Polls

The Polls Failed to Predict a Republican Landslide. Here's Why.
November 05, 2014

Here's how they mucked it up so badly. 

Americans Love Jews
But Atheists and Muslims? Not so much, says this survey.
July 16, 2014

A new Pew poll shows that while Americans feel favorably toward Jews, they still feel coldly towards Atheists and Muslims. 

The Democrats' Best Senate Hopes: An Unorthodox Ranking
and
April 27, 2014

The 12 states that Democrats have the best chances of winning through mobilization.

How the Democrats Can Avoid Going Down This November
The new science of Democratic survival
April 27, 2014

Surviving the midterms is possible—if the party follows these rules.

This Is the Only Split in American Politics That Really Matters
and
April 27, 2014

Here are the two types of voters who make a difference in U.S. elections.

Democrats Need to Find New Midterm Voters. Here Are Four Places They're Looking.
and
April 27, 2014

These maps illustrate four specific groups that Democrats are hunting for this fall.

Pernicious Polling by Gallup
How to Make Enemies by Polling
February 21, 2014

I don’t like to pick on pollsters.  It is a kind of cottage industry during election years, but I believe that Gallup has stepped way over the line with its polling on “What country anywhere in the world do you consider to be the United States' great

Terrible Polls for Obamacare, But Some Good News on Policy
November 21, 2013

CBS News released a devastating poll on Wednesday: “President Obama's job approval rating has plunged to the lowest of his presidency… and Americans' approval of the Affordable Care Act has dropped to its lowest since CBS News started polling on the

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