WORLD NOVEMBER 3, 2011
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In calling for a referendum on Greece’s bailout plan, Prime Minister George Papandreou has, it could be said, embraced one of his country’s oldest political traditions: direct democracy. The idea that the citizens of a state should all cast votes to decide matters of common interest was arguably born within an easy walk of his Athens office, some two and a half millennia ago.
Of course, referendums have remained a part of democratic politics into the modern era, with a formal place in the constitutions of many countries and regions, from France to Australia. In the United States, their use goes back to the town meetings of colonial New England, and they still have a crucial role in the politics of several states, notably California.
But the use of referendums as a political procedure has always been tense, even problematic, for democracies—and that is no less true of Greece’s planned vote in January. Papandreou says he is paying deference to the unmediated will of the Greek people, and so presents the vote as the very essence of democracy. Yet in fact, referendums have most often done more to weaken democratic institutions than to strengthen them, and this new example is no exception.
THE STORY BEGINS with a wholly obvious point: Modern states are far too large and complex for direct democracy. Since it would be hugely impractical for the people, as a whole, to decide on everything from the size of foreign aid budgets to new environmental regulations, they delegate the business of government to elected representatives.
We tend to forget, however, how very strange and unnatural this practice once seemed. Why should voters trust an ever-changing group of people, most of whom they themselves have not elected, most of whom they have never met, and with whom they may have nothing in common, to make decisions on matters that intimately affect their livelihood? Surely it makes much more sense (it was once thought) to entrust government to people you are bound to through ties of family, or class, or caste, or whom you believe God has chosen to rule.
As late as the eighteenth century, some prominent political philosophers rejected the very principle of representative government. Jean-Jacques Rousseau, for instance, mocked the English for believing that an elected parliament made them free. They were free only at the actual moment they voted, he insisted. As soon as they surrendered their political authority to their representatives, they lapsed into a state of slavery. Even in the midst of democratic revolutions, representative democracy remained an object of massive criticism and suspicion. In the 1790’s, France’s radical sans-culottes demanded that national representatives rigidly follow instructions provided by local electoral assemblies meeting in permanent session. When certain deputies to the National Convention aroused their ire, the sans-culottes stormed its meeting hall and successfully demanded their expulsion.
It does not help matters, of course, that in practice bodies of elected representatives so often seem to devolve into corrupt, complacent and long-lasting oligarchies. Anger at the shenanigans of the political class has helped keep the old suspicions alive right down to the present day, and has led, in democracies across the world, to countless institutional schemes designed to keep elected representatives in check: “imperative mandates” (detailed orders for how to vote in parliament, drawn up and approved by constituents); term limits; making the job part-time; judicial oversight; etc. The single most popular such scheme, however, has been the referendum. The logic, after all, seems unassailable. Who better to retain authority over the people’s representatives than the people themselves?
True, not all referendums fit this description. During the past two hundred years or so, two basic categories of referendum have developed. The first involves fundamental questions of sovereignty. In many countries, constitutional amendments require public approval by referendum. And following Woodrow Wilson’s formulation of the principle of national self-determination, the Versailles peace conference after World War I prescribed “plebiscites” for areas of contested nationality within Europe (the terms “plebiscite” and “referendum” overlap in practice). More recent examples include the unsuccessful referendum on independence in Quebec in 1995, and the successful one in East Timor four years later. And arguably, referendums of this sort are entirely appropriate. They represent instances when sovereign power, always ultimately held by the people, but mediated by constitutional structures, temporarily reverts to the people directly, so that they can modify or replace these structures.
But then there is the sort of referendum that addresses questions normally dealt with by elected legislators. Here, the example most familiar to Americans is the California ballot initiative, introduced exactly a hundred years ago by progressives seeking to wrest power away from corrupt political machines. Many of the most famous California initiatives have had the formal status of constitutional amendments, but often the matters at hand arguably belonged to the category of ordinary legislation: for instance 1978’s Proposition 13, which placed severe limits on property tax rates, and 2008’s Proposition 8, which banned gay marriage. And even more often, Californian voters have had to vote on such mundane questions as whether to issue a new state bond, or exempt candy from sales tax, or impose an additional tax on cigarettes to fund cancer research.
It is certainly tempting to salute this second form of referendum as a means of checking the seamy practices that too often infect modern representative systems. But however much the designers of referendums claim to be acting in the name of democratic reform, their actions usually end up undercutting democratic institutions. This tendency isn’t merely incidental—it’s unavoidable given how referendums work. First, they take relatively technical issues away from legislators who have the time and expertise to deal with them, and give them to voters who do not.
Second, particularly when they come dressed up as constitutional measures, they tie the hands of legislators in potentially destructive ways. Take California, for instance. Without the ballot initiative procedure, voters incensed about high property tax rates in 1978 might have voted for legislators who promised tax relief. Instead, they approved the radical Proposition 13, which ever since has hamstrung attempts to generate sufficient state revenue, and contributed as much as any other factor to California’s current, destructive budget crisis (which, not so coincidentally, now poses something of a Greek-style threat to our own economy).
Third, and in some ways most importantly, referendums tarnish the legitimacy of legislators by subjecting their work to direct popular veto, and therefore casting it as a less genuine expression of popular sovereignty—despite the fact that the routine functioning of a democratic constitution is the most important expression of this sovereignty.
This last effect is even worse when legislators themselves propose referendums. In theory, again, the intentions are entirely honorable, and fit in both with ancient tradition and progressive policy. In practice, however, legislators in this position are often following another well-known parliamentary tradition, namely trying to squirm away from difficult decisions. But if a legislator asks for a popular vote to decide a measure, when a parliamentary vote would suffice, he or she is calling the parliament’s democratic authority into question.
Not surprisingly, referendums have often appealed to demagogic, authoritarian politicians. The man who probably did most to popularize their use in modern Europe was Napoleon Bonaparte, who used them to legitimize his seizure of power, and his transformation into an emperor. (He won some of them, but cheated anyway to increase his margin of victory.) And it is no coincidence that France today gives a more prominent constitutional role to referendums than nearly every other western democracy. Its present constitution was tailor-written for an imperious President who had little love for elected assemblies: Charles de Gaulle.
In Greece today, it could be argued that the decision about whether to accept the European Union’s bailout plan is no ordinary matter of economic policy. Perhaps it affects the country’s future as a sovereign nation so greatly that this indeed becomes an instance where sovereign power should revert directly to the people, making a referendum appropriate. Yet Greece has not had a referendum since the abolition of the monarchy in 1974. And consider what happened six years ago, when member states of the European Union were asked to consider a new European constitution—a question of sovereignty if ever there was one. France held a referendum—and voted no. So did the Netherlands. But in Greece, the parliament reserved the decision for itself, and gave overwhelming approval.
Given this context, Prime Minister Papandreou’s sudden enthusiasm for a referendum is not only undermining the world economy, but also Greece’s none-too-stable, 37-year-old democracy. It is political cynicism of a sad, but all too familiar sort—the kind that presents itself as idealism.
David A. Bell, a Contributing Editor to The New Republic, teaches European History at Princeton.
11 comments
Power to the people. Except when the people need to be protected against themselves. Quis custodiet ipsos custodes? Especially who will guard against a comment poster who is a poser who does not know Latin and depends on Wikipdia.
- skahn
November 3, 2011 at 1:08am
mirabile dictu, skahn.
- Tristan
November 3, 2011 at 8:55am
I don't understand the final two paragraphs--what should be a coherent summary of Bell's argument. He more or less concedes that the terms of the bailout have huge implications for Greek sovereignty, providing some justification for a referendum and then, in a non sequitur, says, "Yet Greece has not had a referendum since the abolition of the monarchy in 1974." How is that relevant? Papandreou does not want to go down in Greek history as the PM who imposed a draconian bailout plan on the Greek people. Perhaps there is an element of cynicism in trying to spread the responsibility around, but considering the fact that he inherited this crisis, he is due at least a modicum of sympathy. He is clearly influenced by the case of Iceland. And this is the most surprising omission from the piece. Why no discussion of Iceland's referendums on dealing with its financial and banking crisis? In that case, the parliament and PM were ready to capitulate to the rapacious demands for a bailout of three kleptocratically-run Icelandic banks. The President of Iceland, Olafur Grimsson, one of the few true heroes of this mess, used his authority to force a referendum. The voters rejected the terms as proposed, and eventually, the stock and debt holders were wiped out and the depositors got reimbursed to the EU standard of 21,000 Euros per account. Binar Einarsdottir, the new CEO of one of Iceland’s restructured banks, says, "Iceland’s reputation on capital markets has recovered more quickly than expected. In the beginning, banks and other financial institutions in Europe were telling us, ‘Never again will we lend to you,’” she said to Bloomberg. “Then it was 10 years, then five. Now they say they might soon be ready to lend again.” Greece, of course, is not Iceland. Its problems affect the entire Euro Zone. But, if the referendum ends in a rejection of the bailout and a return to the Drachma, then Iceland will be at least something of a model for Greece. (I see now that Papandreou may be forced to resign and the referendum abandoned.)
- ccarrick@vzavenue.net-old
November 3, 2011 at 9:27am
The case against rule by referendum is pretty strong. California is sufficient evidence. But without the referendum the opposition to Papandreou could free ride. They paid no cost for opposing austerity. He wanted them to buy in. But what I want to know, is if referendums are not democratic why I am supposed to believe that the demonstrators occupying some park near Wall Street are some beacon of democractic liberty? Why am I supposed to defer to them? Everybody seems to take them as some embodiment of democracy when they are far less representative of public opinion than a referendum?
- bwickes
November 3, 2011 at 10:23am
Ok everybody, by show of hands, who thinks popular democracy is a waste of time?
- Tristan
November 3, 2011 at 11:12am
GET IT???????????? (sorry. Day 6 without power here in my beloved Connecticut, and I'm going a wee bit bonkers)
- Tristan
November 3, 2011 at 11:13am
Good article, for the most part, and worth thinking about. However, Greece's "bailout" plan, like most such plans of the past 30 years, will vastly increase the wealth of the 1%, corruption and the flight of money out of the country -- a lot of it to Wall Street, in the process dooming millions of middle class people to poverty and expanding the permanent underclass. A referendum is one last hope that the people will get so angry that they will reject the plans of the financial evildoers. It's probably too much to hope that Greece's refusing the "bailout" would encourage the IMF and World Bank leaders to think about how they are the ones destroying the world financial system for their own selfish gain.
- Erik_S
November 3, 2011 at 1:48pm
Yes, they undermine the ability of a few and proud special interest groups like AIPAC to destroy our country. Who do you think you are fooling?
- MSA70
November 3, 2011 at 4:43pm
Tristan, 8:12 Democracy is the worst system, except for all the others. The main usefulness of democracy is not that it provides "good government" (something to add to the the collection of oxymorons such as "military intelligence," etc.), but that it provides some protection against evil government, by diffusing the power of evil governors. Unfortunately, referendums are rather like pulling the alarm cord on a train. At best, it brings the train to a halt before it hits the mountain; at worst, it sends the train tumbling down the mountainside. First there is a mountain is an old Donovan song, which I heard many times when my wife was in her Donovan period. Wikipedia tells me [if Amron is around he is perhaps going ballistic by now at my meanderings] "Before I had studied Chan (Zen) for thirty years, I saw mountains as mountains, and rivers as rivers. When I arrived at a more intimate knowledge, I came to the point where I saw that mountains are not mountains, and rivers are not rivers. But now that I have got its very substance I am at rest. For it's just that I see mountains once again as mountains, and rivers once again as rivers. " Just don't put it to a vote.
- skahn
November 3, 2011 at 5:00pm
So many questions left unanswered to support this anti-Referendum theory: 1. Could you show that elected legislators make better decisions than the public, and if so, on which types of issues, and how do you measure a "better" outcome? 2. If Referendums are legitimate for certain questions of sovereignty, then which ones? What factors would you take into account? Does the proposed Greek referendum qualify or not (you have not taken a position, but assumed the outcome will be "bad," which is not self-evident even if the public rejected the bailout plan). 3. One downside of any democracy (representative or direct) is the freedom to make terrible decisions, whether it is abolishing the national bank during Andrew Jackson's administration, enacting "Reconstruction" in Andrew Johnson's administration, or rejecting the peace treating following WWI in Woodrow Wilson's administration. 4. Legislators always have the voters looking over their shoulders, whether it is through elections, recalls, impeachment, or referendum. If a referendum is more destructive of our legislator's authority (and it may be), more explanation and analysis is needed.
- tomcasekry
November 3, 2011 at 5:55pm
I agree with the general point that over-use of the referendum undermines the legitimacy of representative government, but I'd point out that "direct democracy undermines democracy" is nonsensical. I'd prefer to see "direct democracy can undermine liberalism" or "...justice" or "political freedom" or a host of other concepts. But I'm also not sure that the upcoming Greek referendum is necessarily a good example of referendum abuse. This gets a bit tl;dr, and someone may have said much the same thing more succinctly in the time it took me to write it. Direct democracy in any form always carries with it the danger of the tyranny of the majority -- Rousseau argued that the state can force individuals to follow the will of the majority. At base, this is of course the definition of how majority rule works, but if unfettered by a concern for individual liberties, you get Robespierre, who read his Rousseau and decided that the Terror was "a natural consequence of the general principle of democracy" in a time of crisis. Or, with less decapitation, you get Prop 8. That's why Mill and other liberals worry that majority rule won't necessarily lead to liberty in the absence of guaranteed rights. Popular will is also liable to produce tyrants (in the ancient technical sense of "unconstitutional rulers," but also in the modern sense of "bloodthirsty despots"), as we see with Caesar or Napoleon -- or Napoleon III, who expanded voting rights and then had a referendum wherein the people he had just given the right to vote voted to confirm his role as emperor, as I was telling some history students today just a few hours before I read this article. Bwickes and tomcasekry ask fair questions, and the answers to both, I think, lie together. The purpose of a representative republic, an expression of the "mixed constitution" admired by political thinkers since antiquity, is to cancel out as much as possible the worst outcomes of direct democracy, oligarchy, and autocracy by blending these government forms together. Elections, recalls, impeachment, and, yes, protests preserve the democratic element by making representatives answerable to the people, punishing them for bad decisions or encouraging them to make better ones, while also maintaining (in theory, at least) the ability of the representative to put a check on any illiberal impulses of the majority. A referendum, however, when promoted as a "purer" expression of democracy and then used to decide matters that otherwise lie within the representative government's constitutional authority, erodes that constitutional authority. Tomcasekry's questions 1 and 3 are really the same question: why will referenda necessarily lead to worse outcomes? Quite apart from any questions of education or expertise (certainly it's trivial to find clueless representatives), it's just harder to undo a bad referendum. Or, to put it another way: the people aren't answerable for a bad referendum that seems a good idea at the time, whereas the threat of the next election, even if it might often keep representatives from doing the right thing, also can make them think twice about doing the wrong thing. Tomcasekry's question 2, however, gets at a problem for which I don't have an answer.
- frippo
November 3, 2011 at 7:39pm