outsized gains in a state where McCain did relatively well, allowing demographic changes to keep Obama in the game.

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2008 results: Public domain   Electionate coverage:   A Three-Piece Turnout Battle In Virginia | 11/5/12   Daily Breakdown: New Polls Provide A Different Take On Virginia And Ohio | 10/28/12 Romney’s Overlooked Challenge In Virginia | 9/24/12 Obama Is Well Positioned In Virginia | 7/16/2012 Death of a Swing Region: Northern Virginia | 6/15/12 Romney's Virginia Problem | 6/12/12    View Nate Cohn’s most recent posts, or return to Electionate's Electoral Map.

The two ways Hurricane Sandy might help Obama seal his victory—and the one way it could put Romney ahead.

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Romney is pouring money into Iowa and Wisconsin—and Obama isn't matching him.

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Obama has a strong polling weekend.

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The need for additional polls was waning over the last few days. The state of the race and pollster house effects have been stable for so long that the results of the next poll can usually be predicted just by knowing the state and the firm. But last night, two less-frequent yet strong pollsters surveyed their home turf and added a different take on two crucial states.   Plenty of surveys have found a one or two point race in Ohio, but with one exception since the first presidential debate, live interview surveys contacting cell phones have shown Obama leading by 3 to 5 points in Ohio.

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If Obama won either state, he would probably be reelected the president.

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Obama's ground game is important, but it may not make up for his problems with undecided voters.

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