POLITICS APRIL 19, 2010
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WASHINGTON -- The tea party is nothing new, it represents a relatively small minority of Americans on the right end of politics, and it will not determine the outcome of the 2010 elections.
In fact, both parties stand to lose if they accept the laughable notion that this media-created protest movement is the voice of true populism. Democrats will spend their time chasing votes they will never win. Republicans will turn their party into an angry and narrow redoubt with no hope of building a durable majority.
The news media's incessant focus on the tea party is creating a badly distorted picture of what most Americans think and warping our policy debates. The New York Times and CBS News thus performed a public service last week by conducting a careful study of just who is in the tea party movement.
Their findings suggest that the tea party is essentially the reappearance of an old anti-government far right that has always been with us and accounts for about one-fifth of the country. The Times reported that tea party supporters "tend to be Republican, white, male, married and older than 45." This is the populism of the privileged.
Tea party backers are far more likely than others to describe their views as "very conservative," and are decidedly more inclined than the rest of us to believe that too much is made of the problems facing black people.
This last finding points to a disconcerting fact that white Americans are reluctant to discuss: Part of the anger at President Obama is driven by the color of his skin.
Saying this invites immediate denunciations from defenders of those who bring guns to rallies, threaten violence to "take our country back" and mouth old slogans about states' rights and the Confederacy. So let's be clear: Opposition to the president is driven by many factors that have nothing to do with race. But race is definitely part of what's going on.
Here is the poll question in its entirety: "In recent years, do you think too much has been made of the problems facing black people, too little has been made, or is it about right?"
Twenty-eight percent of all Americans -- and just 19 percent of those who are not tea party loyalists -- answered "too much." But among tea party supporters, the figure is 52 percent. Tea partiers are almost three times as likely as the rest of us to say that too much attention is being paid to the problems of blacks.
Among all Americans, 11 percent say that the Obama administration's policies favor blacks over whites; 25 percent of tea party sympathizers say this. Again, more is going on here than race, but race is in the picture.
Tea party enthusiasts also consistently side with the better-off against the poor, putting them at odds with most Americans. The poll found that while only 38 percent of all Americans said that "providing government benefits to poor people encourages them to remain poor," 73 percent of tea party partisans believed this. Among all Americans, 50 percent agreed that "the federal government should spend money to create jobs, even if it means increasing the budget deficit." Only 17 percent of tea party supporters took this view.
As for raising taxes on households making more than $250,000 a year to provide health care for the uninsured, 54 percent of Americans favored doing so, as against only 17 percent of tea party backers.
And this must be the first "populist" movement ever driven by a television network: 63 percent of the tea party folks say they most watch Fox News "for information about politics and current events," compared with 23 percent of the country as a whole.
The right-wing fifth of the American population deserves news coverage like everyone else, and Fox is perfectly free to pander to its own viewers. What makes no sense is allowing a sliver of opinion out of touch with, yes, the "real" America to dominate the media and distort our political discourse.
Democrats face problems not from right-wingers who have never voted for them, but from a lack of energy among their own supporters and from dispirited independents and moderates who look to government for competence in solving problems and have little confidence in its ability to deliver.
A just-released Pew Research Center study found widespread mistrust of government, but also of banks, financial institutions and large corporations. Yes, there is authentic populist anger out there. But you won't find much of it at the tea parties.
E.J. Dionne's e-mail address is ejdionne(at)washpost.com.(c) 2010, Washington Post Writers Group
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3 comments
Maybe many of the tea partiers are racists. Maybe not. I don't know and I don't believe the NYT poll really tells us. But I do know, by focusing on this one part of the story of the tea partiers, the left, and the Democrats in particular, are missing the more important story, namely, that the tea partiers belong to the cohort that pays the highest marginal federal tax rate (the $50,000 to $100,000 per year cohort). You wouldn't know it from listening to the right, because we all know, and the right reminds us so we don't forget, the rich pay all the taxes, and the tea partiers definitely aren't rich. But if you make $100,000 per year, you pay a marginal federal tax rate of about 48%. Kind of makes one want to take a holiday if almost half of one's marginal earnings go to federal taxes. What about the rich? They pay a marginal federal tax rate of about 42%, with poor tax planning. With good tax planning, the rich pay a marginal federal tax rate of only 15%, which is actually quite easy if capital (as opposed to labor) is a material inocme producing factor (it almost always is for the rich). Of course, the Republicans believe the taxes paid by the rich are too high and should be cut. Where does one suppose the offsetting increase will come from? That's right, from those earning $50,000 to $100,000 per year because, to paraphrase Wille Sutton, that's where the bulk of America's income is.
- rayward
April 19, 2010 at 12:59pm
Repeat something often enough and it will become true, then a "fact" and then wisdom that has always been. The Teaparty activists aren't even monolithic (or perhaps weren't and the others have lost steam or come to their senses). The tax-day counter protesters "The Other 95%" (g-d bless 'em) show they aren't dealing in real numbers either. But then again, what's real? I guess only what you see on TV being yelled at you or diagrammed out on a whiteboard.
- ericad
April 19, 2010 at 1:59pm
rayward: "$100,000 per year, you pay a marginal federal tax rate of about 48%" There is no 48% FEDERAL income tax. The highest marginal FEDERAL tax rate is 35% and you need to make a lot more that $100K to get hit with it. Taxes are too complex to come up with a statement that at some salary someone is paying a particular tax rate. There are too many deductions and credits to generalize like that. Folding in other taxes makes it even more difficult as some states do not have income tax. Having stated that I would offer that contrary to what you state with good tax planning the RICH pay no income tax at all. They may pay other taxes but the rich can hide their income fairly easily.
- dirque
April 26, 2010 at 4:06pm