Wisconsin

Romney’s Performance Is a Test for the Media
October 04, 2012

A critical test for the media: Will it call out Romney for his distortions at Wednesday night's debate?

Daily Breakdown: Is Obama Struggling in Nevada?
September 28, 2012

Without CBS/NYT/Quinnipiac, today was all but assured to be a better polling day for Romney. That said, the polls still suggest that Obama leads nationally, as well as in states worth 348 electoral votes. Let's talk about Nevada. In most of the electoral maps produced here over the last four months, Nevada was presumed to be one of the very first battleground states to enter Obama's column.

Daily Breakdown: Obama's Bounce Cascades Across Battleground States
September 26, 2012

Obama's national advantage is buttressed by a lead in states worth 348 electoral votes.

Obama’s Stunning Ohio Turnaround
September 25, 2012

The story of the 2012 campaign is Obama's success in the swing state he was thought to be weakest in: Ohio. How did he pull it off?

Friendly Reminder: The Polls Are Usually Right
September 25, 2012

Despite the criticisms, the polls usually perform well on Election Day.

Daily Breakdown: Romney's Chances Are In Jeopardy
September 24, 2012

Obama's four point lead is alot better than it might look.

Daily Breakdown: Obama Leads Out West
September 21, 2012

The big picture remains that Obama leads by around four points, with a similar edge across the critical battleground states.   The poll most likely to scream “headline” is Gallup, which is so far out of line from the other registered voter surveys that I don’t even know what to say about it. Obama leads by about 7 points among registered voters, and, no, the methodological criticisms you’ve heard don’t explain a gap of that magnitude. As Harry Enten of the Guardian (@ForecasterEnten) tweeted today, we would probably blow this off as a clear outlier if it was named something other than Gallup.

Colorado Emerging As A Possible Bright Spot for Romney
September 19, 2012

How Colorado Went From Democratic Savior to Toss-up

How Paul Ryan Convinced Washington of His Genius
September 14, 2012

Paul Ryan's rise from fitness instructor to philosopher prince.

Pages