PLANK AUGUST 29, 2012
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TAMPA—This convention, and the campaign to come, are supposed to be about jobs and the economy, not about foreign policy. But foreign policy still figures in the convention and campaign and will probably rear its head in Mitt Romney’s acceptance speech.
There are two kinds of foreign policy statements to watch out for in the months ahead: First, there are general philosophical statements about America’s role in the world; second, there are operational statements about what American should do about specific problems in the world. The philosophical statements loom large at the convention and in the campaign; but at the convention, the Romney campaign has done its best to muddle or ignore the thorny operational questions. Does that sound familiar? It’s the same strategy Romney is using with economic policy.
Most of the speakers I’ve heard who are surrogates for or represent the campaign have dwelt extensively on the philosophical questions of whether America is the greatest country on earth; whether it is, or will remain, number one; and whether it should lead, or ever allow itself to be led, in dealing with other countries. Romney is being portrayed as a champion of American exceptionalism and of America being first in the world; Barack Obama as indifferent to whether America is first or great, and willing to apologize for what he thinks have been America’s mistakes or shortcomings.
Romney is seen as Reagan; Obama as Carter. “Barack Obama has totally trashed the Ronald Reagan city on the hill,” former Senator Kit Bond told the Missouri caucus Tuesday morning. “Obama goes around the world apologizing.” “President Obama doesn’t see what an amazing place this is,” Romney’s son Josh told a breakfast meeting. “He keeps looking to Europe for inspiration. My Dad understands this is an exceptional place. This is a great country, the greatest country that has ever existed on the planet.” And the theme is being repeated by speaker after speaker.
The Romney campaign clearly likes the politics of American exceptionalism. It emphasizes the Mormon candidate’s American-ness and the President’s foreign-ness – certainly more effectively than by raising questions about his birth certificate. It echoes campaign themes that Reagan used in 1980 against Carter and George H. W. Bush against Michael Dukakis in 1988. But it also could have operational consequences. It could suggest a more unilateral approach to foreign policy and a willingness to impose our will upon adversaries and challengers. Certainly, Romney drew these kind of conclusions in his campaign book, No Apology: the Case for American Greatness, and his White Paper on foreign policy that he issued last October that intimated a struggle for supremacy against Russia (America’s “number one geopolitical foe”), China, and Iran and the “violent jihadists.” (See my article.)
But at the convention, the campaign was careful not to draw any controversial conclusions from these philosophical musings about American greatness. The main session on foreign policy was hosted by the International Republican Institute, which Congress established in 1983 along with its partisan twin, the National Democratic Institute. Run by a former John McCain aide Lorne Cramer, it exemplifies the non-problematic side of Republican neo-conservatism—the emphasis on encouraging democratic movements in authoritarian or formerly authoritarian countries through education and training. It held a meeting at an auditorium in Tampa on “The Future of U.S. National Security Policy.” The speakers consisted of four Romney foreign policy advisors, led by Richard Williamson, a former Reagan administration official who was also one of McCain’s principal surrogates in the 2008 campaign. The graying heavy-set Williamson, who looks like former Secretary of State Richard Eagleburger, would probably not fill a high post in a Romney administration, but he is perfect for this campaign, because he can, if necessary, take the edge off Romney’s more bald assertions.
The panelists sat on stage before a table, with several hundred campaign delegates, press, present and former Republican officials, and foreign diplomats in attendance. Former Arizona Rep. Jim Kolbe, who chaired the meeting, asked the panelists at one point about Romney’s statement that Russia is America’s “chief geopolitical foe.” Williamson explained that Romney was not trying to revive the Cold War. “Nothing could be further from the truth,” he said. “He talked about a geopolitical not a military foe.” (In fact, Romney has warned of Russia as a military threat.)
Another panelist former Minnesota Senator Norman Coleman jumped in to offer a further clarification, or dilution of Romney’s statement. “He talked about a ‘foe’ and not an ‘enemy,’” Coleman explained, although Coleman did not explain what the difference was, and I don’t think a dictionary would be much help. The panelists praised the bill coming up in Congress that would penalize any foreign official involved in human rights violations—a bill that is aimed partly at the Russians—but conspicuously steered clear of redline proposals, such as re-committing the United States to building anti-missile systems in Eastern Europe.
Romney’s representatives took a similar stand on other specifics. They said we should sell weapons to Taiwan, but adhere strictly to the Taiwan Relations Act of 1979. We should arm Syrian rebels (which it turns out the Obama administration has been doing covertly), but—in answer to a question from Foreign Policy blogger Josh Rogin—not establish a “no-fly zone.” We should declare that an Iranian nuclear weapon was “totally unacceptable,” but merely keep armed force an option. We should support human rights, but need not do so, Williamson assured the audience, by putting “boots on the ground.”
The speakers kept calling for a “robust” foreign policy and insisting that America should lead, and they denounced the Obama administration for failing to lead, but they offered very little indication that Romney would act any differently from Obama. That’s clearly what they intended to do. They wanted to get the rhetorical message across without committing Romney to any specific policies. Interestingly, Williamson and other Romney advisor, former George W. Bush State Department official Pierre Prosper, took a harder rhetorical line toward Russia at a posh smaller gathering at the Tampa City Club hosted by the neo-conservative Foreign Policy Initiative, which has key Romney advisors among its founders, and the institute of Modern Russia, headed by Pavel Khodorkovsky, the son of the jailed tycoon. That was probably because of the audience. But they still steered clear of proposing any provocative actions that could invite a serious examination of Romney’s foreign policy. My advice to those wondering about a Romney foreign policy: read No Apology and fear the worst, or at least the worse.
13 comments
Uh, former Secretary of State Lawrence Eagleburger, John. Not Richard.
- ballston
August 29, 2012 at 10:53am
As was pointed out in yesterday's discussions, the Republican foreign and national security policy can be summed as "not Obama". Apparently the death of Bin Laden, the almost complete dismantling of Al Qaeda, and the downfall of Gadaffi count for nothing. Republicans occupy an Alice in the Looking Glass worldview. Obama is weak and we were vulnerable to terror because some a-hole set his underwear on fire on a flight from Nairobi to Detroit. 8 years ago, according to the GOP, George W. Bush and Dick Cheney "kept us safe for 4 years", and deserved re-election, never mind the unpleasantness that occurred one September morning, 8 months into their Administration. As far as the foreign policy legacy of St. Ronald the Magnificent goes - what were his successes in his first term? The invasion of Grenada, the "cut n' run" from Lebanon? Iran-Contra in his 2nd term. Ah yes, the Cold War. Fortunately for Ronnie, Mikhail Gorbachev was his Soviet counterpart. Had Andropov lived a few more years, or a hard liner like Viktor Grishin taken over, things might have turned out quite differently.
- dubyadoubte
August 29, 2012 at 12:29pm
This line gives undue credibility to the argument the Republicans are making: "It could suggest a more unilateral approach to foreign policy and a willingness to impose our will upon adversaries and challengers." It should say, "It could suggest a more unilateral approach to foreign policy and a willingness to *try to* impose our will upon adversaries and challengers." That whole "imposing your will" thing rarely works out exactly as planned, and there are reasons to suspect that it will work even less well in the days ahead than it has in the relatively recent past. Which is why the Obama administration's approach is so appealing to so many who consider ourselves realists, whether of primarily liberal (like me) or conservative persuasion.
- floydsm8
August 29, 2012 at 12:55pm
So great to have John Judis back at TNR! Judis writes with a clarity and grasp of American political history that few others share. We missed you.
- josh_y
August 29, 2012 at 2:33pm
dubyadouble I remember when ex president Bush claimed he felt he kept us safe in an interview after he left the White House and I thought, "We got attacked and we were scared out of our wits half of the time. How safe was that?" We know a president can mislead us into great danger and Romney has already indicated he is ready and willing to mislead us. I don't understand why any country would want our input in their afairs if we came into their offices advising them that they should do as we say because we are the greatest country on earth.
- Nusholtz
August 29, 2012 at 2:34pm
It is possible that all the post-Bush43 GOP wants is to rebuild American's confidence that it is ok to be proud to be an American. "No Apology" for past colonial misadventures. Maybe some misplaced moral authority for the idea (certainly not the reality) of what America means: rule of law, freedom of speech and belief, yada yada. I await Romney suggesting the USA start charging for our navy to keep the sealanes free for trade. Certainly, the GOP is not enamoured of transnational postmodern multiculturalism. I do wish they would stop making it sound as tho Europe has a deadly disease. After all, the USA has crippling government debts without Europe's allegedly lavish social safety net (ok, Greece is lavish, but vulture capitalism is not the answer). I am a lot more concerned that Romney actually thinks Meg Whitman would make a good SecTreas than John Bolton as SecState, now that I better understand Bolton's obnoxiousness to the [utterly failed] UN.
- K2K
August 29, 2012 at 2:44pm
There hasn't been any apologizing that I've seen (other than Chile back in Clinton's day), but a mature recognition of past mistakes strikes me as a reasonable requirement for both individuals and nations who wish to be regarded as leaders.
- ironyroad
August 29, 2012 at 3:04pm
Bin laden, al Qaeda, Qaddafi all count for something, but how much? BHO's record in foreign policy is not terrible, but that's mainly because he followed his predecessor's terror policies to a T (waterboarding excepted). Still he sold out the Poles and Czechs in order to "re-set" with the Russians. If anyone can say what advantage we have gained from that boneheaded move, I'm all ears. And Iran is still out there, and BHO failed miserably to speak up in June 2009 when the Arab Spring might have become the Persian Spring. BTW, boys, what's the over/under on when we and/or the Israelis bomb those clowns? I don't necessarily support that, just sayin'......
- butchie b
August 29, 2012 at 4:23pm
butchie, I think "followed his predecessor's terror policies" might be a tad misleading. Firstly because they are (to be fair) anti-terror policies, and secondly because the Obama frame isn't quite the same and involves considerably greater covert/intel emphasis than under said predecessor. I think that a surprise Israeli attack on Iran with no forewarning would potentially influence the election but it's difficult to see exactly what reactions would be (one reaction could cancel out another) and what effects they would have electorally. I think an Israeli attack clearly pre-planned with the U.S. but with no direct involvement would contain a possible plus for Obama (has has the edge on national security anyhow) but it's difficult to predict. A full joint U.S.-Israeli attack would probably have the rest of the world screaming and would be a great opportunity for Obama -- what could Romney do except nod enthusiastically -- at most he could say he was pushing for that earlier. Either way, it would be difficult for Romney as he would have to be very cautious about giving people the impression that he would do something radically different from Obama -- people aren't all that interested in foreign affairs but they want to know that a potential office-holder is trustworthy and won't lose his cool.
- ironyroad
August 29, 2012 at 5:10pm
Romney has already done "something radically different from Obama" by publicly stating that Jerusalem is the capital of the sovereign nation of Israel, something Obama and his entire State Department refuse to do, now stating that Jerusalem is a 'final status issue'. for anyone who still has an open mind, here are extended excerpts from Bret Stephens on Obama's record on foreign policy from Tuesday's WSJ, which is in it's entirety is behind the WSJ pay wall (I assume Stephens did not include Obama's recent support for Argentina over the UK re: Falklands, a prime example of Obama's disdain for the colonial legacy of the former British Empire. Obama seems to have zero disdain for the colonial legacies of the Ottoman or Russian Empires, and certainly has never once publicly pressed the African Union to reconsider their rule on leaving colonial borders in place - Obama could at least offer diplomatic recognition to Somaliland, maybe say something about Sudan's new war against the people of the Nuba Mountains, and also Blue Nile - Sudan perhaps now has five simultaneous "wars" against their own citizens, trapped inside really bad colonial borders). Excerpts from Bret Stephens here: http://www.commentarymagazine.com/2012/08/28/obamas-three-part-foreign-policy-record/
- K2K
August 30, 2012 at 12:08pm
K2K I hate to break it to you but we have serious problems. These include environmental disaster, globalization of the economy but also, pollution, the destruction of habitat, which isn't just for cute animals but includes us, top of the food chain and most destructive creature on earth, probably ever. We have the oil industry, international slavery, the fact that women and minorities all over the world are often oppressed. We confront terrorism of all kinds. We have to work out international trade protocols that give everybody something and at the same time aren't massively destructive, like the ongoing extermination of several fish species including sharks. Entire nations and economies are in flux sometimes violently and I would argue, we suffer from human overpopulation not to mention conflicting worldviews that sometimes result in wars over both ideology and scarce, ever scarcer resources. Global warming threatens us all. Foreign policy is not just about Jerusalem.
- Sophia
August 30, 2012 at 5:06pm
Or Iran.
- Sophia
August 30, 2012 at 5:07pm
Sophia - Jerusalem was the first issue I thought of when I read "something radically different from Obama". As to your other list? Well, in 2008, my top 2 issues were climate change and the deficit, and then witnessing the unravelling of America's de-industrialized economy, with all the perils of longterm massive unemployment (but apparently a LOT of granite counters in kitchens - I had not watched HGTV for six+years until February 2012.) In 2012, my top two issues continue to be defict and gutted economy (bipartisanship at it's finest). I am already a climate change refugee, and have decided it is now too late to reverse whatever is happening. However, I do think that China should be sent to prison for their massacre of sharks just to get those fins. I am already stockpiling tuna, not as easy as stockpiling 100% cotton Made in the USA towels and sheets, but thank goodness I did that because now I am boycotting Turkey, Egypt, and Pakistan. Just found a towel made in Portugal. phew.. In general, I continue to believe that Obama's postmodern, transnational multiculti worldview is a lovely theory, but 100% ineffective in a real world where nationalism, overpopulation and scarce water, and now food, make the world look like it is devolving into a hi-tech version of the tribal Dark Ages, when the Vikings were the terrorists, who fortunately were satisfied with Dublin and Normandy, and decided trade was better than same old rape-and-pillage. Overpopulation? I am supportive of McKibben's idea that about half of today's numbers may be sustainable, but I no longer pay any attention him or any 'environmnetalist' since I was verbally disciplined for suggesting people could plant long-lived trees (I had a list from a SUNY school of forestry) in their yards. The official environmentalist dismissed the idea because1) the trees will die in 100 years and release CO2, and 2) too many trees reducethe Albedo Effect. Yes, the Albedo Effect is really important, in the polar and glacier regions, not so much in heavily forested western Massachusetts...these days, they oppose wind turbines, so what will replace the coal-fired generation plants here? To be blunt, irregardless of what I think about "worldviews", in 2012, I am far more outraged by Obama's absence of leadership in strengthening the Democratic Party - which I go into in the post aboyt Joe Biden2016, and the ravages to my Medicare since 2007, when the Dems retook Congress. Access to health insurance is NOT the problem - the way American medicine is "practiced" is what is wrong. In addition to HGTV, I find myself watching a variety of 'armageddon' movies. Love "Day After Tomorrow" - disrupt the Gulfstream, and total winter, instant death by hypothermia. All the Alien invader films make me think of China's rapacious quest for resources. I still cling to the Constitution's role of the Executive, our President. CinC, and conduct foreign policy. I may still just protest vote by solely voting down ticket, but, who knows, maybe Romney will buy my house...
- K2K
August 30, 2012 at 9:59pm