2008 results: Public domain Electionate coverage: A Three-Piece Turnout Battle In Virginia | 11/5/12 Daily Breakdown: New Polls Provide A Different Take On Virginia And Ohio | 10/28/12 Romney’s Overlooked Challenge In Virginia | 9/24/12 Obama Is Well Positioned In Virginia | 7/16/2012 Death of a Swing Region: Northern Virginia | 6/15/12 Romney's Virginia Problem | 6/12/12 View Nate Cohn’s most recent posts, or return to Electionate's Electoral Map.
The need for additional polls was waning over the last few days. The state of the race and pollster house effects have been stable for so long that the results of the next poll can usually be predicted just by knowing the state and the firm. But last night, two less-frequent yet strong pollsters surveyed their home turf and added a different take on two crucial states. Plenty of surveys have found a one or two point race in Ohio, but with one exception since the first presidential debate, live interview surveys contacting cell phones have shown Obama leading by 3 to 5 points in Ohio.